Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2018 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Ambiente construído (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1678-86212018000400319 |
Resumo: | Abstract This paper demonstrates an investment economic analysis model based on Real Option Valuation Theory applied to decision-making of individual real estate investors. The model captures the valuation of flexibilities caused by expected market trend and uncertainty and offers an optimized value for the investment opportunity. A Real Option for investment delay is used applied to the case of postponing the selling of an apartment until the estimated "best" optimal market price and option value. Application of the model is made using market data from three Brazilian major cities' real estate market. As an important finding we have the estimation of an expanded Net Present Value for the investment when apartment selling is exercised at the optimal market price defined. It is possible to use this model to forecast what would be the optimal price and moment to sell an apartment in an investor point of view. |
id |
ANTAC-1_85a7312b09d5620508a7218e7779dde5 |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:scielo:S1678-86212018000400319 |
network_acronym_str |
ANTAC-1 |
network_name_str |
Ambiente construído (Online) |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartmentReal optionsUncertaintyInvestment decisionReal EstateAbstract This paper demonstrates an investment economic analysis model based on Real Option Valuation Theory applied to decision-making of individual real estate investors. The model captures the valuation of flexibilities caused by expected market trend and uncertainty and offers an optimized value for the investment opportunity. A Real Option for investment delay is used applied to the case of postponing the selling of an apartment until the estimated "best" optimal market price and option value. Application of the model is made using market data from three Brazilian major cities' real estate market. As an important finding we have the estimation of an expanded Net Present Value for the investment when apartment selling is exercised at the optimal market price defined. It is possible to use this model to forecast what would be the optimal price and moment to sell an apartment in an investor point of view.Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído - ANTAC2018-10-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1678-86212018000400319Ambiente Construído v.18 n.4 2018reponame:Ambiente construído (Online)instname:Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído (ANTAC)instacron:ANTAC10.1590/s1678-86212018000400307info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessAbreu,Carlos Alexandre Camargo deeng2021-04-09T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1678-86212018000400319Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/ambienteconstruidohttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||ambienteconstruido@ufrgs.br1678-86211415-8876opendoar:2021-04-09T00:00Ambiente construído (Online) - Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído (ANTAC)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
title |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
spellingShingle |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment Abreu,Carlos Alexandre Camargo de Real options Uncertainty Investment decision Real Estate |
title_short |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
title_full |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
title_fullStr |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
title_sort |
Estimating the optimal market price to sell an apartment |
author |
Abreu,Carlos Alexandre Camargo de |
author_facet |
Abreu,Carlos Alexandre Camargo de |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Abreu,Carlos Alexandre Camargo de |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Real options Uncertainty Investment decision Real Estate |
topic |
Real options Uncertainty Investment decision Real Estate |
description |
Abstract This paper demonstrates an investment economic analysis model based on Real Option Valuation Theory applied to decision-making of individual real estate investors. The model captures the valuation of flexibilities caused by expected market trend and uncertainty and offers an optimized value for the investment opportunity. A Real Option for investment delay is used applied to the case of postponing the selling of an apartment until the estimated "best" optimal market price and option value. Application of the model is made using market data from three Brazilian major cities' real estate market. As an important finding we have the estimation of an expanded Net Present Value for the investment when apartment selling is exercised at the optimal market price defined. It is possible to use this model to forecast what would be the optimal price and moment to sell an apartment in an investor point of view. |
publishDate |
2018 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2018-10-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1678-86212018000400319 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1678-86212018000400319 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/s1678-86212018000400307 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído - ANTAC |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído - ANTAC |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Ambiente Construído v.18 n.4 2018 reponame:Ambiente construído (Online) instname:Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído (ANTAC) instacron:ANTAC |
instname_str |
Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído (ANTAC) |
instacron_str |
ANTAC |
institution |
ANTAC |
reponame_str |
Ambiente construído (Online) |
collection |
Ambiente construído (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Ambiente construído (Online) - Associação Nacional de Tecnologia do Ambiente Construído (ANTAC) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||ambienteconstruido@ufrgs.br |
_version_ |
1754209104026402816 |