ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION
Main Author: | |
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Publication Date: | 2015 |
Other Authors: | , , |
Format: | Article |
Language: | eng |
Source: | Cerne (Online) |
Download full: | https://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/637 |
Summary: | The goal of the present work was to evaluate the economic viability of producing charcoal in eucalypt stands, in deteministic and risk conditions. In order to do this, the costs of a forest project were defined, as well as the production of charcoal under the management regime with three rotations per cicle. The risk analysis was carried out through the Monte Carlo method, using the @RISK software. Through the deterministic analysis, the economic indicators were positive (viable), and the risk analysis indicates that there is a probability of 12 % for obtaining negative values, namely, for the project to be economicaly inviable. It was demonstrated that the inclusion of the risk analysis in the analysis of a project economic rentability offers greater safety for inference about the economic indicators. |
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ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTIONCharcoaleconomic analysisriskMonte CarloSimulationThe goal of the present work was to evaluate the economic viability of producing charcoal in eucalypt stands, in deteministic and risk conditions. In order to do this, the costs of a forest project were defined, as well as the production of charcoal under the management regime with three rotations per cicle. The risk analysis was carried out through the Monte Carlo method, using the @RISK software. Through the deterministic analysis, the economic indicators were positive (viable), and the risk analysis indicates that there is a probability of 12 % for obtaining negative values, namely, for the project to be economicaly inviable. It was demonstrated that the inclusion of the risk analysis in the analysis of a project economic rentability offers greater safety for inference about the economic indicators.CERNECERNE2015-10-27info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/637CERNE; Vol. 13 No. 4 (2007); 353-359CERNE; v. 13 n. 4 (2007); 353-3592317-63420104-7760reponame:Cerne (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLAenghttps://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/637/537Copyright (c) 2015 CERNEinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCastro, Rodrigo Ribeiro deSilva, Márcio Lopes daLeite, Helio GarciaOliveira, Márcio Leles Romarco de2015-10-28T21:39:43Zoai:cerne.ufla.br:article/637Revistahttps://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNEPUBhttps://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/oaicerne@dcf.ufla.br||cerne@dcf.ufla.br2317-63420104-7760opendoar:2015-10-28T21:39:43Cerne (Online) - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
title |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
spellingShingle |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION Castro, Rodrigo Ribeiro de Charcoal economic analysis risk Monte Carlo Simulation |
title_short |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
title_full |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
title_fullStr |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
title_full_unstemmed |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
title_sort |
ECONOMIC RENTABILITY AND RISK ON CHARCOAL PRODUCTION |
author |
Castro, Rodrigo Ribeiro de |
author_facet |
Castro, Rodrigo Ribeiro de Silva, Márcio Lopes da Leite, Helio Garcia Oliveira, Márcio Leles Romarco de |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Silva, Márcio Lopes da Leite, Helio Garcia Oliveira, Márcio Leles Romarco de |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Castro, Rodrigo Ribeiro de Silva, Márcio Lopes da Leite, Helio Garcia Oliveira, Márcio Leles Romarco de |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Charcoal economic analysis risk Monte Carlo Simulation |
topic |
Charcoal economic analysis risk Monte Carlo Simulation |
description |
The goal of the present work was to evaluate the economic viability of producing charcoal in eucalypt stands, in deteministic and risk conditions. In order to do this, the costs of a forest project were defined, as well as the production of charcoal under the management regime with three rotations per cicle. The risk analysis was carried out through the Monte Carlo method, using the @RISK software. Through the deterministic analysis, the economic indicators were positive (viable), and the risk analysis indicates that there is a probability of 12 % for obtaining negative values, namely, for the project to be economicaly inviable. It was demonstrated that the inclusion of the risk analysis in the analysis of a project economic rentability offers greater safety for inference about the economic indicators. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2015-10-27 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/637 |
url |
https://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/637 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://cerne.ufla.br/site/index.php/CERNE/article/view/637/537 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2015 CERNE info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2015 CERNE |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
CERNE CERNE |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
CERNE CERNE |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
CERNE; Vol. 13 No. 4 (2007); 353-359 CERNE; v. 13 n. 4 (2007); 353-359 2317-6342 0104-7760 reponame:Cerne (Online) instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) instacron:UFLA |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
instacron_str |
UFLA |
institution |
UFLA |
reponame_str |
Cerne (Online) |
collection |
Cerne (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Cerne (Online) - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
cerne@dcf.ufla.br||cerne@dcf.ufla.br |
_version_ |
1799705355217797120 |