Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Santos, João Francisco Labres dos
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Kovalsyki, Bruna, Ferreira, Tiago de Souza, Pajewski, Franciane, Batista, Antonio Carlos, Tetto, Alexandre França, Soares, Ronaldo Viana
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Ciência Florestal (Online)
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851
Resumo: Considering that the formulation of fire danger index helps in the planning of prevention and combat activities, revealing, in advance, the probability of occurrence and spread of forest fires. This work aimed to adjust and to validate the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for areas of eucalypt cultivation in the state of São Paulo. Data on relative humidity, rainfall and records of forest fires from 10/11/2003 to 4/29/2016 were used. For the analysis, the data set was divided into two parts, with the observations between years 2003 and 2013 (75%) being used to adjust FMA, while the data referring to the years 2014 to 2016 (25%) were used to validate the new classification generated according to the establishment of the new threshold values of distinction among the fire danger classes. The results showed that the establishment of new thresholds for the definition of the danger classes provided improvements in the efficiency of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre in predicting the occurrence of fires in the study region.
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spelling Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo stateAdaptação da Fórmula de Monte Alegre para previsão do perigo de incêndios florestais na região central do estado de São PauloForest weatherHazard indexForest protectionMeteorologia florestalÍndice de perigoProteção florestalConsidering that the formulation of fire danger index helps in the planning of prevention and combat activities, revealing, in advance, the probability of occurrence and spread of forest fires. This work aimed to adjust and to validate the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for areas of eucalypt cultivation in the state of São Paulo. Data on relative humidity, rainfall and records of forest fires from 10/11/2003 to 4/29/2016 were used. For the analysis, the data set was divided into two parts, with the observations between years 2003 and 2013 (75%) being used to adjust FMA, while the data referring to the years 2014 to 2016 (25%) were used to validate the new classification generated according to the establishment of the new threshold values of distinction among the fire danger classes. The results showed that the establishment of new thresholds for the definition of the danger classes provided improvements in the efficiency of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre in predicting the occurrence of fires in the study region.Considerando que a formulação de índices de perigo de incêndios auxilia no planejamento das atividades de prevenção e combate, refletindo de forma antecipada a probabilidade de ocorrência e de propagação dos incêndios florestais, o presente trabalho teve por objetivo realizar o ajuste e validação da Fórmula de Monte Alegre para áreas de cultivo de eucalipto no Estado de São Paulo. Foram utilizados dados de umidade relativa do ar, precipitação pluviométrica e registros de ocorrência de incêndios florestais no período de 11/10/2003 a 29/04/2016. Para a análise, o conjunto de dados foi dividido em duas partes, sendo que as observações entre os anos de 2003 e 2013 (75%) foram utilizadas para o ajuste da FMA, enquanto os dados referentes aos anos de 2014 a 2016 (25%) foram utilizados para validar a nova classificação gerada conforme o estabelecimento dos novos valores limiares de distinção entre a classes de perigo de incêndios. Os resultados demonstraram que o estabelecimento de novos limiares para as definições das classes de perigo proporcionou melhorias na eficiência da Fórmula de Monte Alegre em prever a ocorrência de incêndios na região de estudo.Universidade Federal de Santa Maria2021-11-17info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdftext/htmltext/xmlhttps://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/5285110.5902/1980509852851Ciência Florestal; Vol. 31 No. 4 (2021); 1867-1884Ciência Florestal; v. 31 n. 4 (2021); 1867-18841980-50980103-9954reponame:Ciência Florestal (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)instacron:UFSMenghttps://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851/pdfhttps://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851/49133https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851/52468Copyright (c) 2021 Ciência Florestalhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSantos, João Francisco Labres dosKovalsyki, BrunaFerreira, Tiago de SouzaPajewski, FrancianeBatista, Antonio CarlosTetto, Alexandre FrançaSoares, Ronaldo Viana2023-04-20T18:09:56Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/52851Revistahttp://www.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/ONGhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||cienciaflorestal@ufsm.br|| cienciaflorestal@gmail.com|| cf@smail.ufsm.br1980-50980103-9954opendoar:2023-04-20T18:09:56Ciência Florestal (Online) - Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
Adaptação da Fórmula de Monte Alegre para previsão do perigo de incêndios florestais na região central do estado de São Paulo
title Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
spellingShingle Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
Santos, João Francisco Labres dos
Forest weather
Hazard index
Forest protection
Meteorologia florestal
Índice de perigo
Proteção florestal
title_short Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
title_full Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
title_fullStr Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
title_full_unstemmed Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
title_sort Adaptation of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for the danger prediction of forest fires in the central region of São Paulo state
author Santos, João Francisco Labres dos
author_facet Santos, João Francisco Labres dos
Kovalsyki, Bruna
Ferreira, Tiago de Souza
Pajewski, Franciane
Batista, Antonio Carlos
Tetto, Alexandre França
Soares, Ronaldo Viana
author_role author
author2 Kovalsyki, Bruna
Ferreira, Tiago de Souza
Pajewski, Franciane
Batista, Antonio Carlos
Tetto, Alexandre França
Soares, Ronaldo Viana
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Santos, João Francisco Labres dos
Kovalsyki, Bruna
Ferreira, Tiago de Souza
Pajewski, Franciane
Batista, Antonio Carlos
Tetto, Alexandre França
Soares, Ronaldo Viana
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Forest weather
Hazard index
Forest protection
Meteorologia florestal
Índice de perigo
Proteção florestal
topic Forest weather
Hazard index
Forest protection
Meteorologia florestal
Índice de perigo
Proteção florestal
description Considering that the formulation of fire danger index helps in the planning of prevention and combat activities, revealing, in advance, the probability of occurrence and spread of forest fires. This work aimed to adjust and to validate the Fórmula de Monte Alegre for areas of eucalypt cultivation in the state of São Paulo. Data on relative humidity, rainfall and records of forest fires from 10/11/2003 to 4/29/2016 were used. For the analysis, the data set was divided into two parts, with the observations between years 2003 and 2013 (75%) being used to adjust FMA, while the data referring to the years 2014 to 2016 (25%) were used to validate the new classification generated according to the establishment of the new threshold values of distinction among the fire danger classes. The results showed that the establishment of new thresholds for the definition of the danger classes provided improvements in the efficiency of the Fórmula de Monte Alegre in predicting the occurrence of fires in the study region.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-11-17
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851
10.5902/1980509852851
url https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851
identifier_str_mv 10.5902/1980509852851
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851/pdf
https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851/49133
https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaflorestal/article/view/52851/52468
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Ciência Florestal
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Ciência Florestal
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
text/html
text/xml
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal de Santa Maria
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Ciência Florestal; Vol. 31 No. 4 (2021); 1867-1884
Ciência Florestal; v. 31 n. 4 (2021); 1867-1884
1980-5098
0103-9954
reponame:Ciência Florestal (Online)
instname:Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)
instacron:UFSM
instname_str Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)
instacron_str UFSM
institution UFSM
reponame_str Ciência Florestal (Online)
collection Ciência Florestal (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Ciência Florestal (Online) - Universidade Federal de Santa Maria (UFSM)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||cienciaflorestal@ufsm.br|| cienciaflorestal@gmail.com|| cf@smail.ufsm.br
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