European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios
Main Author: | |
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Publication Date: | 2021 |
Other Authors: | , , , |
Format: | Article |
Language: | eng |
Source: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Download full: | http://hdl.handle.net/10198/25192 |
Summary: | The European grapevine moth (Lobesia botrana; Denis and Schiffermüller, 1775) is considered a key pest for grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.) in the Douro Region, Portugal. The phenology of both the grapevine and the pest has changed in the last decades due to the increase in temperature. Here, we assess the potential impact of climate change on the (a)synchrony of both species. The results show that the phenological stages (budburst, flowering and veraison) undergo an advancement throughout the region (at an ~1 km resolution) under a climate change scenario (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP8.5) for the period 2051–2080, with respect to the historic period (1989–2015). For cv. Touriga Nacional and Touriga Franca, the budburst advances up to 14 days, whereas for flowering and veraison the advancements are up to 10 days (mainly at low elevations along the Douro River). For the phenology of Lobesia botrana, earliness was also verified in the three flights (consequently there may be more generations per year), covering the entire region. Furthermore, the third flight advances further compared to the others. For both varieties, the interaction between the third flight (beginning and peak) and the veraison date is the most relevant modification under the future climate change scenario (RCP8.5, 2051–2080). The aforementioned outcomes from the phenology models help to better understand the possible shifts of both trophic levels in the region under future climate, giving insights into their future interactions. |
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European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenariosLobesia botranaGrapevineVarietiesSynchronyClimate scenarioDouro Demarcated RegionPhenology modelsSimulationsSpatial-temporal mapThe European grapevine moth (Lobesia botrana; Denis and Schiffermüller, 1775) is considered a key pest for grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.) in the Douro Region, Portugal. The phenology of both the grapevine and the pest has changed in the last decades due to the increase in temperature. Here, we assess the potential impact of climate change on the (a)synchrony of both species. The results show that the phenological stages (budburst, flowering and veraison) undergo an advancement throughout the region (at an ~1 km resolution) under a climate change scenario (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP8.5) for the period 2051–2080, with respect to the historic period (1989–2015). For cv. Touriga Nacional and Touriga Franca, the budburst advances up to 14 days, whereas for flowering and veraison the advancements are up to 10 days (mainly at low elevations along the Douro River). For the phenology of Lobesia botrana, earliness was also verified in the three flights (consequently there may be more generations per year), covering the entire region. Furthermore, the third flight advances further compared to the others. For both varieties, the interaction between the third flight (beginning and peak) and the veraison date is the most relevant modification under the future climate change scenario (RCP8.5, 2051–2080). The aforementioned outcomes from the phenology models help to better understand the possible shifts of both trophic levels in the region under future climate, giving insights into their future interactions.This research was funded by the operation nº NORTE-06-3559-FSE-000067 and by the Clim4Vitis project “Climate change impact mitigation for European viticulture: knowledge transfer for an integrated approach”, funded by European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme, under grant agreement nº 810176. The authors also thank ADVID and its members, for providing meteorologicalnand phenological data and for collaborating in the data field collection namely the male catches in sex pheromone traps. The authors from CITAB were also supported by National Funds by FCT—Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, under the project UIDB/04033/2020. Fátima Gonçalves is also grateful to the European Social Fund (ESF) through the Regional Operational Program North 2020, within the scope of the Program “Contratação de Recursos Humanos Altamente Qualificados”, Norte-06-3559-FSE-000188 and to the FCT for financial support by national funds FCT/MCTES to CIMO (UIDB/00690/2020).Biblioteca Digital do IPBReis, SamuelMartins, JoanaGonçalves, Maria de FátimaCarlos, CristinaSantos, João A.2022-03-09T16:54:42Z20212021-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/25192engReis, Samuel; Martins, Joana; Gonçalves, Fátima; Carlos, Cristina; Santos, João A. (2021). European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios. Agronomy. ISSN 2073-4395. 12:1, p. 1-182073-439510.3390/agronomy12010098info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-11-21T10:56:23Zoai:bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt:10198/25192Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T23:15:53.738357Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
title |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
spellingShingle |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios Reis, Samuel Lobesia botrana Grapevine Varieties Synchrony Climate scenario Douro Demarcated Region Phenology models Simulations Spatial-temporal map |
title_short |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
title_full |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
title_fullStr |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
title_full_unstemmed |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
title_sort |
European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios |
author |
Reis, Samuel |
author_facet |
Reis, Samuel Martins, Joana Gonçalves, Maria de Fátima Carlos, Cristina Santos, João A. |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Martins, Joana Gonçalves, Maria de Fátima Carlos, Cristina Santos, João A. |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Reis, Samuel Martins, Joana Gonçalves, Maria de Fátima Carlos, Cristina Santos, João A. |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Lobesia botrana Grapevine Varieties Synchrony Climate scenario Douro Demarcated Region Phenology models Simulations Spatial-temporal map |
topic |
Lobesia botrana Grapevine Varieties Synchrony Climate scenario Douro Demarcated Region Phenology models Simulations Spatial-temporal map |
description |
The European grapevine moth (Lobesia botrana; Denis and Schiffermüller, 1775) is considered a key pest for grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.) in the Douro Region, Portugal. The phenology of both the grapevine and the pest has changed in the last decades due to the increase in temperature. Here, we assess the potential impact of climate change on the (a)synchrony of both species. The results show that the phenological stages (budburst, flowering and veraison) undergo an advancement throughout the region (at an ~1 km resolution) under a climate change scenario (Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP8.5) for the period 2051–2080, with respect to the historic period (1989–2015). For cv. Touriga Nacional and Touriga Franca, the budburst advances up to 14 days, whereas for flowering and veraison the advancements are up to 10 days (mainly at low elevations along the Douro River). For the phenology of Lobesia botrana, earliness was also verified in the three flights (consequently there may be more generations per year), covering the entire region. Furthermore, the third flight advances further compared to the others. For both varieties, the interaction between the third flight (beginning and peak) and the veraison date is the most relevant modification under the future climate change scenario (RCP8.5, 2051–2080). The aforementioned outcomes from the phenology models help to better understand the possible shifts of both trophic levels in the region under future climate, giving insights into their future interactions. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021 2021-01-01T00:00:00Z 2022-03-09T16:54:42Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10198/25192 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10198/25192 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Reis, Samuel; Martins, Joana; Gonçalves, Fátima; Carlos, Cristina; Santos, João A. (2021). European grapevine moth and vitis vinifera l. phenology in the Douro Region: (A)synchrony and climate scenarios. Agronomy. ISSN 2073-4395. 12:1, p. 1-18 2073-4395 10.3390/agronomy12010098 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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