Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters.
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2009 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFOP |
Texto Completo: | http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/handle/123456789/5066 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.10.032 |
Resumo: | The interest is on monitoring incoming space time events to detect an emergent space time cluster as early as possible. Assume that point process events are continuously recorded in space and time. In a certain unknown moment, a small localized cluster of increased intensity starts to emerge. Its location is also unknown. The aim is to let an alarm to go off as soon as possible after its emergence, but avoiding that it goes off unnecessarily. The alarm system should also provide an estimate of the cluster location. In addition to that, the alarm system should take into account the purely spatial and the purely temporal heterogeneity, which are not specified by the user. A space time surveillance system with these characteristics using a martingale approach to derive the surveillance system properties is proposed. The average run length for the situation when there are clusters present in the data is appropriately defined and the method is illustrated in practice. The algorithm is implemented in a freely available stand-alone software and it is also a feature in a freely available GIS system. |
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Assunção, Renato MartinsCorrea, Thais Rotsen2015-04-14T17:50:12Z2015-04-14T17:50:12Z2009ASSUNÇÃO, R. M.; CORREA, T. R. Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, v. 58, p. 2817-2830, 2009. Disponível em: <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947308004921>. Acesso em: 13 abr. 2015.0167-9473http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/handle/123456789/5066https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.10.032The interest is on monitoring incoming space time events to detect an emergent space time cluster as early as possible. Assume that point process events are continuously recorded in space and time. In a certain unknown moment, a small localized cluster of increased intensity starts to emerge. Its location is also unknown. The aim is to let an alarm to go off as soon as possible after its emergence, but avoiding that it goes off unnecessarily. The alarm system should also provide an estimate of the cluster location. In addition to that, the alarm system should take into account the purely spatial and the purely temporal heterogeneity, which are not specified by the user. A space time surveillance system with these characteristics using a martingale approach to derive the surveillance system properties is proposed. The average run length for the situation when there are clusters present in the data is appropriately defined and the method is illustrated in practice. The algorithm is implemented in a freely available stand-alone software and it is also a feature in a freely available GIS system.Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleO periódico Computational Statistics & Data Analysis concede permissão para depósito do artigo no Repositório Institucional da UFOP. Número da licença: 3603170007000.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessengreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFOPinstname:Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto (UFOP)instacron:UFOPLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82636http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/bitstream/123456789/5066/2/license.txtc2ffdd99e58acf69202dff00d361f23aMD52ORIGINALARTIGO_SurveillanceDetectEmerging.pdfARTIGO_SurveillanceDetectEmerging.pdfapplication/pdf1286911http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/bitstream/123456789/5066/1/ARTIGO_SurveillanceDetectEmerging.pdf27ef8a9785ae2d98502f1cb3bee23fc1MD51123456789/50662019-07-10 10:51:18.757oai:localhost: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://www.repositorio.ufop.br/oai/requestrepositorio@ufop.edu.bropendoar:32332019-07-10T14:51:18Repositório Institucional da UFOP - Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto (UFOP)false |
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
title |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
spellingShingle |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. Assunção, Renato Martins |
title_short |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
title_full |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
title_fullStr |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
title_sort |
Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. |
author |
Assunção, Renato Martins |
author_facet |
Assunção, Renato Martins Correa, Thais Rotsen |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Correa, Thais Rotsen |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Assunção, Renato Martins Correa, Thais Rotsen |
description |
The interest is on monitoring incoming space time events to detect an emergent space time cluster as early as possible. Assume that point process events are continuously recorded in space and time. In a certain unknown moment, a small localized cluster of increased intensity starts to emerge. Its location is also unknown. The aim is to let an alarm to go off as soon as possible after its emergence, but avoiding that it goes off unnecessarily. The alarm system should also provide an estimate of the cluster location. In addition to that, the alarm system should take into account the purely spatial and the purely temporal heterogeneity, which are not specified by the user. A space time surveillance system with these characteristics using a martingale approach to derive the surveillance system properties is proposed. The average run length for the situation when there are clusters present in the data is appropriately defined and the method is illustrated in practice. The algorithm is implemented in a freely available stand-alone software and it is also a feature in a freely available GIS system. |
publishDate |
2009 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2009 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2015-04-14T17:50:12Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2015-04-14T17:50:12Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
ASSUNÇÃO, R. M.; CORREA, T. R. Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, v. 58, p. 2817-2830, 2009. Disponível em: <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947308004921>. Acesso em: 13 abr. 2015. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/handle/123456789/5066 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
0167-9473 |
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.10.032 |
identifier_str_mv |
ASSUNÇÃO, R. M.; CORREA, T. R. Surveillance to detect emerging space time clusters. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, v. 58, p. 2817-2830, 2009. Disponível em: <http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947308004921>. Acesso em: 13 abr. 2015. 0167-9473 |
url |
http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/handle/123456789/5066 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.10.032 |
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eng |
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Repositório Institucional da UFOP |
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