The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014)
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2015 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Brazilian Political Science Review |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1981-38212015000100135 |
Resumo: | This research note examines the electoral impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer programs in the 2014 presidential election, and compares these to results previously obtained for the preceding three elections (ZUCCO, 2013). It analyzes both individual-level survey data and municipal-level electoral data and applies different matching techniques to attempt to ensure that only similar individuals and municipalities are compared to each other. The note shows that although the strictly defined "electoral effect" of Bolsa Família at the municipality level has remained quite similar to what was found in the past elections, there seems to have been a sharp increase in the aggregate effects, observed at the municipality level. I conjecture that the increased polarization among non-beneficiaries is the possible "cause" of the changes observed in the last election and suggest that examining the indirect electoral effect of Bolsa Família over non-beneficiaries is a promising avenue for future research. |
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Brazilian Political Science Review |
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The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014)BrazilBolsa Famíliaelectoral effectsmunicipalities2014 electionsThis research note examines the electoral impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer programs in the 2014 presidential election, and compares these to results previously obtained for the preceding three elections (ZUCCO, 2013). It analyzes both individual-level survey data and municipal-level electoral data and applies different matching techniques to attempt to ensure that only similar individuals and municipalities are compared to each other. The note shows that although the strictly defined "electoral effect" of Bolsa Família at the municipality level has remained quite similar to what was found in the past elections, there seems to have been a sharp increase in the aggregate effects, observed at the municipality level. I conjecture that the increased polarization among non-beneficiaries is the possible "cause" of the changes observed in the last election and suggest that examining the indirect electoral effect of Bolsa Família over non-beneficiaries is a promising avenue for future research.Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política2015-04-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1981-38212015000100135Brazilian Political Science Review v.9 n.1 2015reponame:Brazilian Political Science Reviewinstname:Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (ABCP)instacron:ABCP10.1590/1981-38212014000200006info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessZucco Jr.,Cesareng2015-10-09T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1981-38212015000100135Revistahttps://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/https://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phpbpsr@brazilianpoliticalsciencareview.org||bpsr@bpsr.org.br1981-38211981-3821opendoar:2015-10-09T00:00Brazilian Political Science Review - Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (ABCP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
title |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
spellingShingle |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) Zucco Jr.,Cesar Brazil Bolsa Família electoral effects municipalities 2014 elections |
title_short |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
title_full |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
title_fullStr |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
title_sort |
The Impacts of Conditional Cash Transfers in Four Presidential Elections (2002–2014) |
author |
Zucco Jr.,Cesar |
author_facet |
Zucco Jr.,Cesar |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Zucco Jr.,Cesar |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Brazil Bolsa Família electoral effects municipalities 2014 elections |
topic |
Brazil Bolsa Família electoral effects municipalities 2014 elections |
description |
This research note examines the electoral impacts of Conditional Cash Transfer programs in the 2014 presidential election, and compares these to results previously obtained for the preceding three elections (ZUCCO, 2013). It analyzes both individual-level survey data and municipal-level electoral data and applies different matching techniques to attempt to ensure that only similar individuals and municipalities are compared to each other. The note shows that although the strictly defined "electoral effect" of Bolsa Família at the municipality level has remained quite similar to what was found in the past elections, there seems to have been a sharp increase in the aggregate effects, observed at the municipality level. I conjecture that the increased polarization among non-beneficiaries is the possible "cause" of the changes observed in the last election and suggest that examining the indirect electoral effect of Bolsa Família over non-beneficiaries is a promising avenue for future research. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2015-04-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1981-38212015000100135 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1981-38212015000100135 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1981-38212014000200006 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Brazilian Political Science Review v.9 n.1 2015 reponame:Brazilian Political Science Review instname:Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (ABCP) instacron:ABCP |
instname_str |
Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (ABCP) |
instacron_str |
ABCP |
institution |
ABCP |
reponame_str |
Brazilian Political Science Review |
collection |
Brazilian Political Science Review |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Brazilian Political Science Review - Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política (ABCP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
bpsr@brazilianpoliticalsciencareview.org||bpsr@bpsr.org.br |
_version_ |
1754302907886338048 |