Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Santos,Camila Alves dos
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Souza,Dyego Leandro Bezerra
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Ciência & Saúde Coletiva (Online)
Texto Completo: http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1413-81232019000401551
Resumo: Abstract Melanoma is the main serious skin cancer, due to its high lethality. This study aimed to make projections and analyze melanoma mortality trends in Brazil. Mortality Information System data were utilized for the period 1998-2012, which were projected until 2032, using the age-period-cohort model, with software R. The analysis of trends was made by Joinpoint regression, with 95% confidence interval, estimating the annual percentage change. It was revealed higher amounts of deaths in men for all regions. Brazilian trends presented reductions in men (APC = -0.4; CI95% = -0.6; -0.1; p < 0.01) and in women (APC = -0.8; CI95% = -0.9; -0.7; p < 0.01). The Midwest region presented increases for both sexes, while the Southeast region presented reducing trends for both sexes. In the North, there was stability for men and increases followed by stability in women, while the South presented reductions in men and stability in women; finally, the Northeast revealed one joinpoint per sex, with an increase followed by stability in men, and stability followed by reducing trends in women. The highest rates of the country were found in the South and Southeast regions, however, with reducing trends throughout time. Higher mortality trends in men were associated with later diagnoses in this group.
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spelling Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)MelanomaMortalityPopulation projectionsTrendsAbstract Melanoma is the main serious skin cancer, due to its high lethality. This study aimed to make projections and analyze melanoma mortality trends in Brazil. Mortality Information System data were utilized for the period 1998-2012, which were projected until 2032, using the age-period-cohort model, with software R. The analysis of trends was made by Joinpoint regression, with 95% confidence interval, estimating the annual percentage change. It was revealed higher amounts of deaths in men for all regions. Brazilian trends presented reductions in men (APC = -0.4; CI95% = -0.6; -0.1; p < 0.01) and in women (APC = -0.8; CI95% = -0.9; -0.7; p < 0.01). The Midwest region presented increases for both sexes, while the Southeast region presented reducing trends for both sexes. In the North, there was stability for men and increases followed by stability in women, while the South presented reductions in men and stability in women; finally, the Northeast revealed one joinpoint per sex, with an increase followed by stability in men, and stability followed by reducing trends in women. The highest rates of the country were found in the South and Southeast regions, however, with reducing trends throughout time. Higher mortality trends in men were associated with later diagnoses in this group.ABRASCO - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva2019-04-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1413-81232019000401551Ciência &amp; Saúde Coletiva v.24 n.4 2019reponame:Ciência & Saúde Coletiva (Online)instname:Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO)instacron:ABRASCO10.1590/1413-81232018244.13932017info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSantos,Camila Alves dosSouza,Dyego Leandro Bezerraeng2019-04-30T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1413-81232019000401551Revistahttp://www.cienciaesaudecoletiva.com.brhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||cienciasaudecoletiva@fiocruz.br1678-45611413-8123opendoar:2019-04-30T00:00Ciência & Saúde Coletiva (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
title Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
spellingShingle Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
Santos,Camila Alves dos
Melanoma
Mortality
Population projections
Trends
title_short Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
title_full Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
title_fullStr Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
title_full_unstemmed Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
title_sort Melanoma mortality in Brazil: trends and projections (1998-2032)
author Santos,Camila Alves dos
author_facet Santos,Camila Alves dos
Souza,Dyego Leandro Bezerra
author_role author
author2 Souza,Dyego Leandro Bezerra
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Santos,Camila Alves dos
Souza,Dyego Leandro Bezerra
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Melanoma
Mortality
Population projections
Trends
topic Melanoma
Mortality
Population projections
Trends
description Abstract Melanoma is the main serious skin cancer, due to its high lethality. This study aimed to make projections and analyze melanoma mortality trends in Brazil. Mortality Information System data were utilized for the period 1998-2012, which were projected until 2032, using the age-period-cohort model, with software R. The analysis of trends was made by Joinpoint regression, with 95% confidence interval, estimating the annual percentage change. It was revealed higher amounts of deaths in men for all regions. Brazilian trends presented reductions in men (APC = -0.4; CI95% = -0.6; -0.1; p < 0.01) and in women (APC = -0.8; CI95% = -0.9; -0.7; p < 0.01). The Midwest region presented increases for both sexes, while the Southeast region presented reducing trends for both sexes. In the North, there was stability for men and increases followed by stability in women, while the South presented reductions in men and stability in women; finally, the Northeast revealed one joinpoint per sex, with an increase followed by stability in men, and stability followed by reducing trends in women. The highest rates of the country were found in the South and Southeast regions, however, with reducing trends throughout time. Higher mortality trends in men were associated with later diagnoses in this group.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-04-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 10.1590/1413-81232018244.13932017
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dc.format.none.fl_str_mv text/html
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv ABRASCO - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva
publisher.none.fl_str_mv ABRASCO - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Ciência &amp; Saúde Coletiva v.24 n.4 2019
reponame:Ciência & Saúde Coletiva (Online)
instname:Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO)
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reponame_str Ciência & Saúde Coletiva (Online)
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Ciência & Saúde Coletiva (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Saúde Coletiva (ABRASCO)
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