Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) |
Texto Completo: | https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/39805 |
Resumo: | Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. |
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Carvalho, Marilia SáFreitas, Laís PicininiCruz, Oswaldo GonçalvesBrasil, PatríciaBastos, Leonardo Soares2020-02-07T17:38:24Z2020-02-07T17:38:24Z2020CARVALHO, Marília Sá et al. Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil. Scientific Reports, v. 10, n. 1752, p. 1-9, 2020.2045-2322https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/3980510.1038/s41598-020-58407-72045-2322engNature ReseachEpidemiologiaVirosesEpidemiologyViral InfectionEpidemiologyVirus Diseases Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Epidemiologia em Saúde Pública. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas. Laboratório de Doenças Febris Agudas. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Despite all the research done on the first Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemics, it was only after the Brazilian epidemic that the Congenital Zika Syndrome was described. This was made possible due to the large number of babies born with microcephaly in the Northeast region (NE) in a narrow time. We hypothesize that the fivefold difference in the rate of microcephalic neonates between the NE and other regions is partially an effect of the population prior immunity against Dengue viruses (DENV), that cross-react with ZIKV. In this ecological study, we analysed the interaction between dengue fever epidemics from 2001 to 2014 and the 2015/2016 microcephaly epidemic in 400 microregions in Brazil using random-effects models under a Bayesian approach. The estimated effect of the time lag between the most recent large dengue epidemic (>400/100,000 inhabitants) and the microcephaly epidemic ranged from protection (up to 6 years prior) to an increased risk (from 7 to 12 years). This sustained window of protection, larger than described in previous longitudinal studies, is possibly an effect of herd immunity and of multiple exposures to DENV that could boost immunity.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/39805/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINALAssociationDengueFever.pdfAssociationDengueFever.pdfapplication/pdf2120471https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/39805/2/AssociationDengueFever.pdf37f2b4f22cdfe2b706ba34952238046eMD52TEXTAssociationDengueFever.pdf.txtAssociationDengueFever.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain35423https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/39805/3/AssociationDengueFever.pdf.txt4084450efe8294df6abb25fc5adf8316MD53icict/398052020-02-10 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
title |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil Carvalho, Marilia Sá Epidemiologia Viroses Epidemiology Viral Infection Epidemiology Virus Diseases |
title_short |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
title_full |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
title_sort |
Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil |
author |
Carvalho, Marilia Sá |
author_facet |
Carvalho, Marilia Sá Freitas, Laís Picinini Cruz, Oswaldo Gonçalves Brasil, Patrícia Bastos, Leonardo Soares |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Freitas, Laís Picinini Cruz, Oswaldo Gonçalves Brasil, Patrícia Bastos, Leonardo Soares |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Carvalho, Marilia Sá Freitas, Laís Picinini Cruz, Oswaldo Gonçalves Brasil, Patrícia Bastos, Leonardo Soares |
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Epidemiologia Viroses |
topic |
Epidemiologia Viroses Epidemiology Viral Infection Epidemiology Virus Diseases |
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Epidemiology Viral Infection |
dc.subject.decs.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Epidemiology Virus Diseases |
description |
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2020-02-07T17:38:24Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2020-02-07T17:38:24Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2020 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
CARVALHO, Marília Sá et al. Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil. Scientific Reports, v. 10, n. 1752, p. 1-9, 2020. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/39805 |
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
2045-2322 |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1038/s41598-020-58407-7 |
dc.identifier.eissn.none.fl_str_mv |
2045-2322 |
identifier_str_mv |
CARVALHO, Marília Sá et al. Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil. Scientific Reports, v. 10, n. 1752, p. 1-9, 2020. 2045-2322 10.1038/s41598-020-58407-7 |
url |
https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/39805 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Reseach |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature Reseach |
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reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ) instacron:FIOCRUZ |
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