Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Perez-Guzman, Pablo Noel
Data de Publicação: 2018
Outros Autores: Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior, Obolski, Uri, Lima, Maricelia Maia de, Ashley, Elizabeth A., Smithuis, Franklin, Horby, Peter, Maude, Richard J., Lin, Zaw, Kyaw, Aye Mon Mon, Lourenço, José
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/30693
Resumo: Inclui correção.
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spelling Perez-Guzman, Pablo NoelAlcantara, Luiz Carlos JúniorObolski, UriLima, Maricelia Maia deAshley, Elizabeth A.Smithuis, FranklinHorby, PeterMaude, Richard J.Lin, ZawKyaw, Aye Mon MonLourenço, José2018-12-19T14:31:03Z2018-12-19T14:31:03Z2018PEREZ-GUZMAN, Pablo Noel et al. Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission. PLOS Current Outbreaks, p. 1-15, 28 Sept. 2018.2157-3999https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/3069310.1371/currents.outbreaks.9934c8779f27f8fa6e4d59d3197dff85Inclui correção.The Myanmar Oxford Clinical Research Unit is part of the MORU Tropical Health Network, funded by the Wellcome Trust. RJM receives funding from Asian Development Bank and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit is funded by the Wellcome Trust of Great Britain.University of Oxford. Imperial College. Department of Global Health and Tropical Medicine. Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology. London, UK.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Laboratório de Hematologia, Genética e Biologia Computacional. Salvador, BA, Brasil.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. London, UK.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Laboratório de Hematologia, Genética e Biologia Computacional. Salvador, BA, Brasil.University of Oxford. Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health. Myanmar-Oxford Clinical Research Unit, Yangon. Nuffield Department of Medicine. Oxford, UK.University of Oxford. Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health. Myanmar-Oxford Clinical Research Unit, Yangon. Nuffield Department of Medicine. Oxford, UK.University of Oxford. Nuffield Department of Medicine. Oxford, UK.University of Oxford. Nuffield Department of Medicine. Oxford, UK / University of Oxford. Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health. Nuffield Department of Medicine. Oxford, UK / Mahidol University. Faculty of Tropical Medicine. Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit.Thailand / Harvard University. Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health. Boston, USA.Myanmar Ministry of Health and Sports. Naypyidaw, Myanmar.Myanmar Ministry of Health and Sports. Naypyidaw, Myanmar.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, UK.Introduction: In South East Asia, mosquito-borne viruses (MBVs) have long been a cause of high disease burden and significant economic costs. While in some SEA countries the epidemiology of MBVs is spatiotemporally well characterised and understood, in others such as Myanmar our understanding is largely incomplete. Materials and Methods: Here, we use a simple mathematical approach to estimate a climate-driven suitability index aiming to better characterise the intrinsic, spatio-temporal potential of MBVs in Myanmar. Results: Results show that the timing and amplitude of the natural oscillations of our suitability index are highly informative for the temporal patterns of DENV case counts at the country level, and a mosquito-abundance measure at a city level. When projected at fine spatial scales, the suitability index suggests that the time period of highest MBV transmission potential is between June and October independently of geographical location. Higher potential is nonetheless found along the middle axis of the country and in particular in the southern corridor of international borders with Thailand. Discussion: This research complements and expands our current understanding of MBV transmission potential in Myanmar, by identifying key spatial heterogeneities and temporal windows of importance for surveillance and control. We discuss our findings in the context of Zika virus given its recent worldwide emergence, public health impact, and current lack of information on its epidemiology and transmission potential in Myanmar. The proposed suitability index here demonstrated is applicable to other regions of the world for which surveillance data is missing, either due to lack of resources or absence of an MBV of interest.engVirus ZikaTransmissãoMosquitosVigilânciaEpidemiologiaControleZika virusTransmissionCulicidaeSurveillanceEpidemiologyControlMeasuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmissioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/30693/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINALPerez Guzman. Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral...2018.pdfPerez Guzman. 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
title Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
spellingShingle Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
Perez-Guzman, Pablo Noel
Virus Zika
Transmissão
Mosquitos
Vigilância
Epidemiologia
Controle
Zika virus
Transmission
Culicidae
Surveillance
Epidemiology
Control
title_short Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
title_full Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
title_fullStr Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
title_full_unstemmed Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
title_sort Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission
author Perez-Guzman, Pablo Noel
author_facet Perez-Guzman, Pablo Noel
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior
Obolski, Uri
Lima, Maricelia Maia de
Ashley, Elizabeth A.
Smithuis, Franklin
Horby, Peter
Maude, Richard J.
Lin, Zaw
Kyaw, Aye Mon Mon
Lourenço, José
author_role author
author2 Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior
Obolski, Uri
Lima, Maricelia Maia de
Ashley, Elizabeth A.
Smithuis, Franklin
Horby, Peter
Maude, Richard J.
Lin, Zaw
Kyaw, Aye Mon Mon
Lourenço, José
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Perez-Guzman, Pablo Noel
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior
Obolski, Uri
Lima, Maricelia Maia de
Ashley, Elizabeth A.
Smithuis, Franklin
Horby, Peter
Maude, Richard J.
Lin, Zaw
Kyaw, Aye Mon Mon
Lourenço, José
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Virus Zika
Transmissão
Mosquitos
Vigilância
Epidemiologia
Controle
topic Virus Zika
Transmissão
Mosquitos
Vigilância
Epidemiologia
Controle
Zika virus
Transmission
Culicidae
Surveillance
Epidemiology
Control
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Zika virus
Transmission
Culicidae
Surveillance
Epidemiology
Control
description Inclui correção.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2018-12-19T14:31:03Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-12-19T14:31:03Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2018
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv PEREZ-GUZMAN, Pablo Noel et al. Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission. PLOS Current Outbreaks, p. 1-15, 28 Sept. 2018.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/30693
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 2157-3999
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1371/currents.outbreaks.9934c8779f27f8fa6e4d59d3197dff85
identifier_str_mv PEREZ-GUZMAN, Pablo Noel et al. Measuring Mosquito-borne Viral Suitability in Myanmar and Implications for Local Zika Virus Transmission. PLOS Current Outbreaks, p. 1-15, 28 Sept. 2018.
2157-3999
10.1371/currents.outbreaks.9934c8779f27f8fa6e4d59d3197dff85
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/30693
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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