A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Bastos, Leonardo S.
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Economou, Theodoros, Gomes, Marcelo F. C., Villela, Daniel A. M., Coelho, Flavio C., Cruz, Oswaldo G., Stoner, Oliver, Bailey, Trevor, Codeço, Claudia T.
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/40921
Resumo: Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES), Grant/Award Number: 88881.068124/2014-01
id CRUZ_42bc3aed1c894e6fbf22848ed58d9d49
oai_identifier_str oai:www.arca.fiocruz.br:icict/40921
network_acronym_str CRUZ
network_name_str Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
repository_id_str 2135
spelling Bastos, Leonardo S.Economou, TheodorosGomes, Marcelo F. C.Villela, Daniel A. M.Coelho, Flavio C.Cruz, Oswaldo G.Stoner, OliverBailey, TrevorCodeço, Claudia T.2020-04-22T16:02:28Z2020-04-22T16:02:28Z2019BASTOS, Leonardo S. et al. A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data. Statistics in Medicine, v. 38, n. 22, p. 4363-4377, 2019.0277-6715https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/4092110.1002/sim.8303Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES), Grant/Award Number: 88881.068124/2014-01Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.University of Exeter. Department of Mathematics. Exeter, UK.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Getúlio Vargas. Escola de Matemática Aplicada. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.University of Exeter. Department of Mathematics. Exeter, UK.University of Exeter. Department of Mathematics. Exeter, UK.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Presidência. Programa de Computação Científica. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.One difficulty for real-time tracking of epidemics is related to reporting delay. The reporting delay may be due to laboratory confirmation, logistical problems, infrastructure difficulties, and so on. The ability to correct the available information as quickly as possible is crucial, in terms of decision making such as issuing warnings to the public and local authorities. A Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach is proposed as a flexible way of correcting the reporting delays and to quantify the associated uncertainty. Implementation of the model is fast due to the use of the integrated nested Laplace approximation. The approach is illustrated on dengue fever incidence data in Rio de Janeiro, and severe acute respiratory infection data in the state of Paraná, Brazil.A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance datainfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleBayesian Hierarchical ModelDengueINLAReporting DelaySARIinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessengreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-83132https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/40921/1/license.txt70425d8cb6e40fdcf4edd2ef0660b45bMD51ORIGINALBastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdfBastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdfapplication/pdf2533019https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/40921/2/Bastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdfd8e9ffd8142e019c1373e369cece7142MD52TEXTBastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdf.txtBastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain58730https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/40921/3/Bastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdf.txt347019a6c79d98addbe4c637e2f6d37aMD53icict/409212020-04-23 02:04:41.531oai:www.arca.fiocruz.br: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ório InstitucionalPUBhttps://www.arca.fiocruz.br/oai/requestrepositorio.arca@fiocruz.bropendoar:21352020-04-23T05:04:41Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
title A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
spellingShingle A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
Bastos, Leonardo S.
Bayesian Hierarchical Model
Dengue
INLA
Reporting Delay
SARI
title_short A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
title_full A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
title_fullStr A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
title_full_unstemmed A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
title_sort A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data
author Bastos, Leonardo S.
author_facet Bastos, Leonardo S.
Economou, Theodoros
Gomes, Marcelo F. C.
Villela, Daniel A. M.
Coelho, Flavio C.
Cruz, Oswaldo G.
Stoner, Oliver
Bailey, Trevor
Codeço, Claudia T.
author_role author
author2 Economou, Theodoros
Gomes, Marcelo F. C.
Villela, Daniel A. M.
Coelho, Flavio C.
Cruz, Oswaldo G.
Stoner, Oliver
Bailey, Trevor
Codeço, Claudia T.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Bastos, Leonardo S.
Economou, Theodoros
Gomes, Marcelo F. C.
Villela, Daniel A. M.
Coelho, Flavio C.
Cruz, Oswaldo G.
Stoner, Oliver
Bailey, Trevor
Codeço, Claudia T.
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Bayesian Hierarchical Model
Dengue
INLA
Reporting Delay
SARI
topic Bayesian Hierarchical Model
Dengue
INLA
Reporting Delay
SARI
description Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES), Grant/Award Number: 88881.068124/2014-01
publishDate 2019
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2019
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-04-22T16:02:28Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2020-04-22T16:02:28Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv BASTOS, Leonardo S. et al. A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data. Statistics in Medicine, v. 38, n. 22, p. 4363-4377, 2019.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/40921
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 0277-6715
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 10.1002/sim.8303
identifier_str_mv BASTOS, Leonardo S. et al. A modelling approach for correcting reporting delays in disease surveillance data. Statistics in Medicine, v. 38, n. 22, p. 4363-4377, 2019.
0277-6715
10.1002/sim.8303
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/40921
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
instname_str Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron_str FIOCRUZ
institution FIOCRUZ
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
collection Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/40921/1/license.txt
https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/40921/2/Bastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdf
https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/40921/3/Bastos_Leonardo_S_etal_PROCC_2019.pdf.txt
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv 70425d8cb6e40fdcf4edd2ef0660b45b
d8e9ffd8142e019c1373e369cece7142
347019a6c79d98addbe4c637e2f6d37a
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv MD5
MD5
MD5
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv repositorio.arca@fiocruz.br
_version_ 1813008825989464064