Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Franke, Carlos Roberto
Data de Publicação: 2002
Outros Autores: Ziller, Mario, Staubach, Christoph, Latif, Mojib
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFBA
Texto Completo: http://repositorio.ufba.br/ri/handle/ri/14688
Resumo: p. 914-917
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spelling Franke, Carlos RobertoZiller, MarioStaubach, ChristophLatif, Mojib2014-02-21T19:31:30Z2014-02-21T19:31:30Z20021080-604http://repositorio.ufba.br/ri/handle/ri/14688v. 8, n. 9p. 914-917We used time-series analysis and linear regression to investigate the relationship between the annual Niño-3 index from 1980 to 1998 and the annual incidence of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) in the State of Bahia, Brazil, during 1985–1999. An increase in VL incidence was observed in the post-El Niño years 1989 (+38.7%) and 1995 (+33.5%). The regression model demonstrates that the previous year’s mean Niño-3 index and the temporal trend account for approximately 50% of the variance in the annual incidence of VL in Bahia. The model shows a robust agreement with the real data, as only the influence of El Niño on the cycle of VL was analyzed. The results suggest that this relationship could be used to predict high-risk years for VL and thus help reduce health impact in susceptible regions in Brazil.Submitted by Edileide Reis (leyde-landy@hotmail.com) on 2014-01-24T15:37:20Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Carlos Roberto Franke.pdf: 236430 bytes, checksum: 94bb667b78e47dcf4b4f64cd661e81e3 (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Alda Lima da Silva (sivalda@ufba.br) on 2014-02-21T19:31:30Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 Carlos Roberto Franke.pdf: 236430 bytes, checksum: 94bb667b78e47dcf4b4f64cd661e81e3 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2014-02-21T19:31:30Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Carlos Roberto Franke.pdf: 236430 bytes, checksum: 94bb667b78e47dcf4b4f64cd661e81e3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2002Leishmaniose visceralEl NiñoImpact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, BrazilEmerging Infectious Diseasesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessengreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFBAinstname:Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)instacron:UFBALICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain1345https://repositorio.ufba.br/bitstream/ri/14688/2/license.txtff6eaa8b858ea317fded99f125f5fcd0MD52ORIGINALCarlos Roberto Franke.pdfCarlos Roberto Franke.pdfapplication/pdf236430https://repositorio.ufba.br/bitstream/ri/14688/1/Carlos%20Roberto%20Franke.pdf94bb667b78e47dcf4b4f64cd661e81e3MD51TEXTCarlos Roberto Franke.pdf.txtCarlos Roberto Franke.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain19115https://repositorio.ufba.br/bitstream/ri/14688/3/Carlos%20Roberto%20Franke.pdf.txt064048f515c65b3956b415d5b1afea7aMD53ri/146882022-02-20 23:47:35.931oai:repositorio.ufba.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://192.188.11.11:8080/oai/requestopendoar:19322022-02-21T02:47:35Repositório Institucional da UFBA - Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
dc.title.alternative.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Emerging Infectious Diseases
title Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
spellingShingle Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
Franke, Carlos Roberto
Leishmaniose visceral
El Niño
title_short Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
title_full Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
title_fullStr Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
title_sort Impact of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation on Visceral Leishmaniasis, Brazil
author Franke, Carlos Roberto
author_facet Franke, Carlos Roberto
Ziller, Mario
Staubach, Christoph
Latif, Mojib
author_role author
author2 Ziller, Mario
Staubach, Christoph
Latif, Mojib
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Franke, Carlos Roberto
Ziller, Mario
Staubach, Christoph
Latif, Mojib
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Leishmaniose visceral
El Niño
topic Leishmaniose visceral
El Niño
description p. 914-917
publishDate 2002
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2002
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2014-02-21T19:31:30Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2014-02-21T19:31:30Z
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dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 1080-604
dc.identifier.number.pt_BR.fl_str_mv v. 8, n. 9
identifier_str_mv 1080-604
v. 8, n. 9
url http://repositorio.ufba.br/ri/handle/ri/14688
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
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