The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2015 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz |
Texto Completo: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762015000400528 |
Resumo: | Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to allow for improvements of control measures. To investigate the spatiotemporal pattern of an epidemic dengue occurred at a medium-sized city in the Northeast Region of Brazil in 2009, we conducted an ecological study of the notified dengue cases georeferenced according to epidemiological week (EW) and home address. Kernel density estimation and space-time interaction were analysed using the Knox method. The evolution of the epidemic was analysed using an animated projection technique. The dengue incidence was 6.918.7/100,000 inhabitants; the peak of the epidemic occurred from 8 February-1 March, EWs 6-9 (828.7/100,000 inhabitants). There were cases throughout the city and was identified space-time interaction. Three epicenters were responsible for spreading the disease in an expansion and relocation diffusion pattern. If the health services could detect in real time the epicenters and apply nimbly control measures, may possibly reduce the magnitude of dengue epidemics. |
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Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz |
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The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized citydengueepidemiologyepidemicdiffusionspatiotemporaltrajectoryUnderstanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to allow for improvements of control measures. To investigate the spatiotemporal pattern of an epidemic dengue occurred at a medium-sized city in the Northeast Region of Brazil in 2009, we conducted an ecological study of the notified dengue cases georeferenced according to epidemiological week (EW) and home address. Kernel density estimation and space-time interaction were analysed using the Knox method. The evolution of the epidemic was analysed using an animated projection technique. The dengue incidence was 6.918.7/100,000 inhabitants; the peak of the epidemic occurred from 8 February-1 March, EWs 6-9 (828.7/100,000 inhabitants). There were cases throughout the city and was identified space-time interaction. Three epicenters were responsible for spreading the disease in an expansion and relocation diffusion pattern. If the health services could detect in real time the epicenters and apply nimbly control measures, may possibly reduce the magnitude of dengue epidemics.Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Ministério da Saúde2015-06-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762015000400528Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz v.110 n.4 2015reponame:Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruzinstname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruzinstacron:FIOCRUZ10.1590/0074-0276140388info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessMorato,Daniela GBarreto,Florisneide RBraga,José UNatividade,Marcio SCosta,Maria da Conceição NMorato,VanessaTeixeira,Maria da Glória Lima Cruzeng2020-04-25T17:52:12Zhttp://www.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php0074-02761678-8060opendoar:null2020-04-26 02:20:42.673Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz - Fundação Oswaldo Cruztrue |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
title |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
spellingShingle |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city Morato,Daniela G dengue epidemiology epidemic diffusion spatiotemporal trajectory |
title_short |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
title_full |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
title_fullStr |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
title_full_unstemmed |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
title_sort |
The spatiotemporal trajectory of a dengue epidemic in a medium-sized city |
author |
Morato,Daniela G |
author_facet |
Morato,Daniela G Barreto,Florisneide R Braga,José U Natividade,Marcio S Costa,Maria da Conceição N Morato,Vanessa Teixeira,Maria da Glória Lima Cruz |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Barreto,Florisneide R Braga,José U Natividade,Marcio S Costa,Maria da Conceição N Morato,Vanessa Teixeira,Maria da Glória Lima Cruz |
author2_role |
author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Morato,Daniela G Barreto,Florisneide R Braga,José U Natividade,Marcio S Costa,Maria da Conceição N Morato,Vanessa Teixeira,Maria da Glória Lima Cruz |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
dengue epidemiology epidemic diffusion spatiotemporal trajectory |
topic |
dengue epidemiology epidemic diffusion spatiotemporal trajectory |
dc.description.none.fl_txt_mv |
Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to allow for improvements of control measures. To investigate the spatiotemporal pattern of an epidemic dengue occurred at a medium-sized city in the Northeast Region of Brazil in 2009, we conducted an ecological study of the notified dengue cases georeferenced according to epidemiological week (EW) and home address. Kernel density estimation and space-time interaction were analysed using the Knox method. The evolution of the epidemic was analysed using an animated projection technique. The dengue incidence was 6.918.7/100,000 inhabitants; the peak of the epidemic occurred from 8 February-1 March, EWs 6-9 (828.7/100,000 inhabitants). There were cases throughout the city and was identified space-time interaction. Three epicenters were responsible for spreading the disease in an expansion and relocation diffusion pattern. If the health services could detect in real time the epicenters and apply nimbly control measures, may possibly reduce the magnitude of dengue epidemics. |
description |
Understanding the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases is important to allow for improvements of control measures. To investigate the spatiotemporal pattern of an epidemic dengue occurred at a medium-sized city in the Northeast Region of Brazil in 2009, we conducted an ecological study of the notified dengue cases georeferenced according to epidemiological week (EW) and home address. Kernel density estimation and space-time interaction were analysed using the Knox method. The evolution of the epidemic was analysed using an animated projection technique. The dengue incidence was 6.918.7/100,000 inhabitants; the peak of the epidemic occurred from 8 February-1 March, EWs 6-9 (828.7/100,000 inhabitants). There were cases throughout the city and was identified space-time interaction. Three epicenters were responsible for spreading the disease in an expansion and relocation diffusion pattern. If the health services could detect in real time the epicenters and apply nimbly control measures, may possibly reduce the magnitude of dengue epidemics. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2015-06-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762015000400528 |
url |
http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0074-02762015000400528 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/0074-0276140388 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Ministério da Saúde |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Ministério da Saúde |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz v.110 n.4 2015 reponame:Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz instacron:FIOCRUZ |
reponame_str |
Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz |
collection |
Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz |
instname_str |
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz |
instacron_str |
FIOCRUZ |
institution |
FIOCRUZ |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Memórias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1669937719298490368 |