Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Biota Neotropica |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1676-06032020000500206 |
Resumo: | Abstract: Rapid land-use/land cover changes (LULCC) have led to habitat loss and fragmentation in the natural forest areas, which are mainly due to the intense and rapid expansion of urban areas and intense agricultural management. These processes are strongly threatening biodiversity maintenance and the ecosystem services provided by them. Among the ecosystem services under threat, pollination has been widely studied since this service is essential to promote food production and, therefore, human well-being. In a scenario of increasing LULCC it is crucial to understand the interplay between these changes, pollination demand by insect-dependent crops and pollinator availability to ensure these ecosystem services meet the increased demand for food production. In this study, we developed a conceptual model to disentangle the relationships between human-nature, especially LULCC, and its consequences, to the delivery of pollination service. We also presented a case study in the Brazilian São Paulo state, where we modeled the effects of predicted LULCC associated to agriculture expansion between the years 2012 and 2030 on pollinator demand by crops and pollinator supply, for fourteen economically important crops. Additionally, we systematized an expert-based Ecosystem Service matrix to estimate the influences of LULCC on the provision of pollination. Our results showed that by 2030, the demand for pollination will increase by 40% on average, while pollinator supply, estimated using suitability values for the different land-use/cover classes, will show, on average, a 3% decrease. Our results highlight the importance of considering the dialogue among stakeholders, governments, institutions, and scientists to find alternatives and strategies to promote pollinator-friendly practices and safeguard the provision of pollination services in a future under LULCC. |
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Biota Neotropica |
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|
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Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazilbeescrop-dependenceEcosystem serviceshuman-nature interfaceTropical ForestAbstract: Rapid land-use/land cover changes (LULCC) have led to habitat loss and fragmentation in the natural forest areas, which are mainly due to the intense and rapid expansion of urban areas and intense agricultural management. These processes are strongly threatening biodiversity maintenance and the ecosystem services provided by them. Among the ecosystem services under threat, pollination has been widely studied since this service is essential to promote food production and, therefore, human well-being. In a scenario of increasing LULCC it is crucial to understand the interplay between these changes, pollination demand by insect-dependent crops and pollinator availability to ensure these ecosystem services meet the increased demand for food production. In this study, we developed a conceptual model to disentangle the relationships between human-nature, especially LULCC, and its consequences, to the delivery of pollination service. We also presented a case study in the Brazilian São Paulo state, where we modeled the effects of predicted LULCC associated to agriculture expansion between the years 2012 and 2030 on pollinator demand by crops and pollinator supply, for fourteen economically important crops. Additionally, we systematized an expert-based Ecosystem Service matrix to estimate the influences of LULCC on the provision of pollination. Our results showed that by 2030, the demand for pollination will increase by 40% on average, while pollinator supply, estimated using suitability values for the different land-use/cover classes, will show, on average, a 3% decrease. Our results highlight the importance of considering the dialogue among stakeholders, governments, institutions, and scientists to find alternatives and strategies to promote pollinator-friendly practices and safeguard the provision of pollination services in a future under LULCC.Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade | BIOTA - FAPESP2020-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1676-06032020000500206Biota Neotropica v.20 suppl.1 2020reponame:Biota Neotropicainstname:Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade (BIOTA-FAPESP)instacron:BIOTA - FAPESP10.1590/1676-0611-bn-2019-0906info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBarbosa,Marcela de MatosCarneiro,Liedson TavaresPereira,Manuela Franco de Carvalho da SilvaRodriguez,Catalina ZuluagaChagas,Tássia Rayane FerreiraMoya,WladimirBergamini,Leonardo LimaMancini,Matheus Camargo SilvaPaes,Natalia DantasGiraldo,Laura Camila Perezeng2020-07-07T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1676-06032020000500206Revistahttps://www.biotaneotropica.org.br/v20n1/pt/https://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||juliosa@unifap.br1676-06111676-0611opendoar:2020-07-07T00:00Biota Neotropica - Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade (BIOTA-FAPESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
title |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil Barbosa,Marcela de Matos bees crop-dependence Ecosystem services human-nature interface Tropical Forest |
title_short |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
title_full |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
title_sort |
Future scenarios of land-use-cover effects on pollination supply and demand in São Paulo State, Brazil |
author |
Barbosa,Marcela de Matos |
author_facet |
Barbosa,Marcela de Matos Carneiro,Liedson Tavares Pereira,Manuela Franco de Carvalho da Silva Rodriguez,Catalina Zuluaga Chagas,Tássia Rayane Ferreira Moya,Wladimir Bergamini,Leonardo Lima Mancini,Matheus Camargo Silva Paes,Natalia Dantas Giraldo,Laura Camila Perez |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Carneiro,Liedson Tavares Pereira,Manuela Franco de Carvalho da Silva Rodriguez,Catalina Zuluaga Chagas,Tássia Rayane Ferreira Moya,Wladimir Bergamini,Leonardo Lima Mancini,Matheus Camargo Silva Paes,Natalia Dantas Giraldo,Laura Camila Perez |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Barbosa,Marcela de Matos Carneiro,Liedson Tavares Pereira,Manuela Franco de Carvalho da Silva Rodriguez,Catalina Zuluaga Chagas,Tássia Rayane Ferreira Moya,Wladimir Bergamini,Leonardo Lima Mancini,Matheus Camargo Silva Paes,Natalia Dantas Giraldo,Laura Camila Perez |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
bees crop-dependence Ecosystem services human-nature interface Tropical Forest |
topic |
bees crop-dependence Ecosystem services human-nature interface Tropical Forest |
description |
Abstract: Rapid land-use/land cover changes (LULCC) have led to habitat loss and fragmentation in the natural forest areas, which are mainly due to the intense and rapid expansion of urban areas and intense agricultural management. These processes are strongly threatening biodiversity maintenance and the ecosystem services provided by them. Among the ecosystem services under threat, pollination has been widely studied since this service is essential to promote food production and, therefore, human well-being. In a scenario of increasing LULCC it is crucial to understand the interplay between these changes, pollination demand by insect-dependent crops and pollinator availability to ensure these ecosystem services meet the increased demand for food production. In this study, we developed a conceptual model to disentangle the relationships between human-nature, especially LULCC, and its consequences, to the delivery of pollination service. We also presented a case study in the Brazilian São Paulo state, where we modeled the effects of predicted LULCC associated to agriculture expansion between the years 2012 and 2030 on pollinator demand by crops and pollinator supply, for fourteen economically important crops. Additionally, we systematized an expert-based Ecosystem Service matrix to estimate the influences of LULCC on the provision of pollination. Our results showed that by 2030, the demand for pollination will increase by 40% on average, while pollinator supply, estimated using suitability values for the different land-use/cover classes, will show, on average, a 3% decrease. Our results highlight the importance of considering the dialogue among stakeholders, governments, institutions, and scientists to find alternatives and strategies to promote pollinator-friendly practices and safeguard the provision of pollination services in a future under LULCC. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-01-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1676-06032020000500206 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1676-06032020000500206 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1676-0611-bn-2019-0906 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade | BIOTA - FAPESP |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade | BIOTA - FAPESP |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Biota Neotropica v.20 suppl.1 2020 reponame:Biota Neotropica instname:Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade (BIOTA-FAPESP) instacron:BIOTA - FAPESP |
instname_str |
Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade (BIOTA-FAPESP) |
instacron_str |
BIOTA - FAPESP |
institution |
BIOTA - FAPESP |
reponame_str |
Biota Neotropica |
collection |
Biota Neotropica |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Biota Neotropica - Instituto Virtual da Biodiversidade (BIOTA-FAPESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||juliosa@unifap.br |
_version_ |
1754575901954146304 |