Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Coelho, Miguel de Campos Pinto
Data de Publicação: 2016
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15619
Resumo: Neste projeto, investigamos se as agências de rating e as taxas de juro de longo prazo da dívida soberana tiveram uma influência recíproca antes, durante e após a crise da dívida soberana Europeia. Esta análise é realizada, estimando a relação existente entre os ratings da dívida soberana ou taxas de juro e factores macroeconomicos e estruturais, através de uma diferente aplicação de metodologias utilizadas para este efeito. Os resultados obtidos demonstram que, no período da crise soberana, os ratings e as taxas de juros tiveram um mútuo impacto, sugerindo que as descidas dos ratings podem ter conduzido a profecias auto-realizáveis, levando países relativamente estáveis a um eventual incumprimento
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spelling Coelho, Miguel de Campos PintoEscolas::EESPPereira, João PedroFerreira, MiguelMergulhão, João de Mendonça2016-03-01T13:13:25Z2016-03-01T13:13:25Z2016-01-18COELHO, Miguel de Campos Pinto. Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2016.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15619Neste projeto, investigamos se as agências de rating e as taxas de juro de longo prazo da dívida soberana tiveram uma influência recíproca antes, durante e após a crise da dívida soberana Europeia. Esta análise é realizada, estimando a relação existente entre os ratings da dívida soberana ou taxas de juro e factores macroeconomicos e estruturais, através de uma diferente aplicação de metodologias utilizadas para este efeito. Os resultados obtidos demonstram que, no período da crise soberana, os ratings e as taxas de juros tiveram um mútuo impacto, sugerindo que as descidas dos ratings podem ter conduzido a profecias auto-realizáveis, levando países relativamente estáveis a um eventual incumprimentoThis project investigates if there was any influence of credit rating agencies and long-term government bond yields on each other before, during and after Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. This is addressed by estimating the relationship and causality between sovereign debt ratings or bond yields and macroeconomic and structural variables following a different procedure to explain ratings and bond yields. It is found evidence that, in distressed periods, ratings and yields do affect one another. This suggests that a rating downgrade might create a self-fulfilling prophecy, leading relatively stable countries to default.engEuropeDebt crisisCredit ratingSovereign spreadsEuropaCrise dívida soberanaSpreads taxas de juroRating soberanoEconomiaDívida pública - EuropaDívida externaDéficit financeiro - EuropaTaxas de jurosRisco (Economia)Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessORIGINAL2015-16_S2-932304-Miguel_Pinto_Coelho.pdf2015-16_S2-932304-Miguel_Pinto_Coelho.pdfapplication/pdf1544988https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/1cf442b0-259b-4f53-865a-52e59e0da900/download0410eb0c13fc1b0030abc341426188b1MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
title Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
spellingShingle Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
Coelho, Miguel de Campos Pinto
Europe
Debt crisis
Credit rating
Sovereign spreads
Europa
Crise dívida soberana
Spreads taxas de juro
Rating soberano
Economia
Dívida pública - Europa
Dívida externa
Déficit financeiro - Europa
Taxas de juros
Risco (Economia)
title_short Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
title_full Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
title_fullStr Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
title_full_unstemmed Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
title_sort Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis
author Coelho, Miguel de Campos Pinto
author_facet Coelho, Miguel de Campos Pinto
author_role author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EESP
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv Pereira, João Pedro
Ferreira, Miguel
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Coelho, Miguel de Campos Pinto
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Mergulhão, João de Mendonça
contributor_str_mv Mergulhão, João de Mendonça
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Europe
Debt crisis
Credit rating
Sovereign spreads
topic Europe
Debt crisis
Credit rating
Sovereign spreads
Europa
Crise dívida soberana
Spreads taxas de juro
Rating soberano
Economia
Dívida pública - Europa
Dívida externa
Déficit financeiro - Europa
Taxas de juros
Risco (Economia)
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Europa
Crise dívida soberana
Spreads taxas de juro
Rating soberano
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Economia
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Dívida pública - Europa
Dívida externa
Déficit financeiro - Europa
Taxas de juros
Risco (Economia)
description Neste projeto, investigamos se as agências de rating e as taxas de juro de longo prazo da dívida soberana tiveram uma influência recíproca antes, durante e após a crise da dívida soberana Europeia. Esta análise é realizada, estimando a relação existente entre os ratings da dívida soberana ou taxas de juro e factores macroeconomicos e estruturais, através de uma diferente aplicação de metodologias utilizadas para este efeito. Os resultados obtidos demonstram que, no período da crise soberana, os ratings e as taxas de juros tiveram um mútuo impacto, sugerindo que as descidas dos ratings podem ter conduzido a profecias auto-realizáveis, levando países relativamente estáveis a um eventual incumprimento
publishDate 2016
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2016-03-01T13:13:25Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2016-03-01T13:13:25Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2016-01-18
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv COELHO, Miguel de Campos Pinto. Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2016.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15619
identifier_str_mv COELHO, Miguel de Campos Pinto. Credit ratings and government bonds: evidence before, during and after the european debt crisis. Dissertação (Mestrado Profissional em Finanças e Economia) - FGV - Fundação Getúlio Vargas, São Paulo, 2016.
url http://hdl.handle.net/10438/15619
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
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