Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2018 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/23930 |
Resumo: | The existing literature measuring the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier has a considerable consensus that the stimulative effects of fiscal instruments depends on the current state of economic activity, whether it is expanding or facing a recession. However, none of the previous works studied how the source of an economic downturn, if the economy is facing an adverse supply/demand shock, affects the effectiveness of fiscal expansions. We introduce in a simple New Keynesian model with a rich description of fiscal policy, the assumption of imperfectly informed policymakers (fiscal and monetary) to approach the question. Our results point out the existence of disparate effects of fiscal policy depending on whether the economy is facing a demand or a supply recession. Yet, we find out that cuts in taxes are an effective tool to counter the effects of adverse shocks on economic activity and aggregate consumption. |
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Borsoi, Nicolas da SilvaEscolas::EESPMattos, EnlinsonRodrigues, Mauro JuniorTeles, Vladimir Kuhl2018-05-18T17:05:36Z2018-05-18T17:05:36Z2018-04-24http://hdl.handle.net/10438/23930The existing literature measuring the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier has a considerable consensus that the stimulative effects of fiscal instruments depends on the current state of economic activity, whether it is expanding or facing a recession. However, none of the previous works studied how the source of an economic downturn, if the economy is facing an adverse supply/demand shock, affects the effectiveness of fiscal expansions. We introduce in a simple New Keynesian model with a rich description of fiscal policy, the assumption of imperfectly informed policymakers (fiscal and monetary) to approach the question. Our results point out the existence of disparate effects of fiscal policy depending on whether the economy is facing a demand or a supply recession. Yet, we find out that cuts in taxes are an effective tool to counter the effects of adverse shocks on economic activity and aggregate consumption.A atual literatura mensurando a magnitude do multiplicador fiscal apresenta um consenso considerável de que os efeitos estimulativos de instrumentos fiscais dependem do estado atual da atividade econômica, isto é, se o estímulo fiscal ocorre em uma recessão ou expansão econômica. Entretanto, nenhum dos trabalhos anteriores analisou a questão de se fonte da recessão, isto é, se o choque adverso tem uma natureza de demanda ou oferta, afeta a efetividade de expansões fiscais. Introduzimos em um modelo Novo Keynesiano com uma rica descrição de política fiscal, a hipótese de formuladores de política (fiscal e monetária) sujeitos à informação imperfeita, e quantificamos o multiplicador fiscal para responder a questão. Nossos resultados demonstram efeitos dispares da política fiscal dependendo da natureza do choque adverso. Entretanto, encontramos que cortes em tributos são efetivos para contrabalancear os efeitos recessivos desses choques sobre atividade econômica e consumo agregado.engFiscal policyFiscal multiplierEconomic downturnDemand and supply shocksPolítica fiscalMultiplicador fiscalRecessão econômicaChoques de demanda/ofertaEconomiaPolítica tributáriaMultiplicador (Economia)Oferta e procuraEconomia keynesianaDoes the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliersinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVTEXTdissertacao_nicolas_borsoi.pdf.txtdissertacao_nicolas_borsoi.pdf.txtExtracted 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
title |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
spellingShingle |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers Borsoi, Nicolas da Silva Fiscal policy Fiscal multiplier Economic downturn Demand and supply shocks Política fiscal Multiplicador fiscal Recessão econômica Choques de demanda/oferta Economia Política tributária Multiplicador (Economia) Oferta e procura Economia keynesiana |
title_short |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
title_full |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
title_fullStr |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
title_full_unstemmed |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
title_sort |
Does the nature of a recession matter?: some calculations on fiscal multipliers |
author |
Borsoi, Nicolas da Silva |
author_facet |
Borsoi, Nicolas da Silva |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EESP |
dc.contributor.member.none.fl_str_mv |
Mattos, Enlinson Rodrigues, Mauro Junior |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Borsoi, Nicolas da Silva |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Teles, Vladimir Kuhl |
contributor_str_mv |
Teles, Vladimir Kuhl |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Fiscal policy Fiscal multiplier Economic downturn Demand and supply shocks |
topic |
Fiscal policy Fiscal multiplier Economic downturn Demand and supply shocks Política fiscal Multiplicador fiscal Recessão econômica Choques de demanda/oferta Economia Política tributária Multiplicador (Economia) Oferta e procura Economia keynesiana |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Política fiscal Multiplicador fiscal Recessão econômica Choques de demanda/oferta |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Política tributária Multiplicador (Economia) Oferta e procura Economia keynesiana |
description |
The existing literature measuring the magnitude of the fiscal multiplier has a considerable consensus that the stimulative effects of fiscal instruments depends on the current state of economic activity, whether it is expanding or facing a recession. However, none of the previous works studied how the source of an economic downturn, if the economy is facing an adverse supply/demand shock, affects the effectiveness of fiscal expansions. We introduce in a simple New Keynesian model with a rich description of fiscal policy, the assumption of imperfectly informed policymakers (fiscal and monetary) to approach the question. Our results point out the existence of disparate effects of fiscal policy depending on whether the economy is facing a demand or a supply recession. Yet, we find out that cuts in taxes are an effective tool to counter the effects of adverse shocks on economic activity and aggregate consumption. |
publishDate |
2018 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2018-05-18T17:05:36Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2018-05-18T17:05:36Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2018-04-24 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/23930 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10438/23930 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
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eng |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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