Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2007 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng por |
Título da fonte: | Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107 |
Resumo: | On October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms. |
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Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' ReferendumDê-me segurança ou lhe dou um "não": em busca do eleitor mediano no referendo das armasOn October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms.Em 2005, a sociedade brasileira participou de um referendo sobre o comércio legal de armas de fogo, e optou pela manutenção deste comércio. Nesse processo dois grupos de interesse foram formados, o grupo do SIM, favorável à proibição do comércio de armas de fogo, e o grupo do NÃO, em posição oposta. Assim, o objetivo deste artigo é analisar os argumentos de cada grupo, a partir de um modelo analítico e identificar os determinantes do resultado do referendo, utilizando dados em nível municipal. Os resultados indicam que a proporção de votos no NÃO é negativamente correlacionado com a taxa de homicídio em 2002 e positivamente correlacionado com a variação desta taxa de 1995 a 2002. Assim, nos municípios em que a escalada recente da violência foi maior, os cidadãos não desejam abrir mão do direito de adquirirem armas de fogo.EGV EPGE2007-07-07info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArticlesArtigosapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107Revista Brasileira de Economia; Vol. 61 No. 4 (2007); 429-448Revista Brasileira de Economia; v. 61 n. 4 (2007); 429-4481806-91340034-7140reponame:Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVengporhttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/322https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/452Junior, Ari Francisco de AraujoGomes, Fábio Augusto ReisSalvato, Márcio AntônioShikida, Cláudio Djisseyinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2008-12-19T15:16:00Zoai:ojs.periodicos.fgv.br:article/1107Revistahttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/oai||rbe@fgv.br1806-91340034-7140opendoar:2024-03-06T13:03:01.210790Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)true |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum Dê-me segurança ou lhe dou um "não": em busca do eleitor mediano no referendo das armas |
title |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum |
spellingShingle |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo |
title_short |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum |
title_full |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum |
title_fullStr |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum |
title_full_unstemmed |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum |
title_sort |
Give me Security or I give you a "no": looking for the median voter in the Brazilian Guns' Referendum |
author |
Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo |
author_facet |
Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis Salvato, Márcio Antônio Shikida, Cláudio Djissey |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis Salvato, Márcio Antônio Shikida, Cláudio Djissey |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Junior, Ari Francisco de Araujo Gomes, Fábio Augusto Reis Salvato, Márcio Antônio Shikida, Cláudio Djissey |
description |
On October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms. |
publishDate |
2007 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2007-07-07 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Articles Artigos |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107 |
url |
https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng por |
language |
eng por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/322 https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/1107/452 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
EGV EPGE |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
EGV EPGE |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Revista Brasileira de Economia; Vol. 61 No. 4 (2007); 429-448 Revista Brasileira de Economia; v. 61 n. 4 (2007); 429-448 1806-9134 0034-7140 reponame:Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) instacron:FGV |
instname_str |
Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) |
instacron_str |
FGV |
institution |
FGV |
reponame_str |
Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) |
collection |
Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista Brasileira de Economia (Online) - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||rbe@fgv.br |
_version_ |
1798943112822784000 |