Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10451/51661 |
Resumo: | Introduction. Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet is a rare epiphytic moss characteristically associated with water-filled holes in trees. We reviewed its range and population and assessed effects of climate change. Methods. An inventory of sites from where Codonoblepharon forsteri has been recorded was compiled. Extent of occurrence (EOO) and area of occupancy (AOO) were calculated. Population size was estimated, treating an occupied tree as an ‘individual-equivalent’ of the moss. Climatic conditions of the species’ current distribution were characterised, and an ensemble model of its distribution was generated. The latter was projected onto present and future climatic layers. Key results. Codonoblepharon forsteri has been recorded from 19 countries and 205 sites in Europe, North Africa and Southwest Asia. It has been undergoing an overall decline. Most sites have few occupied trees, and a world population of 1000–10,000 individual-equivalents is estimated. Model projections suggest that the species will experience a range increase of +0.36–0.65 by 2050 and +0.35–0.68 by 2070, especially in its northwest range, particularly across France and the UK. Range loss is predicted to be between –0.20 and –0.39 in 2050 and –0.21 and –0.65 in 2070, affecting the driest areas of the current range around the Mediterranean, especially in North Africa. Conclusions. Codonoblepharon forsteri has a relatively large EOO but relatively small AOO, probably due to habitat specialism. A major reason for recent declines appears to be widespread abandonment of traditional ‘pollarding’ of trees. The potential climatic range of the species will shift significantly northwards over the next few decades. |
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Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climateArea of occupancy; climate change; dendrotelmata; extent of occurrence; Orthotrichaceae; pollardingIntroduction. Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet is a rare epiphytic moss characteristically associated with water-filled holes in trees. We reviewed its range and population and assessed effects of climate change. Methods. An inventory of sites from where Codonoblepharon forsteri has been recorded was compiled. Extent of occurrence (EOO) and area of occupancy (AOO) were calculated. Population size was estimated, treating an occupied tree as an ‘individual-equivalent’ of the moss. Climatic conditions of the species’ current distribution were characterised, and an ensemble model of its distribution was generated. The latter was projected onto present and future climatic layers. Key results. Codonoblepharon forsteri has been recorded from 19 countries and 205 sites in Europe, North Africa and Southwest Asia. It has been undergoing an overall decline. Most sites have few occupied trees, and a world population of 1000–10,000 individual-equivalents is estimated. Model projections suggest that the species will experience a range increase of +0.36–0.65 by 2050 and +0.35–0.68 by 2070, especially in its northwest range, particularly across France and the UK. Range loss is predicted to be between –0.20 and –0.39 in 2050 and –0.21 and –0.65 in 2070, affecting the driest areas of the current range around the Mediterranean, especially in North Africa. Conclusions. Codonoblepharon forsteri has a relatively large EOO but relatively small AOO, probably due to habitat specialism. A major reason for recent declines appears to be widespread abandonment of traditional ‘pollarding’ of trees. The potential climatic range of the species will shift significantly northwards over the next few decades.Taylor & FrancisRepositório da Universidade de LisboaCallaghan, Des A.Aleffi, MicheleAlegro, AntunBisang, IreneBlockeel, Tom L.Collart, FlavienDragićević, SnežanaDraper, IsabelErdağ, AdnanErzberger, PeterGarcia, CésarGarilleti, RicardoHugonnot, VincentLara, FranciscoNatcheva, RaynaNémeth, CsabaPapp, BeátaSabovljević, MarkoSergio, CeciliaSim-Sim, ManuelaVanderpoorten, Alain2022-03-09T16:04:40Z2022-03-042022-03-04T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/51661engDes A. Callaghan, Michele Aleffi, Antun Alegro, Irene Bisang, Tom L. Blockeel, Flavien Collart, Snežana Dragićević, Isabel Draper, Adnan Erdağ, Peter Erzberger, César A. Garcia, Ricardo Garilleti, Vincent Hugonnot, Francisco Lara, Rayna Natcheva, Csaba Németh, Beáta Papp, Marko Sabovljević, Cecília Sérgio, Manuela Sim-Sim & Alain Vanderpoorten (2022) Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate, Journal of Bryology, DOI: 10.1080/03736687.2022.203254110.1080/03736687.2022.2032541info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-14T15:38:37ZPortal AgregadorONG |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
title |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
spellingShingle |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate Callaghan, Des A. Area of occupancy; climate change; dendrotelmata; extent of occurrence; Orthotrichaceae; pollarding |
title_short |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
title_full |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
title_fullStr |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
title_full_unstemmed |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
title_sort |
Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate |
author |
Callaghan, Des A. |
author_facet |
Callaghan, Des A. Aleffi, Michele Alegro, Antun Bisang, Irene Blockeel, Tom L. Collart, Flavien Dragićević, Snežana Draper, Isabel Erdağ, Adnan Erzberger, Peter Garcia, César Garilleti, Ricardo Hugonnot, Vincent Lara, Francisco Natcheva, Rayna Németh, Csaba Papp, Beáta Sabovljević, Marko Sergio, Cecilia Sim-Sim, Manuela Vanderpoorten, Alain |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Aleffi, Michele Alegro, Antun Bisang, Irene Blockeel, Tom L. Collart, Flavien Dragićević, Snežana Draper, Isabel Erdağ, Adnan Erzberger, Peter Garcia, César Garilleti, Ricardo Hugonnot, Vincent Lara, Francisco Natcheva, Rayna Németh, Csaba Papp, Beáta Sabovljević, Marko Sergio, Cecilia Sim-Sim, Manuela Vanderpoorten, Alain |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Callaghan, Des A. Aleffi, Michele Alegro, Antun Bisang, Irene Blockeel, Tom L. Collart, Flavien Dragićević, Snežana Draper, Isabel Erdağ, Adnan Erzberger, Peter Garcia, César Garilleti, Ricardo Hugonnot, Vincent Lara, Francisco Natcheva, Rayna Németh, Csaba Papp, Beáta Sabovljević, Marko Sergio, Cecilia Sim-Sim, Manuela Vanderpoorten, Alain |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Area of occupancy; climate change; dendrotelmata; extent of occurrence; Orthotrichaceae; pollarding |
topic |
Area of occupancy; climate change; dendrotelmata; extent of occurrence; Orthotrichaceae; pollarding |
description |
Introduction. Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet is a rare epiphytic moss characteristically associated with water-filled holes in trees. We reviewed its range and population and assessed effects of climate change. Methods. An inventory of sites from where Codonoblepharon forsteri has been recorded was compiled. Extent of occurrence (EOO) and area of occupancy (AOO) were calculated. Population size was estimated, treating an occupied tree as an ‘individual-equivalent’ of the moss. Climatic conditions of the species’ current distribution were characterised, and an ensemble model of its distribution was generated. The latter was projected onto present and future climatic layers. Key results. Codonoblepharon forsteri has been recorded from 19 countries and 205 sites in Europe, North Africa and Southwest Asia. It has been undergoing an overall decline. Most sites have few occupied trees, and a world population of 1000–10,000 individual-equivalents is estimated. Model projections suggest that the species will experience a range increase of +0.36–0.65 by 2050 and +0.35–0.68 by 2070, especially in its northwest range, particularly across France and the UK. Range loss is predicted to be between –0.20 and –0.39 in 2050 and –0.21 and –0.65 in 2070, affecting the driest areas of the current range around the Mediterranean, especially in North Africa. Conclusions. Codonoblepharon forsteri has a relatively large EOO but relatively small AOO, probably due to habitat specialism. A major reason for recent declines appears to be widespread abandonment of traditional ‘pollarding’ of trees. The potential climatic range of the species will shift significantly northwards over the next few decades. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-03-09T16:04:40Z 2022-03-04 2022-03-04T00:00:00Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10451/51661 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10451/51661 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Des A. Callaghan, Michele Aleffi, Antun Alegro, Irene Bisang, Tom L. Blockeel, Flavien Collart, Snežana Dragićević, Isabel Draper, Adnan Erdağ, Peter Erzberger, César A. Garcia, Ricardo Garilleti, Vincent Hugonnot, Francisco Lara, Rayna Natcheva, Csaba Németh, Beáta Papp, Marko Sabovljević, Cecília Sérgio, Manuela Sim-Sim & Alain Vanderpoorten (2022) Global geographical range and population size of the habitat specialist Codonoblepharon forsteri (Dicks.) Goffinet in a changing climate, Journal of Bryology, DOI: 10.1080/03736687.2022.2032541 10.1080/03736687.2022.2032541 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Taylor & Francis |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Taylor & Francis |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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