Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo
Data de Publicação: 2007
Outros Autores: Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis, Salvato, Márcio Antônio, Shikida, Cláudio Djissey
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
por
Título da fonte: Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107
Resumo: On October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms.
id FGV-8_9fba1b4f2bdcd0848bea1cce9becc4d7
oai_identifier_str oai:ojs.periodicos.fgv.br:article/1107
network_acronym_str FGV-8
network_name_str Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)
repository_id_str
spelling Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' ReferendumDê-me segurança ou lhe dou um "não": em busca do eleitor mediano no referendo das armasOn October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms.Em 2005, a sociedade brasileira participou de um referendo sobre o comércio legal de armas de fogo, e optou pela manutenção deste comércio. Nesse processo dois grupos de interesse foram formados, o grupo do SIM, favorável à proibição do comércio de armas de fogo, e o grupo do NÃO, em posição oposta. Assim, o objetivo deste artigo é analisar os argumentos de cada grupo, a partir de um modelo analítico e identificar os determinantes do resultado do referendo, utilizando dados em nível municipal. Os resultados indicam que a proporção de votos no NÃO é negativamente correlacionado com a taxa de homicídio em 2002 e positivamente correlacionado com a variação desta taxa de 1995 a 2002. Assim, nos municípios em que a escalada recente da violência foi maior, os cidadãos não desejam abrir mão do direito de adquirirem armas de fogo.EGV EPGE2007-07-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArticlesArtigosapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107Revista Brasileira de Economia; Vol. 61 No. 4 (2007); 429-448Revista Brasileira de Economia; v. 61 n. 4 (2007); 429-4481806-91340034-7140reponame:Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVengporhttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/322https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/452Junior, Ari Francisco de AraujoGomes, Fábio Augusto ReisSalvato, Márcio AntônioShikida, Cláudio Djisseyinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2008-12-19T15:16:00Zoai:ojs.periodicos.fgv.br:article/1107Revistahttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/oai||rbe@fgv.br1806-91340034-7140opendoar:2024-03-06T13:03:01.210790Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)true
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
Dê-me segurança ou lhe dou um "não": em busca do eleitor mediano no referendo das armas
title Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
spellingShingle Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo
title_short Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
title_full Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
title_fullStr Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
title_full_unstemmed Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
title_sort Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
author Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo
author_facet Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo
Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis
Salvato, Márcio Antônio
Shikida, Cláudio Djissey
author_role author
author2 Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis
Salvato, Márcio Antônio
Shikida, Cláudio Djissey
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo
Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis
Salvato, Márcio Antônio
Shikida, Cláudio Djissey
description On October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms.
publishDate 2007
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2007-07-07
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Articles
Artigos
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107
url https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
por
language eng
por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/322
https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/452
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv EGV EPGE
publisher.none.fl_str_mv EGV EPGE
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Revista Brasileira de Economia; Vol. 61 No. 4 (2007); 429-448
Revista Brasileira de Economia; v. 61 n. 4 (2007); 429-448
1806-9134
0034-7140
reponame:Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)
instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
instacron:FGV
instname_str Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
instacron_str FGV
institution FGV
reponame_str Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)
collection Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||rbe@fgv.br
_version_ 1798943112822784000