Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Paliokaité, Agné
Data de Publicação: 2010
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/5724
Resumo: Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies,6,IET, pp.9-51
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spelling Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sectorEnergy sectorParticipatory governanceForesight methodsForesight exerciseLithuaniaEnterprise and Work Innovation Studies,6,IET, pp.9-51This paper has its starting point in the background analysis of the Lithuanian energy sector after closing down the only Lithuanian nuclear power plant in 2010. Based on the hypothesis that one of the main governance failures in this sector leading to weak industry level strategies is the lack of participatory debate and sufficient linkages between the different actors involved in the dynamic of the energy sector in Lithuania, this paper proposes industry level foresight as an instrument of long term planning. Foresight exercises could become an important instrument for reorienting energy sector policy, building new networks and linkages among the different actors, bringing new stakeholders into the strategic debate, exploring future opportunities State investment (including R&D), etc. The primary objective of this paper is therefore the design of a foresight exercise on energy sector with the aim of producing a long term strategy for this sector. The secondary objective is to address a topic on how to select foresight methods at industry level. The argument is that a better understanding of the fundamental attributes of foresight methods and their linkages to the core phases of a foresight process can provide useful insights as to how the selection of methods is carried out. The method applied in this paper is dual: firstly, the synthesis of the academic literature on the selection of foresight methods is carried out; secondly, the comparative case study analysis of three foresight cases in the Baltic Sea Region (Poland, Finland and Russia) is applied. Case study analysis allows to explore the usage of foresight methods at industry level in the Baltic Sea Region and to understand if there are any similarities in the approach, also to explore success factors and weaknesses. The analysis in this paper is comprised of four main parts. The first part provides a background analysis on the energy sector in Lithuania and justification for the foresight exercise. Second part describes the underlying frameworks and definitions in the field of foresight research. The third part develops a comparative analysis of case studies of industry level foresight. The third part provides recommendations for energy sector foresight methodology in Lithuania. The paper combines concepts and frameworks from literature (such as the Foresight Process and the Foresight Diamond) with comparative practical case study analysis. The results can be utilised by lecturers and students to describe and understand better the use of foresight methods at industry level, and by practitioners of foresight to better inform decisions during the design of more coherent methodological frameworks; as well as by the energy sector stakeholders in Lithuania and other countries.IETRUNPaliokaité, Agné2011-06-07T10:11:50Z2010-122010-12-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/5724engPaliokaité, Agné (2010), Industry level foresight: Designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector, Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, 6, pp. 9 - 511646-1223info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T03:36:30Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/5724Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:16:28.449177Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
title Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
spellingShingle Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
Paliokaité, Agné
Energy sector
Participatory governance
Foresight methods
Foresight exercise
Lithuania
title_short Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
title_full Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
title_fullStr Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
title_full_unstemmed Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
title_sort Industry level foresight: designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector
author Paliokaité, Agné
author_facet Paliokaité, Agné
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Paliokaité, Agné
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Energy sector
Participatory governance
Foresight methods
Foresight exercise
Lithuania
topic Energy sector
Participatory governance
Foresight methods
Foresight exercise
Lithuania
description Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies,6,IET, pp.9-51
publishDate 2010
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2010-12
2010-12-01T00:00:00Z
2011-06-07T10:11:50Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/5724
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/5724
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Paliokaité, Agné (2010), Industry level foresight: Designing foresight methods for Lithuanian energy sector, Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, 6, pp. 9 - 51
1646-1223
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publisher.none.fl_str_mv IET
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