O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Bêrni, Duilio de Avila
Data de Publicação: 2003
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Economia Aplicada
Texto Completo: https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109
Resumo: Dealing with data for final demand, value added, gross output, employment and household consumption derived from the Brazilian input-outputtables of 1959,1970,1980,1990 and 1998, this article had the purpose of, dealing with the Delphi Method, generating the corresponding figuresfor 2010. The original data have shown deep structural change in Brazil. From 1959 to 1990, Agriculture swapped its position with both Industry and Services. In 2010, it is expected that the primary and secondary sectors will face additional reductions in their shares, while Services will generate near 60% ofthe economy's value added. The relative positions of these big sectors shows that Brazil has a long road to cover to match the sectoral structure of the advanced capitalist countries. The suggested structure of household consumption for 2010 does not appear to face substantial changes, with the lower 70% embracing slightly more than one fifth of this variable.
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spelling O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010Delphi methodstructural changeeconomic forecastsDealing with data for final demand, value added, gross output, employment and household consumption derived from the Brazilian input-outputtables of 1959,1970,1980,1990 and 1998, this article had the purpose of, dealing with the Delphi Method, generating the corresponding figuresfor 2010. The original data have shown deep structural change in Brazil. From 1959 to 1990, Agriculture swapped its position with both Industry and Services. In 2010, it is expected that the primary and secondary sectors will face additional reductions in their shares, while Services will generate near 60% ofthe economy's value added. The relative positions of these big sectors shows that Brazil has a long road to cover to match the sectoral structure of the advanced capitalist countries. The suggested structure of household consumption for 2010 does not appear to face substantial changes, with the lower 70% embracing slightly more than one fifth of this variable.Universidade de São Paulo, FEA-RP/USP2003-04-11info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/22010910.11606/1413-8050/ea220109Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 Núm. 2 (2003); 413-432Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 No. 2 (2003); 413-432Economia Aplicada; v. 7 n. 2 (2003); 413-4321980-53301413-8050reponame:Economia Aplicadainstname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USPporhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109/200923Copyright (c) 2003 Economia Aplicadahttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBêrni, Duilio de Avila 2023-12-11T19:45:22Zoai:revistas.usp.br:article/220109Revistahttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoaPUBhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/oai||revecap@usp.br1980-53301413-8050opendoar:2023-12-11T19:45:22Economia Aplicada - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
title O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
spellingShingle O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
Bêrni, Duilio de Avila
Delphi method
structural change
economic forecasts
title_short O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
title_full O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
title_fullStr O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
title_full_unstemmed O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
title_sort O método Delphi e a estrutura da economia brasileira em 2010
author Bêrni, Duilio de Avila
author_facet Bêrni, Duilio de Avila
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Bêrni, Duilio de Avila
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Delphi method
structural change
economic forecasts
topic Delphi method
structural change
economic forecasts
description Dealing with data for final demand, value added, gross output, employment and household consumption derived from the Brazilian input-outputtables of 1959,1970,1980,1990 and 1998, this article had the purpose of, dealing with the Delphi Method, generating the corresponding figuresfor 2010. The original data have shown deep structural change in Brazil. From 1959 to 1990, Agriculture swapped its position with both Industry and Services. In 2010, it is expected that the primary and secondary sectors will face additional reductions in their shares, while Services will generate near 60% ofthe economy's value added. The relative positions of these big sectors shows that Brazil has a long road to cover to match the sectoral structure of the advanced capitalist countries. The suggested structure of household consumption for 2010 does not appear to face substantial changes, with the lower 70% embracing slightly more than one fifth of this variable.
publishDate 2003
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2003-04-11
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109
10.11606/1413-8050/ea220109
url https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109
identifier_str_mv 10.11606/1413-8050/ea220109
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/220109/200923
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2003 Economia Aplicada
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2003 Economia Aplicada
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de São Paulo, FEA-RP/USP
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de São Paulo, FEA-RP/USP
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 Núm. 2 (2003); 413-432
Economia Aplicada; Vol. 7 No. 2 (2003); 413-432
Economia Aplicada; v. 7 n. 2 (2003); 413-432
1980-5330
1413-8050
reponame:Economia Aplicada
instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron:USP
instname_str Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron_str USP
institution USP
reponame_str Economia Aplicada
collection Economia Aplicada
repository.name.fl_str_mv Economia Aplicada - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||revecap@usp.br
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