Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/15212 |
Resumo: | This is the first attempt to apply an expert-based ecological vulnerability assessment of the effects of climate change on the main marine resources of Portugal. The vulnerability, exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity, and expected directional effects of 74 species of fish and invertebrates of commercial interest is estimated based on criteria related to their life-history and level of conservation or exploitation. This analysis is performed separately for three regions of Portugal and two scenarios of climate change (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). To do that, the fourth assessment report IPCC framework for vulnerability assessments was coupled to the outputs of a physical-biogeochemical model allowing to weight the exposure of the species by the expected variability of the environmental variables in the future. The highest vulnerabilities were found for some migratory and elasmobranch species, although overall vulnerability scores were low probably due to the high adaptive capacity of species from temperate ecosystems. Among regions, the highest average vulnerability was estimated for the species in the Central region while higher vulnerabilities were identified under climate change scenario RCP 8.5 in the three regions, due to higher expected climatic variability. This work establishes the basis for the assessment of the vulnerability of the human activities relying on marine resources in the context of climate change. |
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Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of PortugalThis is the first attempt to apply an expert-based ecological vulnerability assessment of the effects of climate change on the main marine resources of Portugal. The vulnerability, exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity, and expected directional effects of 74 species of fish and invertebrates of commercial interest is estimated based on criteria related to their life-history and level of conservation or exploitation. This analysis is performed separately for three regions of Portugal and two scenarios of climate change (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). To do that, the fourth assessment report IPCC framework for vulnerability assessments was coupled to the outputs of a physical-biogeochemical model allowing to weight the exposure of the species by the expected variability of the environmental variables in the future. The highest vulnerabilities were found for some migratory and elasmobranch species, although overall vulnerability scores were low probably due to the high adaptive capacity of species from temperate ecosystems. Among regions, the highest average vulnerability was estimated for the species in the Central region while higher vulnerabilities were identified under climate change scenario RCP 8.5 in the three regions, due to higher expected climatic variability. This work establishes the basis for the assessment of the vulnerability of the human activities relying on marine resources in the context of climate change.FCT: UIDB/04326/2020/ UIDP/50017/2020+UIDB/50017/2020; MAR2020-FEAMP through project CLIMA-PESCA: MAR-01.03.02-FEAMP-0052/ n2/SAICT/2017-SAICT/ SAICT-45-2017-02/ ALG-01-0145-FEDER-028518/ PTDC/ASP-PES/28518/2017NatureSapientiaBueno-Pardo, JuanNobre, DanielaMonteiro, J. N.Sousa, Pedro M.Costa, EudrianoBaptista, VâniaOvelheiro, AndreiaVieira, VascoChicharo, LuisGaspar, MiguelErzini, KarimKay, SusanaQueiroga, HenriqueTeodosio, MariaLeitão, Francisco2021-03-10T14:58:37Z2021-02-032021-03-05T12:03:42Z2021-02-03T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/15212eng2045-2322cv-prod-234076310.1038/s41598-021-82595-5info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-24T10:27:35Zoai:sapientia.ualg.pt:10400.1/15212Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T20:06:04.154789Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
title |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
spellingShingle |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal Bueno-Pardo, Juan |
title_short |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
title_full |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
title_fullStr |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
title_sort |
Climate change vulnerability assessment of the main marine commercial fish and invertebrates of Portugal |
author |
Bueno-Pardo, Juan |
author_facet |
Bueno-Pardo, Juan Nobre, Daniela Monteiro, J. N. Sousa, Pedro M. Costa, Eudriano Baptista, Vânia Ovelheiro, Andreia Vieira, Vasco Chicharo, Luis Gaspar, Miguel Erzini, Karim Kay, Susana Queiroga, Henrique Teodosio, Maria Leitão, Francisco |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Nobre, Daniela Monteiro, J. N. Sousa, Pedro M. Costa, Eudriano Baptista, Vânia Ovelheiro, Andreia Vieira, Vasco Chicharo, Luis Gaspar, Miguel Erzini, Karim Kay, Susana Queiroga, Henrique Teodosio, Maria Leitão, Francisco |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Sapientia |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bueno-Pardo, Juan Nobre, Daniela Monteiro, J. N. Sousa, Pedro M. Costa, Eudriano Baptista, Vânia Ovelheiro, Andreia Vieira, Vasco Chicharo, Luis Gaspar, Miguel Erzini, Karim Kay, Susana Queiroga, Henrique Teodosio, Maria Leitão, Francisco |
description |
This is the first attempt to apply an expert-based ecological vulnerability assessment of the effects of climate change on the main marine resources of Portugal. The vulnerability, exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity, and expected directional effects of 74 species of fish and invertebrates of commercial interest is estimated based on criteria related to their life-history and level of conservation or exploitation. This analysis is performed separately for three regions of Portugal and two scenarios of climate change (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). To do that, the fourth assessment report IPCC framework for vulnerability assessments was coupled to the outputs of a physical-biogeochemical model allowing to weight the exposure of the species by the expected variability of the environmental variables in the future. The highest vulnerabilities were found for some migratory and elasmobranch species, although overall vulnerability scores were low probably due to the high adaptive capacity of species from temperate ecosystems. Among regions, the highest average vulnerability was estimated for the species in the Central region while higher vulnerabilities were identified under climate change scenario RCP 8.5 in the three regions, due to higher expected climatic variability. This work establishes the basis for the assessment of the vulnerability of the human activities relying on marine resources in the context of climate change. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-03-10T14:58:37Z 2021-02-03 2021-03-05T12:03:42Z 2021-02-03T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/15212 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.1/15212 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
2045-2322 cv-prod-2340763 10.1038/s41598-021-82595-5 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Nature |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799133301670150144 |