Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2015 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13436 |
Resumo: | This work aims to analyze the relationship between monetary policy and inflation persistence in recent years, after the introduction of the inflation targeting regime in Brazil. Through a simplified new-Keynesian model, the degree of inflation-gap persistence is modeled as a function of the monetary policy rule weights. The time-varying Taylor rule is confronted with the estimated curve of inflation-gap persistence, demonstrating that changes in monetary policy lead to changes in the level of inflation persistence in the economy. An adaptation of the model with a Taylor rule that incorporates the output gap expectations, reaches the same results more accurately. |
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Zuffo, Vicente Matheus MoreiraEscolas::EESPMarçal, Emerson FernandesGoldbaum, SergioMori, Rogério2015-02-25T14:51:13Z2015-02-25T14:51:13Z2015-02-10ZUFFO, Vicente Matheus Moreira. Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2015.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13436This work aims to analyze the relationship between monetary policy and inflation persistence in recent years, after the introduction of the inflation targeting regime in Brazil. Through a simplified new-Keynesian model, the degree of inflation-gap persistence is modeled as a function of the monetary policy rule weights. The time-varying Taylor rule is confronted with the estimated curve of inflation-gap persistence, demonstrating that changes in monetary policy lead to changes in the level of inflation persistence in the economy. An adaptation of the model with a Taylor rule that incorporates the output gap expectations, reaches the same results more accurately.Este trabalho visa analisar a relação entre política monetária e persistência inflacionária no período recente, após a introdução do regime de metas de inflação no Brasil. Através de um modelo novo-keynesiano simplificado, o grau de persistência do hiato de inflação é modelado como função dos pesos da regra de política monetária. A evolução temporal da regra de Taylor é confrontada com a curva estimada de persistência do hiato de inflação, demonstrando que mudanças na condução da política monetária levam a alterações do nível de persistência inflacionária na economia. Uma adaptação do modelo, com uma regra de Taylor que incorpora expectativas do hiato do produto, chega aos mesmos resultados com maior precisão.porPersistência inflacionáriaEconomiaPolítica monetária - BrasilInflação - BrasilTaylor, Regra deMacroeconomiaAnálise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINALDissertacao_VicenteMatheus.pdfDissertacao_VicenteMatheus.pdfapplication/pdf1088298https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/b207fa13-ce2e-47d7-92f2-f2da0195d8ef/downloadd730a8afc054357f55ef1ed0531071d4MD53LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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|
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
title |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
spellingShingle |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil Zuffo, Vicente Matheus Moreira Persistência inflacionária Economia Política monetária - Brasil Inflação - Brasil Taylor, Regra de Macroeconomia |
title_short |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
title_full |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
title_fullStr |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
title_sort |
Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil |
author |
Zuffo, Vicente Matheus Moreira |
author_facet |
Zuffo, Vicente Matheus Moreira |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EESP |
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv |
Marçal, Emerson Fernandes Goldbaum, Sergio |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Zuffo, Vicente Matheus Moreira |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Mori, Rogério |
contributor_str_mv |
Mori, Rogério |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Persistência inflacionária |
topic |
Persistência inflacionária Economia Política monetária - Brasil Inflação - Brasil Taylor, Regra de Macroeconomia |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Política monetária - Brasil Inflação - Brasil Taylor, Regra de Macroeconomia |
description |
This work aims to analyze the relationship between monetary policy and inflation persistence in recent years, after the introduction of the inflation targeting regime in Brazil. Through a simplified new-Keynesian model, the degree of inflation-gap persistence is modeled as a function of the monetary policy rule weights. The time-varying Taylor rule is confronted with the estimated curve of inflation-gap persistence, demonstrating that changes in monetary policy lead to changes in the level of inflation persistence in the economy. An adaptation of the model with a Taylor rule that incorporates the output gap expectations, reaches the same results more accurately. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2015-02-25T14:51:13Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2015-02-25T14:51:13Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2015-02-10 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
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masterThesis |
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publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
ZUFFO, Vicente Matheus Moreira. Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2015. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13436 |
identifier_str_mv |
ZUFFO, Vicente Matheus Moreira. Análise dos efeitos da política monetária sobre a persistência inflacionária no Brasil. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2015. |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/13436 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
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