PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2010 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://revistas.ufg.br/pat/article/view/6365 |
Resumo: | Due to the irregular occurrence of rainfall in Brazilian Savannas, associated with a vast range of models that aim to evaluate it, this study was carried out to estimate the monthly amount of rainfall, at different probability levels, in Tangará da Serra, Mato Grosso State, Brazil, by using the Gamma function. Pluviometric data from 1970 to 2007 (38 years), provided by the Agência Nacional de Águas (ANA), collected in a pluviometric station located at 14°37’55”S, 57°28’05”W, and 488 m of altitude, were used. The adjustment analysis between estimated and observed data was carried out in accordance with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adherence test, at 5% of significance, resulting in no significant differences for monthly periods, including those with several values equal or close to zero, allowing the Gamma distribution use. The highest expected monthly precipitation levels took place from November to March (rainy season), while from June to August were noticed the lowest ones (dry period). The other months can be considered as intermediaries between the dry and rainy seasons. KEY-WORDS: Gamma distribution; expected precipitation; agricultural planning. |
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PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZILPROBABILIDADE DE PRECIPITAÇÃO PARA A MICROREGIÃO DE TANGARÁ DA SERRA, ESTADO DO MATO GROSSOGamma distributionexpected precipitationagricultural planningDistribuição Gamaprecipitação esperadaplanejamento agrícolaDue to the irregular occurrence of rainfall in Brazilian Savannas, associated with a vast range of models that aim to evaluate it, this study was carried out to estimate the monthly amount of rainfall, at different probability levels, in Tangará da Serra, Mato Grosso State, Brazil, by using the Gamma function. Pluviometric data from 1970 to 2007 (38 years), provided by the Agência Nacional de Águas (ANA), collected in a pluviometric station located at 14°37’55”S, 57°28’05”W, and 488 m of altitude, were used. The adjustment analysis between estimated and observed data was carried out in accordance with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adherence test, at 5% of significance, resulting in no significant differences for monthly periods, including those with several values equal or close to zero, allowing the Gamma distribution use. The highest expected monthly precipitation levels took place from November to March (rainy season), while from June to August were noticed the lowest ones (dry period). The other months can be considered as intermediaries between the dry and rainy seasons. KEY-WORDS: Gamma distribution; expected precipitation; agricultural planning.Devido à irregularidade na ocorrência de chuvas na região dos Cerrados, aliada aos inúmeros modelos que visam a avaliar tal parâmetro, objetivou-se, neste trabalho, estimar a precipitação pluviométrica mensal, em diferentes níveis de probabilidade, na região de Tangará da Serra (MT), utilizando-se a Função Gama de Probabilidade. Foram utilizados dados pluviométricos de 1970 a 2007 (38 anos), disponibilizados pela Agência Nacional de Águas (ANA), coletados nas coordenadas 14º37’55” de latitude Sul, 57º28’05” de longitude Oeste e 488 m de altitude. Para verificação do ajuste entre os valores estimados e observados, utilizou-se o teste de aderência de Kolmogorov-Smirnov, ao nível de 5% de significância, o qual não demonstrou discrepância significativa para períodos mensais, inclusive nos meses em que houve vários valores próximos ou iguais a zero, possibilitando, assim, a utilização da distribuição Gama. As maiores lâminas de precipitação esperadas ocorreram de novembro a março (estação chuvosa), enquanto, entre junho e agosto, ocorreram as menores lâminas de precipitação (estação seca). Os demais meses podem ser caracterizados como intermediários entre a estação seca e a chuvosa. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: Distribuição Gama; precipitação esperada; planejamento agrícola.Escola de Agronomia - Universidade Federal de Goiás2010-09-14info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionPesquisaapplication/pdfhttps://revistas.ufg.br/pat/article/view/6365Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical [Agricultural Research in the Tropics]; v. 40, n. 3, Jul./Sep. 2010; 291-296Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Agricultural Research in the Tropics); v. 40, n. 3, jul./set. 2010; 291-296Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical; v. 40, n. 3, jul./set. 2010; 291-2961983-4063reponame:Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)instacron:UFGporhttps://revistas.ufg.br/pat/article/view/6365/7571Copyright (c) 2020 Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Agricultural Research in the Tropics)info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessMartins, Juliano AraújoDallacort, RivanildoInoue, Miriam HirokoSanti, Adalbertokolling, Evandro MarcosColetti, Admar Júnior2020-07-09T17:40:52Zoai:ojs.revistas.ufg.br:article/6365Revistahttps://revistas.ufg.br/patPUBhttps://revistas.ufg.br/pat/oaiaseleguini.pat@gmail.com||mgoes@agro.ufg.br1983-40631517-6398opendoar:2020-07-09T17:40:52Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online) - Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL PROBABILIDADE DE PRECIPITAÇÃO PARA A MICROREGIÃO DE TANGARÁ DA SERRA, ESTADO DO MATO GROSSO |
title |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL |
spellingShingle |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL Martins, Juliano Araújo Gamma distribution expected precipitation agricultural planning Distribuição Gama precipitação esperada planejamento agrícola |
title_short |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL |
title_full |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL |
title_fullStr |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL |
title_full_unstemmed |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL |
title_sort |
PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE MICROREGION OF TANGARÁ DA SERRA, MATO GROSSO STATE, BRAZIL |
author |
Martins, Juliano Araújo |
author_facet |
Martins, Juliano Araújo Dallacort, Rivanildo Inoue, Miriam Hiroko Santi, Adalberto kolling, Evandro Marcos Coletti, Admar Júnior |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Dallacort, Rivanildo Inoue, Miriam Hiroko Santi, Adalberto kolling, Evandro Marcos Coletti, Admar Júnior |
author2_role |
author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Martins, Juliano Araújo Dallacort, Rivanildo Inoue, Miriam Hiroko Santi, Adalberto kolling, Evandro Marcos Coletti, Admar Júnior |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Gamma distribution expected precipitation agricultural planning Distribuição Gama precipitação esperada planejamento agrícola |
topic |
Gamma distribution expected precipitation agricultural planning Distribuição Gama precipitação esperada planejamento agrícola |
description |
Due to the irregular occurrence of rainfall in Brazilian Savannas, associated with a vast range of models that aim to evaluate it, this study was carried out to estimate the monthly amount of rainfall, at different probability levels, in Tangará da Serra, Mato Grosso State, Brazil, by using the Gamma function. Pluviometric data from 1970 to 2007 (38 years), provided by the Agência Nacional de Águas (ANA), collected in a pluviometric station located at 14°37’55”S, 57°28’05”W, and 488 m of altitude, were used. The adjustment analysis between estimated and observed data was carried out in accordance with the Kolmogorov-Smirnov adherence test, at 5% of significance, resulting in no significant differences for monthly periods, including those with several values equal or close to zero, allowing the Gamma distribution use. The highest expected monthly precipitation levels took place from November to March (rainy season), while from June to August were noticed the lowest ones (dry period). The other months can be considered as intermediaries between the dry and rainy seasons. KEY-WORDS: Gamma distribution; expected precipitation; agricultural planning. |
publishDate |
2010 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2010-09-14 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Pesquisa |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.ufg.br/pat/article/view/6365 |
url |
https://revistas.ufg.br/pat/article/view/6365 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.ufg.br/pat/article/view/6365/7571 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2020 Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Agricultural Research in the Tropics) info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2020 Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Agricultural Research in the Tropics) |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Escola de Agronomia - Universidade Federal de Goiás |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Escola de Agronomia - Universidade Federal de Goiás |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical [Agricultural Research in the Tropics]; v. 40, n. 3, Jul./Sep. 2010; 291-296 Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Agricultural Research in the Tropics); v. 40, n. 3, jul./set. 2010; 291-296 Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical; v. 40, n. 3, jul./set. 2010; 291-296 1983-4063 reponame:Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online) instname:Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG) instacron:UFG |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG) |
instacron_str |
UFG |
institution |
UFG |
reponame_str |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online) |
collection |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Tropical (Online) - Universidade Federal de Goiás (UFG) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
aseleguini.pat@gmail.com||mgoes@agro.ufg.br |
_version_ |
1789440240122855424 |