Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2017 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Journal of Health & Biological Sciences |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/view/1442 |
Resumo: | Objective: to analyze the relationship of climatic variables, temperature and rainfall, - with dengue, in addition to identifying possible areas of greater spatial concentration of confirmed dengue cases. Methods: This is an ecological study with secondary data in the city of Ubirajara / SP. The confirmed cases of Dengue, assumed as an outcome, were obtained from the Aging and Notification Information System (SINAN) of the Ministry of Health; while the climatic data were used as independent variables and temperature and precipitation were provided by IPMet - Center of Meteorology of Bauru / SP, from 2007 to 2015. Pearson’s correlation (r) was used for statistical analyzes. The addresses were geocoded and related to the digital cartoFigureic base of the municipality through the software QGIS and elaborated the thematic map through the kernel intensity estimator. Results: 187 cases of dengue were reported in the study period, with 119 cases (63.7%) occurring in 2015 with an incidence coefficient of 25.39 cases per 1,000 inhabitants. Mean annual temperature correlated positively with dengue and (r) (Pearson) cases = 0.6889, p = 0.0401 (α = Type I error) and β = 0.6652 (Type II error). The Kernel map identified four areas of greatest concentration for dengue transmission. Conclusions: The relationship between temperature increase and dengue cases requires adequate responses from the institutions, with continuous monitoring of trends, construction of predictive models for the formulation of plans by using spatial analysis in the identification of the priority areas for actions that will be performed. |
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Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, BrazilSaúde PúblicaDengue; Climate; Spatial AnalysisObjective: to analyze the relationship of climatic variables, temperature and rainfall, - with dengue, in addition to identifying possible areas of greater spatial concentration of confirmed dengue cases. Methods: This is an ecological study with secondary data in the city of Ubirajara / SP. The confirmed cases of Dengue, assumed as an outcome, were obtained from the Aging and Notification Information System (SINAN) of the Ministry of Health; while the climatic data were used as independent variables and temperature and precipitation were provided by IPMet - Center of Meteorology of Bauru / SP, from 2007 to 2015. Pearson’s correlation (r) was used for statistical analyzes. The addresses were geocoded and related to the digital cartoFigureic base of the municipality through the software QGIS and elaborated the thematic map through the kernel intensity estimator. Results: 187 cases of dengue were reported in the study period, with 119 cases (63.7%) occurring in 2015 with an incidence coefficient of 25.39 cases per 1,000 inhabitants. Mean annual temperature correlated positively with dengue and (r) (Pearson) cases = 0.6889, p = 0.0401 (α = Type I error) and β = 0.6652 (Type II error). The Kernel map identified four areas of greatest concentration for dengue transmission. Conclusions: The relationship between temperature increase and dengue cases requires adequate responses from the institutions, with continuous monitoring of trends, construction of predictive models for the formulation of plans by using spatial analysis in the identification of the priority areas for actions that will be performed.Instituto para o Desenvolvimento da EducacaoPeres Neto, JoãoPraddo da Fonseca, EmílioRosário de Sousa, Maria da LuzTennant, Marc2017-12-13info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionAvaliado por ParesPeer ReviewRevisado por paresapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/view/144210.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v6i1.1442.p5-8.2018Journal of Health & Biological Sciences; v. 6, n. 1 (2018): Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; 5-8Journal of Health & Biological Sciences; v. 6, n. 1 (2018): Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; 5-8Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; v. 6, n. 1 (2018): Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; 5-82317-30762317-308410.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v6i1.2018reponame:Journal of Health & Biological Sciencesinstname:Centro Universitário Christus (Unichristus)instacron:CHRISTUSenghttps://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/view/1442/542https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/downloadSuppFile/1442/287https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/downloadSuppFile/1442/288América da SulCasos confirmados e notificados de dengue no período de 2007 a 2015Direitos autorais 2017 Journal of Health & Biological Scienceshttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2018-12-28T19:30:47Zoai:ojs.unichristus.emnuvens.com.br:article/1442Revistahttps://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/indexPRIhttps://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/oaisecretaria.jhbs@unichristus.edu.br || editor.jhbs@fchristus.edu.br2317-30762317-3084opendoar:2023-01-13T09:47:32.040687Journal of Health & Biological Sciences - Centro Universitário Christus (Unichristus)true |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
title |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil Peres Neto, João Saúde Pública Dengue; Climate; Spatial Analysis |
title_short |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
title_full |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
title_sort |
Spatial analysis and climatic factors related to dengue in a small municipality of São Paulo, Brazil |
author |
Peres Neto, João |
author_facet |
Peres Neto, João Praddo da Fonseca, Emílio Rosário de Sousa, Maria da Luz Tennant, Marc |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Praddo da Fonseca, Emílio Rosário de Sousa, Maria da Luz Tennant, Marc |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
|
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Peres Neto, João Praddo da Fonseca, Emílio Rosário de Sousa, Maria da Luz Tennant, Marc |
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv |
|
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Saúde Pública Dengue; Climate; Spatial Analysis |
topic |
Saúde Pública Dengue; Climate; Spatial Analysis |
description |
Objective: to analyze the relationship of climatic variables, temperature and rainfall, - with dengue, in addition to identifying possible areas of greater spatial concentration of confirmed dengue cases. Methods: This is an ecological study with secondary data in the city of Ubirajara / SP. The confirmed cases of Dengue, assumed as an outcome, were obtained from the Aging and Notification Information System (SINAN) of the Ministry of Health; while the climatic data were used as independent variables and temperature and precipitation were provided by IPMet - Center of Meteorology of Bauru / SP, from 2007 to 2015. Pearson’s correlation (r) was used for statistical analyzes. The addresses were geocoded and related to the digital cartoFigureic base of the municipality through the software QGIS and elaborated the thematic map through the kernel intensity estimator. Results: 187 cases of dengue were reported in the study period, with 119 cases (63.7%) occurring in 2015 with an incidence coefficient of 25.39 cases per 1,000 inhabitants. Mean annual temperature correlated positively with dengue and (r) (Pearson) cases = 0.6889, p = 0.0401 (α = Type I error) and β = 0.6652 (Type II error). The Kernel map identified four areas of greatest concentration for dengue transmission. Conclusions: The relationship between temperature increase and dengue cases requires adequate responses from the institutions, with continuous monitoring of trends, construction of predictive models for the formulation of plans by using spatial analysis in the identification of the priority areas for actions that will be performed. |
publishDate |
2017 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2017-12-13 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Avaliado por Pares Peer Review Revisado por pares |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/view/1442 10.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v6i1.1442.p5-8.2018 |
url |
https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/view/1442 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v6i1.1442.p5-8.2018 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/view/1442/542 https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/downloadSuppFile/1442/287 https://periodicos.unichristus.edu.br/jhbs/article/downloadSuppFile/1442/288 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Direitos autorais 2017 Journal of Health & Biological Sciences http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Direitos autorais 2017 Journal of Health & Biological Sciences http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv |
América da Sul Casos confirmados e notificados de dengue no período de 2007 a 2015 |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto para o Desenvolvimento da Educacao |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto para o Desenvolvimento da Educacao |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Journal of Health & Biological Sciences; v. 6, n. 1 (2018): Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; 5-8 Journal of Health & Biological Sciences; v. 6, n. 1 (2018): Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; 5-8 Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; v. 6, n. 1 (2018): Journal of Health and Biological Sciences; 5-8 2317-3076 2317-3084 10.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v6i1.2018 reponame:Journal of Health & Biological Sciences instname:Centro Universitário Christus (Unichristus) instacron:CHRISTUS |
instname_str |
Centro Universitário Christus (Unichristus) |
instacron_str |
CHRISTUS |
institution |
CHRISTUS |
reponame_str |
Journal of Health & Biological Sciences |
collection |
Journal of Health & Biological Sciences |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Journal of Health & Biological Sciences - Centro Universitário Christus (Unichristus) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
secretaria.jhbs@unichristus.edu.br || editor.jhbs@fchristus.edu.br |
_version_ |
1797052857053085696 |