Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Lourenço, José
Data de Publicação: 2017
Outros Autores: Maia de Lima, Maricelia, Faria, Nuno Rodrigues, Walker, Andrew, Kraemer, Moritz U. G., Villabona-Arenas, Christian Julian, Lambert, Ben, Cerqueira, Erenilde Marques de, Pybus, Oliver G., Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior, Recker, Mario
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/22849
Resumo: University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.
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spelling Lourenço, JoséMaia de Lima, MariceliaFaria, Nuno RodriguesWalker, AndrewKraemer, Moritz U. G.Villabona-Arenas, Christian JulianLambert, BenCerqueira, Erenilde Marques dePybus, Oliver G.Alcantara, Luiz Carlos JúniorRecker, Mario2017-10-17T16:47:08Z2017-10-17T16:47:08Z2017LOURENÇO, José et al. Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting. eLife, v. 6, p. 1-47, 2017.https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/2284910.7554/eLife.29820engeLife Sciences Publicationshttps://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/23185Zika VirusSaúde públicaEpidemiologiaTransmissãoMicrocefaliaEpidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban settinginfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleUniversity of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Laboratório de Hematologia, Genética e Biologia Computacional. Salvador, BA, Brasil.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.Université de Montpellier. Institut de Recherche pour le Développement. Institut de Biologie Computationnelle. Montpellier, France.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.Universidade Estadual de Feira de Santana. Centre of Post Graduation in Collective Health. Department of Health. Feira de Santana, BA, Brazil.University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Gonçalo Moniz. Laboratório de Hematologia, Genética e Biologia Computacional. Salvador, BA, Brasil.University of Exeter. Centre for Mathematics and the Environment. Penryn, United Kingdom.The Zika virus has emerged as a global public health concern. Its rapid geographic expansion is attributed to the success of Aedes mosquito vectors, but local epidemiological drivers are still poorly understood. Feira de Santana played a pivotal role in the Chikungunya epidemic in Brazil and was one of the first urban centres to report Zika infections. Using a climate-driven transmission model and notified Zika case data, we show that a low observation rate and high vectorial capacity translated into a significant attack rate during the 2015 outbreak, with a subsequent decline in 2016 and fade-out in 2017 due to herd-immunity. We find a potential Zika-related, low risk for microcephaly per pregnancy, but with significant public health impact given high attack rates. The balance between the loss of herd-immunity and viral re-importation will dictate future transmission potential of in this urban setting.NãoPublicadoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-83133https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/22849/1/license.txtf74758116b4c371a58ab8be5ab029452MD51ORIGINALva_Maricelia_Maia_de_Lima_etal_IGM_2017.pdfva_Maricelia_Maia_de_Lima_etal_IGM_2017.pdfapplication/pdf27544717https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/22849/2/va_Maricelia_Maia_de_Lima_etal_IGM_2017.pdf779ed5b6791beeaffc2504fa48391772MD52TEXTva_Maricelia_Maia_de_Lima_etal_IGM_2017.pdf.txtva_Maricelia_Maia_de_Lima_etal_IGM_2017.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain111762https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/22849/3/va_Maricelia_Maia_de_Lima_etal_IGM_2017.pdf.txt83624f0568be04fc3f61abd829d9260cMD53icict/228492018-12-27 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
title Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
spellingShingle Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
Lourenço, José
Zika Virus
Saúde pública
Epidemiologia
Transmissão
Microcefalia
title_short Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
title_full Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
title_fullStr Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
title_full_unstemmed Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
title_sort Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting
author Lourenço, José
author_facet Lourenço, José
Maia de Lima, Maricelia
Faria, Nuno Rodrigues
Walker, Andrew
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Villabona-Arenas, Christian Julian
Lambert, Ben
Cerqueira, Erenilde Marques de
Pybus, Oliver G.
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior
Recker, Mario
author_role author
author2 Maia de Lima, Maricelia
Faria, Nuno Rodrigues
Walker, Andrew
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Villabona-Arenas, Christian Julian
Lambert, Ben
Cerqueira, Erenilde Marques de
Pybus, Oliver G.
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior
Recker, Mario
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lourenço, José
Maia de Lima, Maricelia
Faria, Nuno Rodrigues
Walker, Andrew
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Villabona-Arenas, Christian Julian
Lambert, Ben
Cerqueira, Erenilde Marques de
Pybus, Oliver G.
Alcantara, Luiz Carlos Júnior
Recker, Mario
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Zika Virus
Saúde pública
Epidemiologia
Transmissão
Microcefalia
topic Zika Virus
Saúde pública
Epidemiologia
Transmissão
Microcefalia
description University of Oxford. Department of Zoology. Oxford, United Kingdom.
publishDate 2017
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2017-10-17T16:47:08Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2017-10-17T16:47:08Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2017
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv LOURENÇO, José et al. Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting. eLife, v. 6, p. 1-47, 2017.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/22849
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 10.7554/eLife.29820
identifier_str_mv LOURENÇO, José et al. Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting. eLife, v. 6, p. 1-47, 2017.
10.7554/eLife.29820
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/22849
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.hasversion.pt_BR.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/23185
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv eLife Sciences Publications
publisher.none.fl_str_mv eLife Sciences Publications
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
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instacron_str FIOCRUZ
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collection Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
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