Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Pereira, Telma
Data de Publicação: 2018
Outros Autores: Ferreira, Francisco L., Cardoso, Sandra, Silva, Dina, De Mendonça, Alexandre, Guerreiro, Manuela, Madeira, Sara C.
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10451/52296
Resumo: © The Author(s). 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
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spelling Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictabilityAlzheimer’s diseaseEnsemble learningFeature selectionMild cognitive impairmentNeuropsychological dataPrognostic predictionTime windows© The Author(s). 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.Background: Predicting progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's Disease (AD) is an utmost open issue in AD-related research. Neuropsychological assessment has proven to be useful in identifying MCI patients who are likely to convert to dementia. However, the large battery of neuropsychological tests (NPTs) performed in clinical practice and the limited number of training examples are challenge to machine learning when learning prognostic models. In this context, it is paramount to pursue approaches that effectively seek for reduced sets of relevant features. Subsets of NPTs from which prognostic models can be learnt should not only be good predictors, but also stable, promoting generalizable and explainable models. Methods: We propose a feature selection (FS) ensemble combining stability and predictability to choose the most relevant NPTs for prognostic prediction in AD. First, we combine the outcome of multiple (filter and embedded) FS methods. Then, we use a wrapper-based approach optimizing both stability and predictability to compute the number of selected features. We use two large prospective studies (ADNI and the Portuguese Cognitive Complaints Cohort, CCC) to evaluate the approach and assess the predictive value of a large number of NPTs. Results: The best subsets of features include approximately 30 and 20 (from the original 79 and 40) features, for ADNI and CCC data, respectively, yielding stability above 0.89 and 0.95, and AUC above 0.87 and 0.82. Most NPTs learnt using the proposed feature selection ensemble have been identified in the literature as strong predictors of conversion from MCI to AD. Conclusions: The FS ensemble approach was able to 1) identify subsets of stable and relevant predictors from a consensus of multiple FS methods using baseline NPTs and 2) learn reliable prognostic models of conversion from MCI to AD using these subsets of features. The machine learning models learnt from these features outperformed the models trained without FS and achieved competitive results when compared to commonly used FS algorithms. Furthermore, the selected features are derived from a consensus of methods thus being more robust, while releasing users from choosing the most appropriate FS method to be used in their classification task.This work was supported by FCT through funding of Neuroclinomics2 project, ref. PTDC/EEI-SII/1937/2014, research grants (SFRH/BD/95846/2013, SFRH/BD/118872/2016) to TP and FLF, and LASIGE Research Unit, ref. UID/CEC/00408/2013.Springer NatureRepositório da Universidade de LisboaPereira, TelmaFerreira, Francisco L.Cardoso, SandraSilva, DinaDe Mendonça, AlexandreGuerreiro, ManuelaMadeira, Sara C.2022-04-12T11:45:58Z20182018-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/52296engBMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2018 Dec 19;18(1):1371472-694710.1186/s12911-018-0710-yinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-11-08T16:57:25Zoai:repositorio.ul.pt:10451/52296Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T22:03:25.440352Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
title Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
spellingShingle Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
Pereira, Telma
Alzheimer’s disease
Ensemble learning
Feature selection
Mild cognitive impairment
Neuropsychological data
Prognostic prediction
Time windows
title_short Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
title_full Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
title_fullStr Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
title_full_unstemmed Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
title_sort Neuropsychological predictors of conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer’s disease: a feature selection ensemble combining stability and predictability
author Pereira, Telma
author_facet Pereira, Telma
Ferreira, Francisco L.
Cardoso, Sandra
Silva, Dina
De Mendonça, Alexandre
Guerreiro, Manuela
Madeira, Sara C.
author_role author
author2 Ferreira, Francisco L.
Cardoso, Sandra
Silva, Dina
De Mendonça, Alexandre
Guerreiro, Manuela
Madeira, Sara C.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Pereira, Telma
Ferreira, Francisco L.
Cardoso, Sandra
Silva, Dina
De Mendonça, Alexandre
Guerreiro, Manuela
Madeira, Sara C.
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Alzheimer’s disease
Ensemble learning
Feature selection
Mild cognitive impairment
Neuropsychological data
Prognostic prediction
Time windows
topic Alzheimer’s disease
Ensemble learning
Feature selection
Mild cognitive impairment
Neuropsychological data
Prognostic prediction
Time windows
description © The Author(s). 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2018
2018-01-01T00:00:00Z
2022-04-12T11:45:58Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10451/52296
url http://hdl.handle.net/10451/52296
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2018 Dec 19;18(1):137
1472-6947
10.1186/s12911-018-0710-y
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer Nature
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer Nature
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reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
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