Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Cavalheiro, Esper
Data de Publicação: 2011
Outros Autores: Fellows Filho, Lelio
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
por
Título da fonte: Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies
Texto Completo: https://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10
Resumo: Scenarios are stories that describe different possible but equally plausible futures developed through methodologies aiming to include the perception of different actors regarding the certainties and uncertainties of complex environments. This paper reviews the role of scenario development as a key tool for the analysis of the future. It also highlights that that the function of scenarios is not to predict the future, but to provide opportunities to take part in its construction consistently.Key words: Scenario. Future Studies. Foresight.
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spelling Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology areaCENÁRIOS ESTRATÉGICOS: UMA APLICAÇÃO NA ÁREA BIOTECNOLÓGICA DOI:10.7444/fsrj.v3i1.10Scenarios are stories that describe different possible but equally plausible futures developed through methodologies aiming to include the perception of different actors regarding the certainties and uncertainties of complex environments. This paper reviews the role of scenario development as a key tool for the analysis of the future. It also highlights that that the function of scenarios is not to predict the future, but to provide opportunities to take part in its construction consistently.Key words: Scenario. Future Studies. Foresight.Cenários são estórias que descrevem futuros diferentes, mas igualmente plausíveis, e que são desenvolvidas a partir de metodologias que se destinam a agrupar as percepções de  vários atores sobre as certezas e incertezas sobre ambientes complexos.  Este trabalho procura fazer uma pequena revisão sobre o papel da elaboração de cenários como um dos instrumentos importantes nas análises de futuro na tentativa de tornar evidente que a função dos cenários não é de prever o futuro, mas sim de prever as possibilidades para que possamos participar coerentemente de sua construção.    Palavras-chave: Cenário; Estudos de Futuro; Prospecção Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies2011-06-10info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionPeer-reviewed Articleapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/1010.24023/FutureJournal/2175-5825/2011.v3i1.10Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies; Vol. 3 No. 1 (2011): Future Studies Research Journal; 02-13Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies [FSRJ]; v. 3 n. 1 (2011): Future Studies Research Journal; 02-132175-5825reponame:Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategiesinstname:Fundação Instituto de Administração (FIA)instacron:FIAengporhttps://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10/113https://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10/112Copyright (c) 2011 Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategiesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCavalheiro, EsperFellows Filho, Lelio2018-07-19T15:45:41Zoai:ojs.future.emnuvens.com.br:article/10Revistahttps://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/oai2175-58252175-5825opendoar:2018-07-19T15:45:41Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies - Fundação Instituto de Administração (FIA)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
CENÁRIOS ESTRATÉGICOS: UMA APLICAÇÃO NA ÁREA BIOTECNOLÓGICA DOI:10.7444/fsrj.v3i1.10
title Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
spellingShingle Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
Cavalheiro, Esper
title_short Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
title_full Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
title_fullStr Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
title_full_unstemmed Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
title_sort Strategic scenarios: an application in the biotechnology area
author Cavalheiro, Esper
author_facet Cavalheiro, Esper
Fellows Filho, Lelio
author_role author
author2 Fellows Filho, Lelio
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Cavalheiro, Esper
Fellows Filho, Lelio
description Scenarios are stories that describe different possible but equally plausible futures developed through methodologies aiming to include the perception of different actors regarding the certainties and uncertainties of complex environments. This paper reviews the role of scenario development as a key tool for the analysis of the future. It also highlights that that the function of scenarios is not to predict the future, but to provide opportunities to take part in its construction consistently.Key words: Scenario. Future Studies. Foresight.
publishDate 2011
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2011-06-10
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10
10.24023/FutureJournal/2175-5825/2011.v3i1.10
url https://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10
identifier_str_mv 10.24023/FutureJournal/2175-5825/2011.v3i1.10
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
por
language eng
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dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10/113
https://www.revistafuture.org/FSRJ/article/view/10/112
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2011 Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2011 Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies; Vol. 3 No. 1 (2011): Future Studies Research Journal; 02-13
Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies [FSRJ]; v. 3 n. 1 (2011): Future Studies Research Journal; 02-13
2175-5825
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