Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Silva, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da, Brusse, Gustavo Pedroso de Lima, Martins, Thalyta C´assia de Freitas
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/52475
Resumo: This work was supported by Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Programa INOVA—COVID Resposta R´ apida [Grant VPPIS- 005-FIO-20-2-47]. Ethical approval. Ethical approval is not required for this research, due to the public source of data.
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spelling Guimarães, Raphael MendonçaSilva, José Henrique Costa Monteiro daBrusse, Gustavo Pedroso de LimaMartins, Thalyta C´assia de Freitas2022-04-30T02:31:49Z2022-04-30T02:31:49Z2021GUIMARÃES, Raphael Mendonça et al. Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter? Health Policy and Planning, v. 00, p. 1-8, 2021.0268-1080https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/5247510.1093/heapol/czab110This work was supported by Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Programa INOVA—COVID Resposta R´ apida [Grant VPPIS- 005-FIO-20-2-47]. Ethical approval. Ethical approval is not required for this research, due to the public source of data.Oswaldo Cruz Foundation. Presidency. Fiocruz Observatory Covid-19. Brazil, RJ, Brasil.CELADE. Population Division of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. Santiago de Chile, Chile.University of Campinas. Campinas, SP, Brazil.Oswaldo Cruz Foundation. National School of Public Health. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil.This study aims to examine the association between physical distancing measures and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence among Brazilian states. We divided the methodology was divided into three steps. In the first step, we used nationwide global positioning system daily data to estimate country and state-level physical distancing and examined the association with COVID-19 incidence through a Generalized Additive Model. Secondly, using National Household Sample Survey COVID19 data, a cluster analysis categorized the Brazilian states into different categories of physical distancing policies promoting adoption and political inclination of their governments. Finally, through a Poisson Regression Model, we examined the association of state physical distancing with variables related to the socio-economic situation, test coverage and early adoption of policies promoting physical distancing of each state. Physical distancing effects on reduction of COVID-19 spread are heterogeneous among states. Estimation of incidence rate ratio (IRR) suggests that in a scenario of 100% of social isolation incidence of COVID-19 will have reached approximately only 2.6% of the magnitude compared to when there is no social isolation for Brazil [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.8–8.3]. Only a 10% increase in Social Isolation Index in the country could have reflected in a 30.5% decrease in number of cases in 14 days. Adoption of physical distancing was associated with test coverage (IRR 0.976, 95% CI 0.973–0.979), home office (IRR 1.042, 95% CI 1.039–1.046), informal work proportion (IRR 0.961, 95% CI 0.958–0.965), political spectrum (IRR 0.961, 95% CI 0.958–0.965) and early moment of restrictive politics implementation (IRR 1.017, 95% CI 1.013–1.021). Physical distancing measures play a crucial role in mitigating the pandemic’s spread. These analyses are crucial to support government decisions and improve the community’s adherence to preventive measures.engOxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineEffect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleCOVID-19IncidencePhysical distancingTime seriesBrazilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
title Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
spellingShingle Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça
COVID-19
Incidence
Physical distancing
Time series
Brazil
title_short Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
title_full Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
title_fullStr Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
title_full_unstemmed Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
title_sort Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?
author Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça
author_facet Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça
Silva, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da
Brusse, Gustavo Pedroso de Lima
Martins, Thalyta C´assia de Freitas
author_role author
author2 Silva, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da
Brusse, Gustavo Pedroso de Lima
Martins, Thalyta C´assia de Freitas
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Guimarães, Raphael Mendonça
Silva, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da
Brusse, Gustavo Pedroso de Lima
Martins, Thalyta C´assia de Freitas
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv COVID-19
Incidence
Physical distancing
Time series
Brazil
topic COVID-19
Incidence
Physical distancing
Time series
Brazil
description This work was supported by Oswaldo Cruz Foundation, Programa INOVA—COVID Resposta R´ apida [Grant VPPIS- 005-FIO-20-2-47]. Ethical approval. Ethical approval is not required for this research, due to the public source of data.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2022-04-30T02:31:49Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-04-30T02:31:49Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv GUIMARÃES, Raphael Mendonça et al. Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter? Health Policy and Planning, v. 00, p. 1-8, 2021.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/52475
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 0268-1080
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1093/heapol/czab110
identifier_str_mv GUIMARÃES, Raphael Mendonça et al. Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter? Health Policy and Planning, v. 00, p. 1-8, 2021.
0268-1080
10.1093/heapol/czab110
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/52475
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
instname_str Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron_str FIOCRUZ
institution FIOCRUZ
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
collection Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/52475/1/license.txt
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