Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century
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Publication Date: | 2015 |
Other Authors: | , , , , , |
Format: | Article |
Language: | por |
Source: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Download full: | http://hdl.handle.net/10174/16848 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017 |
Summary: | A renewed interest on the impacts of climate change has spurred several studies on climate/health relationships. This study aims to detect and explain any changes in the relationships between climate and mortality in Lisbon from 1835 until 2012. The evaluation of mortality seasonal rhythms over time is based on the 100-Index per decades, annual Winter-Summer ratio, as well as other descriptive statistics. A change in the seasonal rhythm of mortality over the last 177 years was found. In the mid-19th century mortality peaked in summer, whereas in the 1890s and the 1900s there was slight monthly variability.On the contrary, a winter maximum has occurred since the 1940s, although a secondary summer peak of mortality may emerge during the most severe heat-waves. Although long term positive temperature trends were confirmed, no systematic positive mortality trends were found in the last three decades. The results suggest that mortality rhythm changes during the 19th and 20th century are not directly related to climatic reasons alone (except in the case of extreme weather events), but rather to improvements in hygienic, sanitary and nutrition conditions and advances in medicine. However, given the possible increase of summer heat waves in the future, and individuals increasing vulnerability, particularly in urban areas, such secondary peaks of mortality will tend to happen more frequently, unless adaptation of populations to hotter conditions takes place and/or measures are taken to protect people from high temperatures |
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Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th centuryClimate changeHeat wavesHealthMortality rhythmsSouthern EuropeLisbonA renewed interest on the impacts of climate change has spurred several studies on climate/health relationships. This study aims to detect and explain any changes in the relationships between climate and mortality in Lisbon from 1835 until 2012. The evaluation of mortality seasonal rhythms over time is based on the 100-Index per decades, annual Winter-Summer ratio, as well as other descriptive statistics. A change in the seasonal rhythm of mortality over the last 177 years was found. In the mid-19th century mortality peaked in summer, whereas in the 1890s and the 1900s there was slight monthly variability.On the contrary, a winter maximum has occurred since the 1940s, although a secondary summer peak of mortality may emerge during the most severe heat-waves. Although long term positive temperature trends were confirmed, no systematic positive mortality trends were found in the last three decades. The results suggest that mortality rhythm changes during the 19th and 20th century are not directly related to climatic reasons alone (except in the case of extreme weather events), but rather to improvements in hygienic, sanitary and nutrition conditions and advances in medicine. However, given the possible increase of summer heat waves in the future, and individuals increasing vulnerability, particularly in urban areas, such secondary peaks of mortality will tend to happen more frequently, unless adaptation of populations to hotter conditions takes place and/or measures are taken to protect people from high temperaturesKLIMHIST: Reconstruction and model simulations of past climate in Portugal using documentary and early instrumental sources (17th-19th century) (PTDC/AAC-CLI/119078/2010)www.elsevier.com/locate/apgeog2016-01-26T14:04:55Z2016-01-262015-02-15T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10174/16848http://hdl.handle.net/10174/16848https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017porAlcoforado, M. J., Marques, D., Garcia, R.A.C., Canario, P., Nunes, M.F., Nogueira, H., Cravosa, A, «Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the19th century», Applied Geography 57 (2015) 133e141. Ed Elsevier.133-141http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014362281400301457 (2015)mjalcoforado@campus.ul.ptdavidmgmarques@campus.ul.ptrgarcia@campus.ul.ptpaulocanario@campus.ul.ptmfn@uevora.pthelenamarquesnogueira@hotmail.comabcravosa@ gmail.comApplied Geography708Alcoforado, Maria JoãoMarques, DavidGarcia, RicardoCanario, PauloNunes, Maria de FátimaNogueira, HelenaCravosa, Anainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-03T19:04:01Zoai:dspace.uevora.pt:10174/16848Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:09:09.612272Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
title |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
spellingShingle |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century Alcoforado, Maria João Climate change Heat waves Health Mortality rhythms Southern Europe Lisbon |
title_short |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
title_full |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
title_fullStr |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
title_full_unstemmed |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
title_sort |
Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the 19th century |
author |
Alcoforado, Maria João |
author_facet |
Alcoforado, Maria João Marques, David Garcia, Ricardo Canario, Paulo Nunes, Maria de Fátima Nogueira, Helena Cravosa, Ana |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Marques, David Garcia, Ricardo Canario, Paulo Nunes, Maria de Fátima Nogueira, Helena Cravosa, Ana |
author2_role |
author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Alcoforado, Maria João Marques, David Garcia, Ricardo Canario, Paulo Nunes, Maria de Fátima Nogueira, Helena Cravosa, Ana |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climate change Heat waves Health Mortality rhythms Southern Europe Lisbon |
topic |
Climate change Heat waves Health Mortality rhythms Southern Europe Lisbon |
description |
A renewed interest on the impacts of climate change has spurred several studies on climate/health relationships. This study aims to detect and explain any changes in the relationships between climate and mortality in Lisbon from 1835 until 2012. The evaluation of mortality seasonal rhythms over time is based on the 100-Index per decades, annual Winter-Summer ratio, as well as other descriptive statistics. A change in the seasonal rhythm of mortality over the last 177 years was found. In the mid-19th century mortality peaked in summer, whereas in the 1890s and the 1900s there was slight monthly variability.On the contrary, a winter maximum has occurred since the 1940s, although a secondary summer peak of mortality may emerge during the most severe heat-waves. Although long term positive temperature trends were confirmed, no systematic positive mortality trends were found in the last three decades. The results suggest that mortality rhythm changes during the 19th and 20th century are not directly related to climatic reasons alone (except in the case of extreme weather events), but rather to improvements in hygienic, sanitary and nutrition conditions and advances in medicine. However, given the possible increase of summer heat waves in the future, and individuals increasing vulnerability, particularly in urban areas, such secondary peaks of mortality will tend to happen more frequently, unless adaptation of populations to hotter conditions takes place and/or measures are taken to protect people from high temperatures |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2015-02-15T00:00:00Z 2016-01-26T14:04:55Z 2016-01-26 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/16848 http://hdl.handle.net/10174/16848 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10174/16848 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.12.017 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Alcoforado, M. J., Marques, D., Garcia, R.A.C., Canario, P., Nunes, M.F., Nogueira, H., Cravosa, A, «Weather and climate versus mortality in Lisbon (Portugal) since the19th century», Applied Geography 57 (2015) 133e141. Ed Elsevier. 133-141 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0143622814003014 57 (2015) mjalcoforado@campus.ul.pt davidmgmarques@campus.ul.pt rgarcia@campus.ul.pt paulocanario@campus.ul.pt mfn@uevora.pt helenamarquesnogueira@hotmail.com abcravosa@ gmail.com Applied Geography 708 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
www.elsevier.com/locate/apgeog |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
www.elsevier.com/locate/apgeog |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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