Leprosy in Brazil in the 21st century: analysis of epidemiological and operational indicators using inflection point regression,

• Autor(a) principal: Souza,Carlos Dornels Freire de
• Data de Publicação: 2020
• Outros Autores: Paiva,João Paulo Silva de, Leal,Thiago Cavalcanti, Urashima,Gabriel da Silva
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: eng
• Título da fonte: Anais brasileiros de dermatologia (Online)
• Texto Completo: http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0365-05962020000600743
• topic: Leprosy; Mycobacterium leprae; Time series studies

Abstract The objective of this study was to analyze the trend of epidemiological and operational indicators of leprosy in Brazil, from 2001 to 2017. This was a time series study involving nine indicators. The inflection point regression model was used. Decreasing trends were observed for the following: general detection (−4.8%), children under 15 (−3.7%), prevalence (−7.0%), and grade 2/million inhabitants (−3.5%). The proportion of individuals with grade 2 disability showed an upward trend (2.0%) from 2001 as well as contacts examined from 2003 (5.0%). The proportions of cure and of individuals with a degree of disability assessed at the time of the diagnosis and the cure showed a stationary behavior. Although advances are noted, there are still challenges to be overcome.