Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Oliveira, Marcio Sacramento de
Data de Publicação: 2022
Outros Autores: Montovani, Elisa Hypólito, Ebole, Maria de Fatima, Leon, Antonio Carlos Monteiro Ponce de, Marques, Márcio Candeias
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/58509
Resumo: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
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spelling Oliveira, Marcio Sacramento deMontovani, Elisa HypólitoEbole, Maria de FatimaLeon, Antonio Carlos Monteiro Ponce deMarques, Márcio Candeias2023-05-19T14:59:27Z2023-05-19T14:59:27Z2022OLIVEIRA, Marcio Sacramento de et al. Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts. Revista de Saúde Pública, v. 56, p. 1-13, 2022.0034-8910https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/5850910.11606/s1518-8787.2022056003672engUniversidade de Sao PauloMortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecastsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Medicina Social. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Politécnica de Saúde Joaquim Venâncio. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.OBJECTIVE: To analyze the time trend of monthly mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases in Brazil from 1996 to 2017, with forecasts for 2022, besides analyzing the possibility of achieving the goal of the Plano de Ações Estratégicas para o Enfrentamento dasDoenças Crônicas Não Transmissíveis no Brasil (Strategic Action Plan to Tackle Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases in Brazil) from 2011 to 2022. METHODS: This is an ecological study that uses data from Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (SIM – Mortality Information System), Sistema de Informações Demográficas e Socioeconômicas (Demographic and Socioeconomic Information System) and PesquisaNacional por Amostra deDomicílios Contínua (PNAD Contínua – Continuous National Household Sample Survey). We established the age range between 30 and 69 years old and the evolution of the rates over time was made by autoregressive integrated moving average models in R statistical tool. RESULTS: Premature mortality rates from chronic respiratory diseases are decreasing in Brazil as a whole, mostly in state capitals. There is also a trend to reach the Ministry of Health’s goal in most of the country. For capitals that tend not to reach the goal, there is an association between mortality and social indicators, healthcare network and frequency of smoking. CONCLUSION: This study intends to improve planning of the public health system for the control of chronic respiratory diseases.Respiratory Tract DiseasesMortalityChronic Disease IndicatorsHealth Programs and PlansTrendsEcological Studiesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/58509/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINAL199802-Article Text-564904-1-10-20220704.pdf199802-Article Text-564904-1-10-20220704.pdfArtigoapplication/pdf1103347https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/58509/2/199802-Article%20Text-564904-1-10-20220704.pdf176937854c93dccee117e95bb5ecdee7MD52icict/585092023-10-27 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dc.title.en_US.fl_str_mv Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
title Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
spellingShingle Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
Oliveira, Marcio Sacramento de
Respiratory Tract Diseases
Mortality
Chronic Disease Indicators
Health Programs and Plans
Trends
Ecological Studies
title_short Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
title_full Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
title_fullStr Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
title_full_unstemmed Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
title_sort Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts
author Oliveira, Marcio Sacramento de
author_facet Oliveira, Marcio Sacramento de
Montovani, Elisa Hypólito
Ebole, Maria de Fatima
Leon, Antonio Carlos Monteiro Ponce de
Marques, Márcio Candeias
author_role author
author2 Montovani, Elisa Hypólito
Ebole, Maria de Fatima
Leon, Antonio Carlos Monteiro Ponce de
Marques, Márcio Candeias
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Oliveira, Marcio Sacramento de
Montovani, Elisa Hypólito
Ebole, Maria de Fatima
Leon, Antonio Carlos Monteiro Ponce de
Marques, Márcio Candeias
dc.subject.en.en_US.fl_str_mv Respiratory Tract Diseases
Mortality
Chronic Disease Indicators
Health Programs and Plans
Trends
Ecological Studies
topic Respiratory Tract Diseases
Mortality
Chronic Disease Indicators
Health Programs and Plans
Trends
Ecological Studies
description Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2022
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2023-05-19T14:59:27Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2023-05-19T14:59:27Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv OLIVEIRA, Marcio Sacramento de et al. Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts. Revista de Saúde Pública, v. 56, p. 1-13, 2022.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/58509
dc.identifier.issn.en_US.fl_str_mv 0034-8910
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.11606/s1518-8787.2022056003672
identifier_str_mv OLIVEIRA, Marcio Sacramento de et al. Mortality from chronic respiratory disease in Brazil: time trend and forecasts. Revista de Saúde Pública, v. 56, p. 1-13, 2022.
0034-8910
10.11606/s1518-8787.2022056003672
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/58509
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de Sao Paulo
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de Sao Paulo
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
instname_str Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron_str FIOCRUZ
institution FIOCRUZ
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
collection Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/58509/1/license.txt
https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/58509/2/199802-Article%20Text-564904-1-10-20220704.pdf
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA) - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
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