Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Revista de Economia Política |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572022000200304 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT This paper argues that several aspects of the productive structure and the macroeconomic policies of Latin American countries, when combined with a Taylor Rule, may produce too much output volatility and a bias towards real exchange rate overvaluation. Relaying on a simple Aggregate Demand - Aggregate Supply model, we show that this is a likely outcome when: a) the real interest rate elasticity of demand is low; b) depreciations have strong contractionary effects; and c) the exchange rate pass-through is relatively large. These conditions imply that depreciations are contractionary and a have a strong effect on inflation. |
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Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin AmericaInflation Targetingcontractionary depreciationsfear of floatingABSTRACT This paper argues that several aspects of the productive structure and the macroeconomic policies of Latin American countries, when combined with a Taylor Rule, may produce too much output volatility and a bias towards real exchange rate overvaluation. Relaying on a simple Aggregate Demand - Aggregate Supply model, we show that this is a likely outcome when: a) the real interest rate elasticity of demand is low; b) depreciations have strong contractionary effects; and c) the exchange rate pass-through is relatively large. These conditions imply that depreciations are contractionary and a have a strong effect on inflation.Centro de Economia Política2022-04-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572022000200304Brazilian Journal of Political Economy v.42 n.2 2022reponame:Revista de Economia Políticainstname:EDITORA 34instacron:EDITORA_3410.1590/0101-31572022-3075info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLIBMAN,EMILIANOeng2022-05-02T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0101-31572022000200304Revistahttps://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journalONGhttps://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org.br/repojs/index.php/journal/oai||cecilia.heise@bjpe.org.br1809-45380101-3157opendoar:2022-05-02T00:00Revista de Economia Política - EDITORA 34false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
title |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
spellingShingle |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America LIBMAN,EMILIANO Inflation Targeting contractionary depreciations fear of floating |
title_short |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
title_full |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
title_fullStr |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
title_full_unstemmed |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
title_sort |
Is Inflation Targeting destabilizing? Lessons from Latin America |
author |
LIBMAN,EMILIANO |
author_facet |
LIBMAN,EMILIANO |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
LIBMAN,EMILIANO |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Inflation Targeting contractionary depreciations fear of floating |
topic |
Inflation Targeting contractionary depreciations fear of floating |
description |
ABSTRACT This paper argues that several aspects of the productive structure and the macroeconomic policies of Latin American countries, when combined with a Taylor Rule, may produce too much output volatility and a bias towards real exchange rate overvaluation. Relaying on a simple Aggregate Demand - Aggregate Supply model, we show that this is a likely outcome when: a) the real interest rate elasticity of demand is low; b) depreciations have strong contractionary effects; and c) the exchange rate pass-through is relatively large. These conditions imply that depreciations are contractionary and a have a strong effect on inflation. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-04-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572022000200304 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-31572022000200304 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/0101-31572022-3075 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Centro de Economia Política |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Centro de Economia Política |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy v.42 n.2 2022 reponame:Revista de Economia Política instname:EDITORA 34 instacron:EDITORA_34 |
instname_str |
EDITORA 34 |
instacron_str |
EDITORA_34 |
institution |
EDITORA_34 |
reponame_str |
Revista de Economia Política |
collection |
Revista de Economia Política |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista de Economia Política - EDITORA 34 |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||cecilia.heise@bjpe.org.br |
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1754122482595397632 |