Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Moraes, Adriano Ferreira de
Data de Publicação: 2017
Outros Autores: Moraes-Oliveira, Adriana Ferreira de, Aparecido, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira, Moraes, José Reinaldo Silva Cabral, Moraes, Silvia Martins de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Coffee Science (Online)
Texto Completo: https://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338
Resumo: Coffee is one of the key agricultural commodities for the Brazilian economy and few studies have evaluated the influence of economic variables in the coffee supply. The objective was to evaluate the influence that economic variables promote the variation of the arabica coffee, offering on the São Paulo State Northeast. Coffee supply data and econometric variables were used in the 2000-2015 period. The variables were the total rural credit used, rural credit of agriculture, harvested coffee area, the value added in agriculture, the agriculture’s share in total value added, the coffee production value and value added tax. In modeling the coffee supply was the dependent variable and the economic variables were the independent variables, using multiple linear regression (MLR). The model developed to estimate coffee supply according to the economic variables showed a high significance (p <0.05). The evolution of coffee supply is significantly sensitive to changes in economic factors. The economic variables with the greatest influence on the coffee supply variation are the coffee harvested area and the coffee production value.
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spelling Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo StateInfluência de fatores econômicos na oferta cafeeira do Estado de São PauloModelingrural crediteconometricCoffea arabicaModelagemcrédito ruraleconometriaCoffea arabicaCoffee is one of the key agricultural commodities for the Brazilian economy and few studies have evaluated the influence of economic variables in the coffee supply. The objective was to evaluate the influence that economic variables promote the variation of the arabica coffee, offering on the São Paulo State Northeast. Coffee supply data and econometric variables were used in the 2000-2015 period. The variables were the total rural credit used, rural credit of agriculture, harvested coffee area, the value added in agriculture, the agriculture’s share in total value added, the coffee production value and value added tax. In modeling the coffee supply was the dependent variable and the economic variables were the independent variables, using multiple linear regression (MLR). The model developed to estimate coffee supply according to the economic variables showed a high significance (p <0.05). The evolution of coffee supply is significantly sensitive to changes in economic factors. The economic variables with the greatest influence on the coffee supply variation are the coffee harvested area and the coffee production value.O café é uma das commodities agrícolas fundamentais para a economia brasileira e poucos estudos têm avaliado a influência das variáveis econômicas na oferta cafeeira. Assim, objetivou-se com este trabalho mensurar a influência que as variáveis econômicas promovem na variação da oferta do café arábica na região Nordeste do Estado de São Paulo. Foram utilizadas séries históricas de produção cafeeira e de variáveis econômicas do período de 2000-2015. As variáveis econômicas foram: crédito rural total, o crédito rural da agricultura, a área colhida de café, o valor adicionado na agropecuária, a participação da agropecuária no valor adicionado total, valor da produção do cafeeiro e valor adicionado fiscal dos municípios. Na modelagem utilizou-se de um modelo de regressão linear múltipla (RLM), sendo a oferta cafeeira a variável dependente e as variáveis econômicas as variáveis independentes. O modelo desenvolvido para estimar a oferta do cafeeiro em função das variáveis econômicas demonstrou elevada significância (p < 0,05). A evolução da oferta cafeeira é significativamente sensível às variações dos fatores econômicos. As variáveis econômicas com maior influência na variação da oferta cafeeira são a área colhida de café e o valor de produção do café.Editora UFLA2017-09-06info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.documenthttps://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338Coffee Science - ISSN 1984-3909; Vol. 12 No. 3 (2017); 410 - 418Coffee Science; Vol. 12 Núm. 3 (2017); 410 - 418Coffee Science; v. 12 n. 3 (2017); 410 - 4181984-3909reponame:Coffee Science (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLAporhttps://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338/pdf_1338https://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338/1794Copyright (c) 2017 Coffee Scienceinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessMoraes, Adriano Ferreira deMoraes-Oliveira, Adriana Ferreira deAparecido, Lucas Eduardo de OliveiraMoraes, José Reinaldo Silva CabralMoraes, Silvia Martins de2017-09-06T14:09:44Zoai:coffeescience.ufla.br:article/1338Revistahttps://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/CoffeesciencePUBhttps://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/oaicoffeescience@dag.ufla.br||coffeescience@dag.ufla.br|| alvaro-cozadi@hotmail.com1984-39091809-6875opendoar:2024-05-21T19:54:02.718726Coffee Science (Online) - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)true
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
Influência de fatores econômicos na oferta cafeeira do Estado de São Paulo
title Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
spellingShingle Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
Moraes, Adriano Ferreira de
Modeling
rural credit
econometric
Coffea arabica
Modelagem
crédito rural
econometria
Coffea arabica
title_short Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
title_full Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
title_fullStr Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
title_full_unstemmed Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
title_sort Influence of economic factors in offer coffee of São Paulo State
author Moraes, Adriano Ferreira de
author_facet Moraes, Adriano Ferreira de
Moraes-Oliveira, Adriana Ferreira de
Aparecido, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira
Moraes, José Reinaldo Silva Cabral
Moraes, Silvia Martins de
author_role author
author2 Moraes-Oliveira, Adriana Ferreira de
Aparecido, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira
Moraes, José Reinaldo Silva Cabral
Moraes, Silvia Martins de
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Moraes, Adriano Ferreira de
Moraes-Oliveira, Adriana Ferreira de
Aparecido, Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira
Moraes, José Reinaldo Silva Cabral
Moraes, Silvia Martins de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Modeling
rural credit
econometric
Coffea arabica
Modelagem
crédito rural
econometria
Coffea arabica
topic Modeling
rural credit
econometric
Coffea arabica
Modelagem
crédito rural
econometria
Coffea arabica
description Coffee is one of the key agricultural commodities for the Brazilian economy and few studies have evaluated the influence of economic variables in the coffee supply. The objective was to evaluate the influence that economic variables promote the variation of the arabica coffee, offering on the São Paulo State Northeast. Coffee supply data and econometric variables were used in the 2000-2015 period. The variables were the total rural credit used, rural credit of agriculture, harvested coffee area, the value added in agriculture, the agriculture’s share in total value added, the coffee production value and value added tax. In modeling the coffee supply was the dependent variable and the economic variables were the independent variables, using multiple linear regression (MLR). The model developed to estimate coffee supply according to the economic variables showed a high significance (p <0.05). The evolution of coffee supply is significantly sensitive to changes in economic factors. The economic variables with the greatest influence on the coffee supply variation are the coffee harvested area and the coffee production value.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2017-09-06
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338
url https://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338/pdf_1338
https://coffeescience.ufla.br/index.php/Coffeescience/article/view/1338/1794
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2017 Coffee Science
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2017 Coffee Science
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.wordprocessingml.document
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Editora UFLA
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Editora UFLA
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Coffee Science - ISSN 1984-3909; Vol. 12 No. 3 (2017); 410 - 418
Coffee Science; Vol. 12 Núm. 3 (2017); 410 - 418
Coffee Science; v. 12 n. 3 (2017); 410 - 418
1984-3909
reponame:Coffee Science (Online)
instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
instacron:UFLA
instname_str Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
instacron_str UFLA
institution UFLA
reponame_str Coffee Science (Online)
collection Coffee Science (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Coffee Science (Online) - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv coffeescience@dag.ufla.br||coffeescience@dag.ufla.br|| alvaro-cozadi@hotmail.com
_version_ 1799874921079242752

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