Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2018 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | RBRH (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312018000100207 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT The precipitation pattern of the State of Rio Grande do Sul (RS) is changing, indicating an increase, although there are long periods of drought. Several studies indicate the influence of climate variability modes on RS precipitation. This work analyzes the influence of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on precipitation anomalies (PP) of the Rio Grande do Sul Coastal Plain (RGSCP), dividing it into three regions: south, central and north. Contingency tables were used to correlate the indices, classifying them as neutral, below ou above the mean. To statistical significance we used percentage correctly classified with which the Student’s t was aplied for each region. The PP of the RGSCP and the south coast have correlation with the ENSO and SAM; the central only with SAM. The PP of the north is not correlated to either index. Periods with more than 5 months of PP, SAM and ENSO anomalies were identified. Below average events were majority. The results indicate greater influence of SAM + and La Niña. The trend towards SAM+ and intensification of ENSO, could increase the frequency of droughts in RGSCP. In addition, it was possible to interpret that the geographical differences of the RGSCP can influence the results of precipitation totals. This work contributes to the understanding of the effects of the new trends of climatic variability under regional and geographical aspects. |
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Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modesCoastal environmentTeleconnection patternsRegional climateABSTRACT The precipitation pattern of the State of Rio Grande do Sul (RS) is changing, indicating an increase, although there are long periods of drought. Several studies indicate the influence of climate variability modes on RS precipitation. This work analyzes the influence of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on precipitation anomalies (PP) of the Rio Grande do Sul Coastal Plain (RGSCP), dividing it into three regions: south, central and north. Contingency tables were used to correlate the indices, classifying them as neutral, below ou above the mean. To statistical significance we used percentage correctly classified with which the Student’s t was aplied for each region. The PP of the RGSCP and the south coast have correlation with the ENSO and SAM; the central only with SAM. The PP of the north is not correlated to either index. Periods with more than 5 months of PP, SAM and ENSO anomalies were identified. Below average events were majority. The results indicate greater influence of SAM + and La Niña. The trend towards SAM+ and intensification of ENSO, could increase the frequency of droughts in RGSCP. In addition, it was possible to interpret that the geographical differences of the RGSCP can influence the results of precipitation totals. This work contributes to the understanding of the effects of the new trends of climatic variability under regional and geographical aspects.Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos2018-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312018000100207RBRH v.23 2018reponame:RBRH (Online)instname:Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos (ABRH)instacron:ABRH10.1590/2318-0331.231820170081info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSchossler,VenisseSimões,Jefferson CardiaAquino,Francisco EliseuViana,Denilson Ribeiroeng2018-04-12T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S2318-03312018000100207Revistahttps://www.scielo.br/j/rbrh/https://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||rbrh@abrh.org.br2318-03311414-381Xopendoar:2018-04-12T00:00RBRH (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos (ABRH)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
title |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
spellingShingle |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes Schossler,Venisse Coastal environment Teleconnection patterns Regional climate |
title_short |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
title_full |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
title_fullStr |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
title_full_unstemmed |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
title_sort |
Precipitation anomalies in the Brazilian southern coast related to the SAM and ENSO climate variability modes |
author |
Schossler,Venisse |
author_facet |
Schossler,Venisse Simões,Jefferson Cardia Aquino,Francisco Eliseu Viana,Denilson Ribeiro |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Simões,Jefferson Cardia Aquino,Francisco Eliseu Viana,Denilson Ribeiro |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Schossler,Venisse Simões,Jefferson Cardia Aquino,Francisco Eliseu Viana,Denilson Ribeiro |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Coastal environment Teleconnection patterns Regional climate |
topic |
Coastal environment Teleconnection patterns Regional climate |
description |
ABSTRACT The precipitation pattern of the State of Rio Grande do Sul (RS) is changing, indicating an increase, although there are long periods of drought. Several studies indicate the influence of climate variability modes on RS precipitation. This work analyzes the influence of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on precipitation anomalies (PP) of the Rio Grande do Sul Coastal Plain (RGSCP), dividing it into three regions: south, central and north. Contingency tables were used to correlate the indices, classifying them as neutral, below ou above the mean. To statistical significance we used percentage correctly classified with which the Student’s t was aplied for each region. The PP of the RGSCP and the south coast have correlation with the ENSO and SAM; the central only with SAM. The PP of the north is not correlated to either index. Periods with more than 5 months of PP, SAM and ENSO anomalies were identified. Below average events were majority. The results indicate greater influence of SAM + and La Niña. The trend towards SAM+ and intensification of ENSO, could increase the frequency of droughts in RGSCP. In addition, it was possible to interpret that the geographical differences of the RGSCP can influence the results of precipitation totals. This work contributes to the understanding of the effects of the new trends of climatic variability under regional and geographical aspects. |
publishDate |
2018 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2018-01-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312018000100207 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312018000100207 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/2318-0331.231820170081 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
RBRH v.23 2018 reponame:RBRH (Online) instname:Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos (ABRH) instacron:ABRH |
instname_str |
Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos (ABRH) |
instacron_str |
ABRH |
institution |
ABRH |
reponame_str |
RBRH (Online) |
collection |
RBRH (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
RBRH (Online) - Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos (ABRH) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||rbrh@abrh.org.br |
_version_ |
1754734701512228864 |