Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2023 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Conjuntura Austral |
Texto Completo: | https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ConjunturaAustral/article/view/130300 |
Resumo: | The recent conflict in Ukraine raised questions about Russian capacity to defend its strategic interests in a scenario of proxy confrontation against the United States and its European allies. Analyses that stand out highlight the accelerated “decoupling” from international institutions and mechanisms seen as deeply compromised with the interests of Western powers. Although discussions tend to emphasize Russian capacities in the economic and military areas, the preservation of the domestic political regime’s stability and legitimacy has been equally relevant to the Russian state’s geostrategic agenda. We argue such combined capacities have been built-up through a process of legal and institutional reform that took the last two decades. We suggest this process was guided by a specific comprehension about the phenomenon of hybrid war, consolidated in the same period among prominent members of the Russian Federation’s defense and security establishment. Lastly, we enumerate and interpret several successive Russian state decisions that raised its resilience in a scenario of growing hostilities with Western powers. |
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Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutionsPreparándose para la Guerra Híbrida: Un análisis de las acciones rusas para contraponerse a la interferencia externa y las revoluciones de coloresPreparando-se para a guerra híbrida: uma análise das ações russas de enfrentamento a revoluções coloridas e interferência externaRussiaHybrid warForeign interferenceRússiaGuerra híbridaInterferência externaThe recent conflict in Ukraine raised questions about Russian capacity to defend its strategic interests in a scenario of proxy confrontation against the United States and its European allies. Analyses that stand out highlight the accelerated “decoupling” from international institutions and mechanisms seen as deeply compromised with the interests of Western powers. Although discussions tend to emphasize Russian capacities in the economic and military areas, the preservation of the domestic political regime’s stability and legitimacy has been equally relevant to the Russian state’s geostrategic agenda. We argue such combined capacities have been built-up through a process of legal and institutional reform that took the last two decades. We suggest this process was guided by a specific comprehension about the phenomenon of hybrid war, consolidated in the same period among prominent members of the Russian Federation’s defense and security establishment. Lastly, we enumerate and interpret several successive Russian state decisions that raised its resilience in a scenario of growing hostilities with Western powers.O recente conflito deflagrado na Ucrânia tem suscitado debates quanto à capacidade da Rússia para defender seus interesses estratégicos em cenário de confronto velado com os EUA e seus aliados europeus. Embora discussões sobre o assunto avaliem sobretudo a capacidade russa na seara militar, sem dúvida a manutenção da estabilidade e legitimidade do regime político, com a adoção de medidas também nos campos político e econômico, tem sido igualmente relevante para a agenda do Estado russo. Neste artigo, descrevemos e analisamos medidas adotadas pelo Estado russo nas últimas duas décadas nos campos político, econômico e militar. Argumentamos que a construção de capacidades combinadas nessas três esferas se deu ao longo de um processo de reforma do Estado, guiado por uma compreensão específica acerca do fenômeno da guerra híbrida, difundida entre membros de seu establishment de Defesa e Segurança. Por fim, buscamos interpretar como as medidas adotadas conferiram maior resiliência às instituições e à economia da Rússia face a um processo de “desacoplagem” em relação a países do Ocidente, concluindo que tais medidas compuseram um programa de “defesa híbrida” consideravelmente bem-sucedido para a proteção dos objetivos geoestratégicos russos diante de um cenário de crescentes hostilidades com potências ocidentais.UFRGS2023-05-31info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ConjunturaAustral/article/view/13030010.22456/2178-8839.130300Conjuntura Austral; Vol. 14 No. 66 (2023); 87-102Conjuntura Austral; Vol. 14 Núm. 66 (2023); 87-102Conjuntura Austral; v. 14 n. 66 (2023); 87-1022178-8839reponame:Conjuntura Australinstname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)instacron:UFRGSporhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ConjunturaAustral/article/view/130300/88745Copyright (c) 2023 Benno Warken Alves, Bruno Vieira de Macedo, Lucas Roahnyhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessWarken Alves, BennoVieira de Macedo, BrunoRoahny, Lucas2023-05-31T14:00:53Zoai:seer.ufrgs.br:article/130300Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/ConjunturaAustralPUBhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/ConjunturaAustral/oaiconjunturaaustral@ufrgs.br||reisdasilva@hotmail.com||nerint@ufrgs.br||andre.reis@ufrgs.br2178-88392178-8839opendoar:https://seer.ufrgs.br/ConjunturaAustral/oaihttps://seer.ufrgs.br/ConjunturaAustral/oai2023-05-31T14:00:53Conjuntura Austral - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions Preparándose para la Guerra Híbrida: Un análisis de las acciones rusas para contraponerse a la interferencia externa y las revoluciones de colores Preparando-se para a guerra híbrida: uma análise das ações russas de enfrentamento a revoluções coloridas e interferência externa |
title |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions |
spellingShingle |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions Warken Alves, Benno Russia Hybrid war Foreign interference Rússia Guerra híbrida Interferência externa |
title_short |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions |
title_full |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions |
title_fullStr |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions |
title_sort |
Preparing for Hybrid War: An analysis of Russian measures to counter foreign interference and color revolutions |
author |
Warken Alves, Benno |
author_facet |
Warken Alves, Benno Vieira de Macedo, Bruno Roahny, Lucas |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Vieira de Macedo, Bruno Roahny, Lucas |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Warken Alves, Benno Vieira de Macedo, Bruno Roahny, Lucas |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Russia Hybrid war Foreign interference Rússia Guerra híbrida Interferência externa |
topic |
Russia Hybrid war Foreign interference Rússia Guerra híbrida Interferência externa |
description |
The recent conflict in Ukraine raised questions about Russian capacity to defend its strategic interests in a scenario of proxy confrontation against the United States and its European allies. Analyses that stand out highlight the accelerated “decoupling” from international institutions and mechanisms seen as deeply compromised with the interests of Western powers. Although discussions tend to emphasize Russian capacities in the economic and military areas, the preservation of the domestic political regime’s stability and legitimacy has been equally relevant to the Russian state’s geostrategic agenda. We argue such combined capacities have been built-up through a process of legal and institutional reform that took the last two decades. We suggest this process was guided by a specific comprehension about the phenomenon of hybrid war, consolidated in the same period among prominent members of the Russian Federation’s defense and security establishment. Lastly, we enumerate and interpret several successive Russian state decisions that raised its resilience in a scenario of growing hostilities with Western powers. |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-05-31 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ConjunturaAustral/article/view/130300 10.22456/2178-8839.130300 |
url |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ConjunturaAustral/article/view/130300 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.22456/2178-8839.130300 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/ConjunturaAustral/article/view/130300/88745 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2023 Benno Warken Alves, Bruno Vieira de Macedo, Lucas Roahny https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2023 Benno Warken Alves, Bruno Vieira de Macedo, Lucas Roahny https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFRGS |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFRGS |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Conjuntura Austral; Vol. 14 No. 66 (2023); 87-102 Conjuntura Austral; Vol. 14 Núm. 66 (2023); 87-102 Conjuntura Austral; v. 14 n. 66 (2023); 87-102 2178-8839 reponame:Conjuntura Austral instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) instacron:UFRGS |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) |
instacron_str |
UFRGS |
institution |
UFRGS |
reponame_str |
Conjuntura Austral |
collection |
Conjuntura Austral |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Conjuntura Austral - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
conjunturaaustral@ufrgs.br||reisdasilva@hotmail.com||nerint@ufrgs.br||andre.reis@ufrgs.br |
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