The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Simões, Taynãna César
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Sena, Roberto, Meira, Karina Cardoso
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/42716
Resumo: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto René Rachou. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil
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spelling Simões, Taynãna CésarSena, RobertoMeira, Karina Cardoso2020-08-12T14:36:25Z2020-08-12T14:36:25Z2020SIMOES, Taynana Cesar; SENA, Roberto; MEIRA, Karina Cardoso. The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014. PLoS ONE, v. 15, n. 4, e0231874, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.02318741932-6203https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/4271610.1371/journal.pone.0231874engPublic Library of ScienceThe influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto René Rachou. Belo Horizonte, MG, BrasilFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto René Rachou. Belo Horizonte, MG, BrasilUniversidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte. Faculdade de Saúde. Natal, RN, BrasilBackground: Schistosomiasis is highly debilitating and related to poverty, leading to chronic health problems. This disease is important for public health due to the high prevalence, severity of clinical forms and heterogeneous spatial and temporal patterns. In Brazil, about 1.5 million people are at risk of infection with Schistosoma mansoni, with an annual average of 500 deaths. In this study, the temporal change in mortality was evaluated in relation to the effects of age, period and birth cohort, in Brazil and regions, from 1980 to 2014. Methods: In this study, we analyzed the influence of age, period and birth cohort (APC effects) on the temporal evolution of schistosomiasis mortality in Brazil from 1980 to 2014, according to sex and geographic regions of the country. The death records were extracted from the SIM (Mortality Information System) of the DATASUS website (Department of National Health Informatics) of the Ministry of Health of Brazil. The temporal effects were estimated using Bayesian models and the INLA (Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations) method for parameter inference. Results: More than 24 thousand deaths were registered in the analyzed period, mainly in men from the Northeast region. In Brazil, children under 14 years of age had protection against death from schistosomiasis. There was no significant effect for others ages. From 1990 to 1999, there was a protective effect for death from schistosomiasis and a null effect in the other periods. There was a decreasing trend in the risk of death among birth cohorts. The greatest risk was among people born from 1903 to 1912. There was a protective effect for death among people born after 1968. Men were at risk of death between 25 and 54 years old, while women were at risk after seventy years of age. The southern and central-western regions had a risk of death until 1989 and had a protective effect between1995 and 1999. The northern region had a risk of death between 1985 and 1994, and a protective effect after 2005. The northeast and Southeast regions had protective effects for death between the years 1990 and 1999, and after 2000, respectively. People born until 1952 and 1957 were at risk of dying in the South and North regions, respectively, and a protective effect among people born after 1968, in both regions. In the Northeast region, there was a protective effect among people born after 1963. In the other regions, there was a risk of death among people born until 1962 and a protective effect among people born after 1973. The Central-West region had the least declining trend in risk of death among birth cohorts. Conclusions: The birth cohorts had a great influence on the decreasing trend of schistosomiasis mortality in Brazil. This result may be due to the interaction between demographic changes and greater access to health and sanitation services, in addition to the impact of schistosomiasis control measures experienced by younger cohorts.: SchistosomiasisSchistosoma mansoniinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-83082https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/42716/1/license.txt9193a7c197bc67acd023525e72a03240MD51ORIGINALThe influence of the age-period-cohort effects.pdfThe influence of the age-period-cohort effects.pdfapplication/pdf2085243https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/42716/2/The%20influence%20of%20the%20age-period-cohort%20effects.pdfafc7406fad322f0647d36066cebd2224MD52TEXTThe influence of the age-period-cohort effects.pdf.txtThe influence of the age-period-cohort effects.pdf.txtExtracted 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
title The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
spellingShingle The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
Simões, Taynãna César
: Schistosomiasis
Schistosoma mansoni
title_short The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
title_full The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
title_fullStr The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
title_full_unstemmed The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
title_sort The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014
author Simões, Taynãna César
author_facet Simões, Taynãna César
Sena, Roberto
Meira, Karina Cardoso
author_role author
author2 Sena, Roberto
Meira, Karina Cardoso
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Simões, Taynãna César
Sena, Roberto
Meira, Karina Cardoso
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv : Schistosomiasis
Schistosoma mansoni
topic : Schistosomiasis
Schistosoma mansoni
description Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto René Rachou. Belo Horizonte, MG, Brasil
publishDate 2020
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-08-12T14:36:25Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2020-08-12T14:36:25Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
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status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SIMOES, Taynana Cesar; SENA, Roberto; MEIRA, Karina Cardoso. The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014. PLoS ONE, v. 15, n. 4, e0231874, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231874
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/42716
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 1932-6203
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1371/journal.pone.0231874
identifier_str_mv SIMOES, Taynana Cesar; SENA, Roberto; MEIRA, Karina Cardoso. The influence of the age-period-cohort effects on the temporal trend mortality from schistosomiasis in Brazil from 1980 to 2014. PLoS ONE, v. 15, n. 4, e0231874, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0231874
1932-6203
10.1371/journal.pone.0231874
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/42716
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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