Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2014 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-20032014000400001 |
Resumo: | Plant breeding through the development of seeds resistant to water stress or high temperature is an important adaptive strategy to cope climate change. In this way, by providing an analysis of adaptation to climate change using genetic breeding on Brazilian farms, this work aims to investigate how climate change will affect the adoption of genetic breeding and profitability of farmers. Temperature and rainfall projections for 2010-2099 time periods were used, considering different climate scenarios (A1B and A2), according to the 4th Assessment Report of IPCC (2007). A Treatment Effects model outlines the analytical framework in this study. Our results indicate the probability of adopting transgenic seeds will grow from 74% in the current period to 86% in 2020, 83% in 2050, and 81% in 2080. Farmers adopting this adaptation strategy will have higher profits. Land value tends to be higher in both climate scenarios in counties with cultivated areas using transgenic seeds. Farmers adopting this adaptation measure will be less exposed to adverse effects of climate change. We conclude that it is necessary to invest in adaptation strategies so that Brazil can overcome adverse effects of global climate change. |
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Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural |
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Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breedingClimate changeadaptationbreedingseedsdroughtheatPlant breeding through the development of seeds resistant to water stress or high temperature is an important adaptive strategy to cope climate change. In this way, by providing an analysis of adaptation to climate change using genetic breeding on Brazilian farms, this work aims to investigate how climate change will affect the adoption of genetic breeding and profitability of farmers. Temperature and rainfall projections for 2010-2099 time periods were used, considering different climate scenarios (A1B and A2), according to the 4th Assessment Report of IPCC (2007). A Treatment Effects model outlines the analytical framework in this study. Our results indicate the probability of adopting transgenic seeds will grow from 74% in the current period to 86% in 2020, 83% in 2050, and 81% in 2080. Farmers adopting this adaptation strategy will have higher profits. Land value tends to be higher in both climate scenarios in counties with cultivated areas using transgenic seeds. Farmers adopting this adaptation measure will be less exposed to adverse effects of climate change. We conclude that it is necessary to invest in adaptation strategies so that Brazil can overcome adverse effects of global climate change.Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural2014-12-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-20032014000400001Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural v.52 n.4 2014reponame:Revista de Economia e Sociologia Ruralinstname:Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural (SBESR)instacron:SBESR10.1590/S0103-20032014000400001info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessPires,Marcel VianaCunha,Dênis Antônio daeng2015-02-02T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0103-20032014000400001Revistahttps://www.revistasober.org/ONGhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phpsober@sober.org.br||resr@revistasober.org1806-94790103-2003opendoar:2015-02-02T00:00Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural - Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural (SBESR)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
title |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
spellingShingle |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding Pires,Marcel Viana Climate change adaptation breeding seeds drought heat |
title_short |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
title_full |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
title_fullStr |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
title_sort |
Climate change and adaptive strategies in Brazil: the economic effects of genetic breeding |
author |
Pires,Marcel Viana |
author_facet |
Pires,Marcel Viana Cunha,Dênis Antônio da |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Cunha,Dênis Antônio da |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Pires,Marcel Viana Cunha,Dênis Antônio da |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climate change adaptation breeding seeds drought heat |
topic |
Climate change adaptation breeding seeds drought heat |
description |
Plant breeding through the development of seeds resistant to water stress or high temperature is an important adaptive strategy to cope climate change. In this way, by providing an analysis of adaptation to climate change using genetic breeding on Brazilian farms, this work aims to investigate how climate change will affect the adoption of genetic breeding and profitability of farmers. Temperature and rainfall projections for 2010-2099 time periods were used, considering different climate scenarios (A1B and A2), according to the 4th Assessment Report of IPCC (2007). A Treatment Effects model outlines the analytical framework in this study. Our results indicate the probability of adopting transgenic seeds will grow from 74% in the current period to 86% in 2020, 83% in 2050, and 81% in 2080. Farmers adopting this adaptation strategy will have higher profits. Land value tends to be higher in both climate scenarios in counties with cultivated areas using transgenic seeds. Farmers adopting this adaptation measure will be less exposed to adverse effects of climate change. We conclude that it is necessary to invest in adaptation strategies so that Brazil can overcome adverse effects of global climate change. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2014-12-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-20032014000400001 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-20032014000400001 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/S0103-20032014000400001 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural v.52 n.4 2014 reponame:Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural instname:Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural (SBESR) instacron:SBESR |
instname_str |
Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural (SBESR) |
instacron_str |
SBESR |
institution |
SBESR |
reponame_str |
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural |
collection |
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural - Sociedade Brasileira de Economia e Sociologia Rural (SBESR) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
sober@sober.org.br||resr@revistasober.org |
_version_ |
1752122557072408576 |