Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1414-753X2021000100325 |
Resumo: | Abstract The aim of the current study is to analyze the vulnerability of coastal municipalities in Pará State, based on the integration of socioeconomic, epidemiological and climatic indicators. Data were combined to climate scenarios such as Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, depending on the Municipal Vulnerability Index (MVI). Results have shown that the Sensitivity (SeI) and Sociodemographic (SdI) Indices had strong influence on the current vulnerability of the investigated municipalities. The association between current vulnerability index and future climate change projections has shown that municipalities located in Marajó Island region are the most vulnerable ones - to the West of the study site, where MVI ranged from 1 (in Afuá) to 0.55 (in Soure), for scenarios 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. The current results can contribute to the effective adoption of public policies focused on prioritizing the most vulnerable municipalities and on preparing them to deal with adverse aspects of climate change. |
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Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) |
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Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará StateClimateRisksSocioenvironmentCostal RegionPará StateAbstract The aim of the current study is to analyze the vulnerability of coastal municipalities in Pará State, based on the integration of socioeconomic, epidemiological and climatic indicators. Data were combined to climate scenarios such as Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, depending on the Municipal Vulnerability Index (MVI). Results have shown that the Sensitivity (SeI) and Sociodemographic (SdI) Indices had strong influence on the current vulnerability of the investigated municipalities. The association between current vulnerability index and future climate change projections has shown that municipalities located in Marajó Island region are the most vulnerable ones - to the West of the study site, where MVI ranged from 1 (in Afuá) to 0.55 (in Soure), for scenarios 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. The current results can contribute to the effective adoption of public policies focused on prioritizing the most vulnerable municipalities and on preparing them to deal with adverse aspects of climate change.ANPPAS - Revista Ambiente e Sociedade2021-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1414-753X2021000100325Ambiente & Sociedade v.24 2021reponame:Ambiente & Sociedade (Online)instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:ANPPAS10.1590/1809-4422asoc20200167r1vu2021l3aoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSantos,Marcos Ronielly da SilvaVitorino,Maria IsabelPereira,Luci Cajueiro CarneiroPimentel,Marcia Aparecida da SilvaQuintão,Ana Fláviaeng2021-10-07T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1414-753X2021000100325Revistahttp://anpocs.com/index.php/revista-ambiente-e-sociedadehttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||revistaambienteesociedade@gmail.com1809-44221414-753Xopendoar:2021-10-07T00:00Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
title |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
spellingShingle |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State Santos,Marcos Ronielly da Silva Climate Risks Socioenvironment Costal Region Pará State |
title_short |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
title_full |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
title_fullStr |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
title_full_unstemmed |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
title_sort |
Socioenvironmental Vulnerability to Climate Change: Conditions of Coastal Municipalities in Pará State |
author |
Santos,Marcos Ronielly da Silva |
author_facet |
Santos,Marcos Ronielly da Silva Vitorino,Maria Isabel Pereira,Luci Cajueiro Carneiro Pimentel,Marcia Aparecida da Silva Quintão,Ana Flávia |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Vitorino,Maria Isabel Pereira,Luci Cajueiro Carneiro Pimentel,Marcia Aparecida da Silva Quintão,Ana Flávia |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Santos,Marcos Ronielly da Silva Vitorino,Maria Isabel Pereira,Luci Cajueiro Carneiro Pimentel,Marcia Aparecida da Silva Quintão,Ana Flávia |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climate Risks Socioenvironment Costal Region Pará State |
topic |
Climate Risks Socioenvironment Costal Region Pará State |
description |
Abstract The aim of the current study is to analyze the vulnerability of coastal municipalities in Pará State, based on the integration of socioeconomic, epidemiological and climatic indicators. Data were combined to climate scenarios such as Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, depending on the Municipal Vulnerability Index (MVI). Results have shown that the Sensitivity (SeI) and Sociodemographic (SdI) Indices had strong influence on the current vulnerability of the investigated municipalities. The association between current vulnerability index and future climate change projections has shown that municipalities located in Marajó Island region are the most vulnerable ones - to the West of the study site, where MVI ranged from 1 (in Afuá) to 0.55 (in Soure), for scenarios 4.5 and 8.5, respectively. The current results can contribute to the effective adoption of public policies focused on prioritizing the most vulnerable municipalities and on preparing them to deal with adverse aspects of climate change. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-01-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1414-753X2021000100325 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1414-753X2021000100325 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1809-4422asoc20200167r1vu2021l3ao |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
ANPPAS - Revista Ambiente e Sociedade |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
ANPPAS - Revista Ambiente e Sociedade |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Ambiente & Sociedade v.24 2021 reponame:Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP) instacron:ANPPAS |
instname_str |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
instacron_str |
ANPPAS |
institution |
ANPPAS |
reponame_str |
Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) |
collection |
Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Ambiente & Sociedade (Online) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||revistaambienteesociedade@gmail.com |
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1754209167350956032 |