“It was obvious that this would happen”: consideration about the hindsight bias

• Autor(a) principal: Oliveira, Bruno Stefani Ferreira de
• Data de Publicação: 2017
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Revista de Psicologia (Fortaleza. Online)
• Texto Completo: http://www.periodicos.ufc.br/psicologiaufc/article/view/9278
• topic: Hindsight bias; Cognitive bias; False memory; Heuristics; Decision making.; Viés retrospectivo; Vieses cognitivos; Falsa memória; Heurísticas; Tomada de decisão.; Viés de retrospectiva

Hindsight bias is the phenomenon of perceiving and evaluating events differently once they are occurred. Given a cognitive flaw, people tend to have distortions of memory and produce false sensations of inevitability and predictability. The objective of this work is to make a literature review of the hindsight bias and to discuss both theoretical and practical implications of the theme. A search conducted in the Brazilian’s main databases did not find any articles related to the topic. From a selection of the main international studies on the subject, an analysis was made showing the cognitive levels of the hindsight bias, its implications and the strategies used to attenuate the bias. In the final considerations, the impact and importance of day-to-day knowledge of the phenomenon and the need to explore the subject in national research are discussed.