Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Pacheco, Ricardo Francisco Firmino Mendes
Data de Publicação: 2010
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10071/4237
Resumo: The aim of this work is to study the dynamic relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and prices of the main fuel references to generate electricity (coal, crude oil, gasoil and natural gas). The dynamic relationship between the various interconnected electrical systems (Spain and Portugal, Spain and France), using as reference prices for wholesale electricity markets formed in each electrical system, is also relevant for analysis purposes due to impacts on prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain. The results suggest: cointegration between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and the variables under analysis (fuel and wholesale electricity market prices); a long-term relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain, coal prices, crude oil prices, gasoil prices, natural gas prices of the Dutch TTF market and the prices of wholesale electricity market in Portugal; a short-run relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and natural gas prices of the English NBP market and Belgian Zeebrugge market; the presence of strong exogeneity in the relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and prices of wholesale electricity market in France; proportionality between crude oil prices, natural gas prices of the Dutch TTF market and prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain; and the evidence of asymmetry in the electricity prices from the wholesale market in Portugal with “steep” movements in relation to prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain. A number of implications will be addressed.
id RCAP_eda65a0d7819341a9d57bc29cb06180f
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.iscte-iul.pt:10071/4237
network_acronym_str RCAP
network_name_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository_id_str 7160
spelling Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)EnergyMarket integrationElectricity pricing and cointegrationEnergiaIntegração de mercadosPreço da energia eléctrica e cointegraçãoThe aim of this work is to study the dynamic relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and prices of the main fuel references to generate electricity (coal, crude oil, gasoil and natural gas). The dynamic relationship between the various interconnected electrical systems (Spain and Portugal, Spain and France), using as reference prices for wholesale electricity markets formed in each electrical system, is also relevant for analysis purposes due to impacts on prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain. The results suggest: cointegration between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and the variables under analysis (fuel and wholesale electricity market prices); a long-term relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain, coal prices, crude oil prices, gasoil prices, natural gas prices of the Dutch TTF market and the prices of wholesale electricity market in Portugal; a short-run relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and natural gas prices of the English NBP market and Belgian Zeebrugge market; the presence of strong exogeneity in the relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and prices of wholesale electricity market in France; proportionality between crude oil prices, natural gas prices of the Dutch TTF market and prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain; and the evidence of asymmetry in the electricity prices from the wholesale market in Portugal with “steep” movements in relation to prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain. A number of implications will be addressed.Pretende-se com este trabalho estudar a relação dinâmica entre os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha e os preços das principais referências de combustível para a geração de electricidade (carvão, petróleo, gasóleo e o gás natural). A relação dinâmica entre os diferentes sistemas eléctricos interligados (Espanha e Portugal, Espanha e França), utilizando como referência os preços de electricidade dos mercados grossistas formados em cada sistema eléctrico, também é relevante para efeitos de análise, pois impacta na evolução dos preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha. Os resultados sugerem: cointegração entre os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha e das variáveis em análise (combustíveis e preços de electricidade grossistas); relação de longo prazo entre os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha, os preços do carvão, os preços do petróleo, os preços do gasóleo, os preços do gás natural do mercado holandês TTF e os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Portugal; relação de curto prazo entre os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha e os preços do gás natural do mercado inglês NBP e do mercado belga Zeebrugge; foi encontrada exogeneidade forte na relação entre os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha e os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em França; proporcionalidade entre os preços do petróleo, os preços do gás natural do mercado holandês TTF e os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha; e a evidência de assimetria dos preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Portugal com movimentos “abruptos” na sua relação com os preços de electricidade do mercado grossista em Espanha. Uma série de implicações serão abordadas.2012-12-06T15:18:52Z2010-01-01T00:00:00Z20102010-05info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfapplication/octet-streamhttp://hdl.handle.net/10071/4237engPacheco, Ricardo Francisco Firmino Mendesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-11-09T17:45:53Zoai:repositorio.iscte-iul.pt:10071/4237Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T22:22:01.104104Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
title Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
spellingShingle Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
Pacheco, Ricardo Francisco Firmino Mendes
Energy
Market integration
Electricity pricing and cointegration
Energia
Integração de mercados
Preço da energia eléctrica e cointegração
title_short Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
title_full Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
title_fullStr Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
title_full_unstemmed Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
title_sort Econometric study of the Spanish electricity spot market and primary energy markets using VAR/VECM methodology (cointegration and nonstationary time series)
author Pacheco, Ricardo Francisco Firmino Mendes
author_facet Pacheco, Ricardo Francisco Firmino Mendes
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Pacheco, Ricardo Francisco Firmino Mendes
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Energy
Market integration
Electricity pricing and cointegration
Energia
Integração de mercados
Preço da energia eléctrica e cointegração
topic Energy
Market integration
Electricity pricing and cointegration
Energia
Integração de mercados
Preço da energia eléctrica e cointegração
description The aim of this work is to study the dynamic relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and prices of the main fuel references to generate electricity (coal, crude oil, gasoil and natural gas). The dynamic relationship between the various interconnected electrical systems (Spain and Portugal, Spain and France), using as reference prices for wholesale electricity markets formed in each electrical system, is also relevant for analysis purposes due to impacts on prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain. The results suggest: cointegration between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and the variables under analysis (fuel and wholesale electricity market prices); a long-term relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain, coal prices, crude oil prices, gasoil prices, natural gas prices of the Dutch TTF market and the prices of wholesale electricity market in Portugal; a short-run relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and natural gas prices of the English NBP market and Belgian Zeebrugge market; the presence of strong exogeneity in the relationship between prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain and prices of wholesale electricity market in France; proportionality between crude oil prices, natural gas prices of the Dutch TTF market and prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain; and the evidence of asymmetry in the electricity prices from the wholesale market in Portugal with “steep” movements in relation to prices of wholesale electricity market in Spain. A number of implications will be addressed.
publishDate 2010
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z
2010
2010-05
2012-12-06T15:18:52Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10071/4237
url http://hdl.handle.net/10071/4237
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/octet-stream
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1799134781583130624

Registros relacionados