Desenvolvimento de modelo dinâmico de simulação para sistemas de recria e terminação de bovinos em pasto

• Main Author: Bonatti, Franscine Kelli Quinhones
• Publication Date: 2009
• Format: Master thesis
• Language: por
• Source: LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV
• Download full: http://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/5629
• topic: Produção animal; Sistema de produção; Simulação; Livestock; Production system; Simulation; CNPQ::CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::ZOOTECNIA::PRODUCAO ANIMAL

The objective of this work was to develop and to evaluate a model of computer simulation for systems of rearing and finishing of bovines on pasture from the implementation of the model of simulation into a program language of multiple purposes. To elaborate the model of simulation, equations described in the scientific literature were used. The equations will be gathered and implemented by using the specific software for simulation of dynamic systems, STELLA 8.0®. The interval of time adopted in the simulation for updating the values of the variables was 1 day, and some variables received stochastic treatment. After the development of the model of simulation, sensitive tests were carried out to evaluate biological responses to changes in some variables, for example, stocking rate, supply of supplement per animal/day and potential growth of the forage aiming at evaluating if the produced results are in agreement to what was expected. Validation of the model of simulation was done by using information obtained from the literature, where the degree of linear association among the values generated by the model and by the observed values was measured by using the procedure Proc Corr from SAS. The model of simulation produced responses to the variations on rainfall and air temperature, to the stocking rate and to the level of supplementation, which are in agreement to what was expected, however, despite of the linear association among the data generated by the model and to the ones observed in reality, the coefficient of correlation is considered to be low.