Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 1978 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Revista de Administração (São Paulo) |
Texto Completo: | https://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/article/view/166449 |
Resumo: | All available evidence indicates that the demand for tourism and recreation is this country is increasing and will continue to increasing much more in the coming years. As leisure use of natural resources contines to increase, its importance becomes more to decision makers responsible for public and private allocation. Estimates of consumer demand and associated resource values are basic to this decision process. This study attempts to formulate a probabilistic model to be used in estimating and projecting consumer use of leisure and tourist facilities. Specifically, the objectives were: (1) to develop a conceptual model which permits estimates ofprobable tourist use of a given facility or site; (2) To apply the conceptual model to empirical data for the purpose of comparing actual and model predicted visitation rates for camping in the State of Sao Paulo; (c) To illustrate the application of the probabilistic analysis in the development of statistical demand estimates for camping. The model development is intendend for general problems of estimating many types of tourist resource use. Camping is used in the analysis to explore the applicability and operation of the model. |
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Revista de Administração (São Paulo) |
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Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazerUm modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazerAll available evidence indicates that the demand for tourism and recreation is this country is increasing and will continue to increasing much more in the coming years. As leisure use of natural resources contines to increase, its importance becomes more to decision makers responsible for public and private allocation. Estimates of consumer demand and associated resource values are basic to this decision process. This study attempts to formulate a probabilistic model to be used in estimating and projecting consumer use of leisure and tourist facilities. Specifically, the objectives were: (1) to develop a conceptual model which permits estimates ofprobable tourist use of a given facility or site; (2) To apply the conceptual model to empirical data for the purpose of comparing actual and model predicted visitation rates for camping in the State of Sao Paulo; (c) To illustrate the application of the probabilistic analysis in the development of statistical demand estimates for camping. The model development is intendend for general problems of estimating many types of tourist resource use. Camping is used in the analysis to explore the applicability and operation of the model.Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade1978-06-12info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/article/view/16644910.1016/rausp.v13i2.166449Revista de Administração; v. 13 n. 2 (1978); 56-71Revista de Administração; Vol. 13 No. 2 (1978); 56-71Revista de Administração; Vol. 13 Núm. 2 (1978); 56-711984-61420080-2107reponame:Revista de Administração (São Paulo)instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USPporhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/article/view/166449/159205Copyright (c) 1978 Revista de Administraçãoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessTeixeira, Gilberto José Weinberger2020-02-07T18:05:38Zoai:revistas.usp.br:article/166449Revistahttps://www.revistas.usp.br/rauspPUBhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/oairausp@usp.br||reinhard@usp.br1984-61420080-2107opendoar:2020-02-07T18:05:38Revista de Administração (São Paulo) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
title |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
spellingShingle |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer Teixeira, Gilberto José Weinberger |
title_short |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
title_full |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
title_fullStr |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
title_full_unstemmed |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
title_sort |
Um modelo probabilístico para estimar a demanda de atividade de lazer |
author |
Teixeira, Gilberto José Weinberger |
author_facet |
Teixeira, Gilberto José Weinberger |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Teixeira, Gilberto José Weinberger |
description |
All available evidence indicates that the demand for tourism and recreation is this country is increasing and will continue to increasing much more in the coming years. As leisure use of natural resources contines to increase, its importance becomes more to decision makers responsible for public and private allocation. Estimates of consumer demand and associated resource values are basic to this decision process. This study attempts to formulate a probabilistic model to be used in estimating and projecting consumer use of leisure and tourist facilities. Specifically, the objectives were: (1) to develop a conceptual model which permits estimates ofprobable tourist use of a given facility or site; (2) To apply the conceptual model to empirical data for the purpose of comparing actual and model predicted visitation rates for camping in the State of Sao Paulo; (c) To illustrate the application of the probabilistic analysis in the development of statistical demand estimates for camping. The model development is intendend for general problems of estimating many types of tourist resource use. Camping is used in the analysis to explore the applicability and operation of the model. |
publishDate |
1978 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
1978-06-12 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/article/view/166449 10.1016/rausp.v13i2.166449 |
url |
https://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/article/view/166449 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.1016/rausp.v13i2.166449 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://www.revistas.usp.br/rausp/article/view/166449/159205 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 1978 Revista de Administração info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 1978 Revista de Administração |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Revista de Administração; v. 13 n. 2 (1978); 56-71 Revista de Administração; Vol. 13 No. 2 (1978); 56-71 Revista de Administração; Vol. 13 Núm. 2 (1978); 56-71 1984-6142 0080-2107 reponame:Revista de Administração (São Paulo) instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP) instacron:USP |
instname_str |
Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
instacron_str |
USP |
institution |
USP |
reponame_str |
Revista de Administração (São Paulo) |
collection |
Revista de Administração (São Paulo) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista de Administração (São Paulo) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
rausp@usp.br||reinhard@usp.br |
_version_ |
1800222890848681984 |