Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Caproni, Tiago Vieira
Data de Publicação: 2008
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10438/7909
Resumo: The core of this research was to develop an analysis of príce trajectory from rubber through the XX eanfury, uslng sconorngfrics test from the ARCH cfass: GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH to calculate the intemational príce volatility of physical rubber, based on the price of Maiaysian Rubber Exchange maln entity in fhe sector. As resuiís frnm the statistical tests available in the market, it was possible to observe a strong incidence of seasona! cydes in the intematicna! price of rubber that impacfs direc% in the wodd production. It is also possible to notice the iow capacity of production to answer shocks of demand due to !ong time to mature the plantation.
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spelling Caproni, Tiago VieiraEscolas::EPGEFGVRibeiro, Eduardo PontualFerreira, Pedro CavalcantiGarneiro, Augusto Hauber2011-04-13T20:35:07Z2011-04-13T20:35:07Z2008CAPRONI, Tiago Vieira. Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural. Dissertação (Mestrado em Finanças e Economia Empresarial) - Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2008.http://hdl.handle.net/10438/7909The core of this research was to develop an analysis of príce trajectory from rubber through the XX eanfury, uslng sconorngfrics test from the ARCH cfass: GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH to calculate the intemational príce volatility of physical rubber, based on the price of Maiaysian Rubber Exchange maln entity in fhe sector. As resuiís frnm the statistical tests available in the market, it was possible to observe a strong incidence of seasona! cydes in the intematicna! price of rubber that impacfs direc% in the wodd production. It is also possible to notice the iow capacity of production to answer shocks of demand due to !ong time to mature the plantation.O foco central deste estudo foi desenvolver uma análise da trajetória dos prsços da borracha natural bensflciada ao longo do século XX, através da utilização dos testes econométricos da dasse - ARCH: GARCH, E-GARCH e TARCH para o da Malásia, principal entidade de formação do preço intemacional da commodity. Como resultado dos testes estatísticos dos dados disponíveis no mercado, observouse uma forte incidência de ciclos de sazonalidade no preço intemacional da borracha impactando diretamente na produção mundial. Observa se ainda a baixa capacidade de resposta da produção a choques de demanda devido ao longo prazo de maturação das pfantaçõesporTodo cuidado foi dispensado para respeitar os direitos autorais deste trabalho. Entretanto, caso esta obra aqui depositada seja protegida por direitos autorais externos a esta instituição, contamos com a compreensão do autor e solicitamos que o mesmo faça contato através do Fale Conosco para que possamos tomar as providências cabíveisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessVolatilityAgriculture commodityRubber cultureVolatilidadeCommodity agrícolaBorracha naturalEconomiaFinançasBorracha - Preços - Modelos econométricosAnálise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha naturalinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVORIGINAL000406595.pdf000406595.pdfapplication/pdf4214562https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/f483f137-7e4a-4723-aa7a-a39e490a258f/download97e1015e8de098949fa59d19fbf2eae9MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
title Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
spellingShingle Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
Caproni, Tiago Vieira
Volatility
Agriculture commodity
Rubber culture
Volatilidade
Commodity agrícola
Borracha natural
Economia
Finanças
Borracha - Preços - Modelos econométricos
title_short Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
title_full Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
title_fullStr Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
title_full_unstemmed Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
title_sort Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural
author Caproni, Tiago Vieira
author_facet Caproni, Tiago Vieira
author_role author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EPGE
dc.contributor.affiliation.none.fl_str_mv FGV
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv Ribeiro, Eduardo Pontual
Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Caproni, Tiago Vieira
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Garneiro, Augusto Hauber
contributor_str_mv Garneiro, Augusto Hauber
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Volatility
Agriculture commodity
Rubber culture
topic Volatility
Agriculture commodity
Rubber culture
Volatilidade
Commodity agrícola
Borracha natural
Economia
Finanças
Borracha - Preços - Modelos econométricos
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Volatilidade
Commodity agrícola
Borracha natural
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Economia
Finanças
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Borracha - Preços - Modelos econométricos
description The core of this research was to develop an analysis of príce trajectory from rubber through the XX eanfury, uslng sconorngfrics test from the ARCH cfass: GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH to calculate the intemational príce volatility of physical rubber, based on the price of Maiaysian Rubber Exchange maln entity in fhe sector. As resuiís frnm the statistical tests available in the market, it was possible to observe a strong incidence of seasona! cydes in the intematicna! price of rubber that impacfs direc% in the wodd production. It is also possible to notice the iow capacity of production to answer shocks of demand due to !ong time to mature the plantation.
publishDate 2008
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2008
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2011-04-13T20:35:07Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2011-04-13T20:35:07Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv CAPRONI, Tiago Vieira. Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural. Dissertação (Mestrado em Finanças e Economia Empresarial) - Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2008.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10438/7909
identifier_str_mv CAPRONI, Tiago Vieira. Análise da volatilidade de preço do mercado da borracha natural. Dissertação (Mestrado em Finanças e Economia Empresarial) - Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia, Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV, Rio de Janeiro, 2008.
url http://hdl.handle.net/10438/7909
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
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dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
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institution FGV
reponame_str Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
collection Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
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