The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Gouveia, Miguel
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Ascenção, Raquel, Fiorentino, Francesca, Costa, João, Caldeira, Daniel, Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula, Fonseca, Candida, Borges, Margarida
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408
Resumo: © 2019 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. ESC HEART FAILURE ESC Heart Failure (2019) Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12399 This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
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spelling The current and future burden of heart failure in PortugalHeart failureGlobal burden of diseaseMorbidityMortalityPrematureForecasting© 2019 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. ESC HEART FAILURE ESC Heart Failure (2019) Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12399 This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome with significant social and economic burden. We aimed to estimate the burden of HF in mainland Portugal over a 22-year time horizon, between 2014 and 2036. METHODS AND RESULTS: Heart failure burden was measured in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), resulting from the sum of years of life lost (YLL) due to premature death and years lost due to disability (YLD). YLL were estimated based on the Portuguese mortality rates reported by the European Detailed Mortality Database. For YLD, disease duration and the overall incidence were estimated using an epidemiological model developed by the World Health Organization (DISMOD II). Disability weights were retrieved from published literature. The impact of ageing was estimated with a shift-share analysis using official demographic projections. In 2014, 4688 deaths were attributed to HF, corresponding to 4.7% of the total deaths in mainland Portugal. DALYs totalled 21 162, 53.9% due to premature death (YLL: 11 398) and 46.1% due to disability (YLD: 9765). Considering only population ageing over a 22-year horizon, the deaths and burden of HF are expected to increase by 73.0% and 27.9%, respectively, reaching 8112 deaths and 27 059 DALYs lost due to HF in 2036. DALY's growth is mainly driven by the increase of YLL, whose contribution to overall burden will increase to 62.0%. CONCLUSIONS: Heart failure is an emerging and growing health problem where significant health gains may be obtained. The projected significant increase of HF burden highlights the need to set HF as a priority for healthcare system.This study was supported by Novartis Farma, Produtos Farmacêuticos SA through an unrestricted grant to the Research and Development Association of Lisbon University School of Medicine (AIDFM). Funding was independent of the study outcomes. The promoter did not participate in any phase of the study.Wiley Open AccessRepositório da Universidade de LisboaGouveia, MiguelAscenção, RaquelFiorentino, FrancescaCosta, JoãoCaldeira, DanielBroeiro-Gonçalves, PaulaFonseca, CandidaBorges, Margarida2019-01-15T12:39:22Z20192019-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408engESC Heart Fail. 2019 Jan 8. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.12399.2055-582210.1002/ehf2.12399info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-14T15:25:15ZPortal AgregadorONG
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
title The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
spellingShingle The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
Gouveia, Miguel
Heart failure
Global burden of disease
Morbidity
Mortality
Premature
Forecasting
title_short The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
title_full The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
title_fullStr The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
title_full_unstemmed The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
title_sort The current and future burden of heart failure in Portugal
author Gouveia, Miguel
author_facet Gouveia, Miguel
Ascenção, Raquel
Fiorentino, Francesca
Costa, João
Caldeira, Daniel
Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula
Fonseca, Candida
Borges, Margarida
author_role author
author2 Ascenção, Raquel
Fiorentino, Francesca
Costa, João
Caldeira, Daniel
Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula
Fonseca, Candida
Borges, Margarida
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Gouveia, Miguel
Ascenção, Raquel
Fiorentino, Francesca
Costa, João
Caldeira, Daniel
Broeiro-Gonçalves, Paula
Fonseca, Candida
Borges, Margarida
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Heart failure
Global burden of disease
Morbidity
Mortality
Premature
Forecasting
topic Heart failure
Global burden of disease
Morbidity
Mortality
Premature
Forecasting
description © 2019 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. ESC HEART FAILURE ESC Heart Failure (2019) Published online in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12399 This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-01-15T12:39:22Z
2019
2019-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408
url http://hdl.handle.net/10451/36408
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv ESC Heart Fail. 2019 Jan 8. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.12399.
2055-5822
10.1002/ehf2.12399
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley Open Access
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Wiley Open Access
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
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instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
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