Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Moreira, Claudete Oliveira
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Santos, Norberto
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10316/101321
https://doi.org/10.6018/turismo.451911
Resumo: Futures analyses and scenario-building exercises have received scant attention from scientific literature on the planning and management of tourist destinations. This article emphasizes the importance of a territorial foresight strategy and scenario building in the planning and management of tourist destinations, demonstrating how it is methodologically possible to combine the Delphi technique with a scenario-building exercise. The findings suggest that the knowledge provided by stakeholders operating within the tourism system can benefit the planning and management of tourist destinations.
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spelling Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniqueeLos análisis prospectivos del turismo: construcción de escenarios mediante la técnica DelphiDelphi techniquescenario buildingtourism futures researchqualitative forecasting in tourismstrategic territorial foresightdestination managementTécnica Delphiconstrucción de escenariosinvestigación de futuros. en el turismola previsión cualitativa en el turismovisión estratégica territorialgestión de destinosFutures analyses and scenario-building exercises have received scant attention from scientific literature on the planning and management of tourist destinations. This article emphasizes the importance of a territorial foresight strategy and scenario building in the planning and management of tourist destinations, demonstrating how it is methodologically possible to combine the Delphi technique with a scenario-building exercise. The findings suggest that the knowledge provided by stakeholders operating within the tourism system can benefit the planning and management of tourist destinations.Los análisis de futuros y los ejercicios de construcción de escenarios han recibido escasa atención de la literatura científica sobre la planificación y gestión de destinos turísticos. Este artículo enfatiza la importancia de una estrategia de previsión territorial y de la creación de escenarios en la planificación y gestión de destinos turísticos, demostrando cómo es metodológicamente posible combinar la técnica Delphi con un ejercicio de creación de escenarios. Los hallazgos sugieren que el conocimiento de las partes interesadas puede beneficiar la planificación y la gestión de los destinos turísticos.2020info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10316/101321http://hdl.handle.net/10316/101321https://doi.org/10.6018/turismo.451911eng1989-46351139-7861Moreira, Claudete OliveiraSantos, Norbertoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2022-08-23T20:39:15Zoai:estudogeral.uc.pt:10316/101321Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T21:18:32.324188Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
Los análisis prospectivos del turismo: construcción de escenarios mediante la técnica Delphi
title Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
spellingShingle Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
Moreira, Claudete Oliveira
Delphi technique
scenario building
tourism futures research
qualitative forecasting in tourism
strategic territorial foresight
destination management
Técnica Delphi
construcción de escenarios
investigación de futuros. en el turismo
la previsión cualitativa en el turismo
visión estratégica territorial
gestión de destinos
title_short Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
title_full Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
title_fullStr Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
title_full_unstemmed Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
title_sort Tourism qualitative forecasting scenario building through the delphi techniquee
author Moreira, Claudete Oliveira
author_facet Moreira, Claudete Oliveira
Santos, Norberto
author_role author
author2 Santos, Norberto
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Moreira, Claudete Oliveira
Santos, Norberto
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Delphi technique
scenario building
tourism futures research
qualitative forecasting in tourism
strategic territorial foresight
destination management
Técnica Delphi
construcción de escenarios
investigación de futuros. en el turismo
la previsión cualitativa en el turismo
visión estratégica territorial
gestión de destinos
topic Delphi technique
scenario building
tourism futures research
qualitative forecasting in tourism
strategic territorial foresight
destination management
Técnica Delphi
construcción de escenarios
investigación de futuros. en el turismo
la previsión cualitativa en el turismo
visión estratégica territorial
gestión de destinos
description Futures analyses and scenario-building exercises have received scant attention from scientific literature on the planning and management of tourist destinations. This article emphasizes the importance of a territorial foresight strategy and scenario building in the planning and management of tourist destinations, demonstrating how it is methodologically possible to combine the Delphi technique with a scenario-building exercise. The findings suggest that the knowledge provided by stakeholders operating within the tourism system can benefit the planning and management of tourist destinations.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10316/101321
http://hdl.handle.net/10316/101321
https://doi.org/10.6018/turismo.451911
url http://hdl.handle.net/10316/101321
https://doi.org/10.6018/turismo.451911
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 1989-4635
1139-7861
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1799134079771213824

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