Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Flávia Reis de Andrade
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: José Leopoldo Ferreira Antunes
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
por
Título da fonte: Cadernos de Saúde Pública
Texto Completo: https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008
Resumo: This study aimed to analyze the trend in the number of fatalities, severe injuries, and minor injuries from traffic accidents on Brazil’s federal highways according to the country’s major geographic regions before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety (DARS). This was an interrupted time series study of data on accidents with fatal or injured victims provided by the Brazilian Federal Highway Police from 2007 to 2017. The Prais-Winsten method was used to calculate the monthly percentage change (MPC) in the number of fatalities, severe injuries, and minor injuries. Before the DARS, there was an upward monthly trend in the number of fatalities in these accidents in the country as a whole (MPC 0.71%) and in all five regions, especially in the South (MPC 1.01%) and Central-West (MPC 0.84%). There was an inverse trend after the start of the DARS, with a significant decrease in Brazil as a whole (MPC -1.24%) and in the major geographic regions. For each person that dies in an accident on a federal highway, at least 12 others suffer non-fatal injuries. There was an upward trend in the number of victims with severe injuries (MPC 0.53%) and minor injuries (MPC 0.8%) in Brazil and in the major geographic regions in the period prior to the DARS. After the start of the DARS, there was a significant downward trend in the absolute frequencies of these outcomes at the national and regional levels. In conclusion, before the DARS, there was an upward monthly trend in the number of fatal and injured victims of traffic accidents on Brazil’s federal highways. After the start of the DARS, in 2011, there was an inverse trend, namely a decline in these outcomes in the country.
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spelling Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road SafetyTendência do número de vítimas em acidentes de trânsito nas rodovias federais brasileiras antes e depois da Década de Ação pela Segurança no TrânsitoWounds and InjuriesTraffic AccidentsRoadsTime Series StudiesFerimentos e LesõesAcidentes de TrânsitoEstradasEstudos de Séries TemporaisThis study aimed to analyze the trend in the number of fatalities, severe injuries, and minor injuries from traffic accidents on Brazil’s federal highways according to the country’s major geographic regions before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety (DARS). This was an interrupted time series study of data on accidents with fatal or injured victims provided by the Brazilian Federal Highway Police from 2007 to 2017. The Prais-Winsten method was used to calculate the monthly percentage change (MPC) in the number of fatalities, severe injuries, and minor injuries. Before the DARS, there was an upward monthly trend in the number of fatalities in these accidents in the country as a whole (MPC 0.71%) and in all five regions, especially in the South (MPC 1.01%) and Central-West (MPC 0.84%). There was an inverse trend after the start of the DARS, with a significant decrease in Brazil as a whole (MPC -1.24%) and in the major geographic regions. For each person that dies in an accident on a federal highway, at least 12 others suffer non-fatal injuries. There was an upward trend in the number of victims with severe injuries (MPC 0.53%) and minor injuries (MPC 0.8%) in Brazil and in the major geographic regions in the period prior to the DARS. After the start of the DARS, there was a significant downward trend in the absolute frequencies of these outcomes at the national and regional levels. In conclusion, before the DARS, there was an upward monthly trend in the number of fatal and injured victims of traffic accidents on Brazil’s federal highways. After the start of the DARS, in 2011, there was an inverse trend, namely a decline in these outcomes in the country.El objetivo de este estudio fue analizar la tendencia del número de muertos, heridos graves y heridos leves por accidentes de tráfico en las carreteras federales brasileñas, según macrorregión, antes y después del inicio de la Década de Acción por la Seguridad en el Tráfico (DAST). Se trata de un estudio de series temporales interrumpidas con datos sobre accidentes con víctimas, fatales o heridas, reveladas al público por la Policía de Carreteras Federal para el período de 2007 a 2017. Se utilizó el método de Prais-Winsten para el cálculo de la variación de porcentaje mensual (VPM) del número de muertos, heridos graves y heridos leves. Antes de la DAST, había una tendencia de aumento mensual del número de muertos en esos accidentes en el país (VPM de 0,71%) y en todas las regiones, resaltando la Sur (VPM de 1,01%) y Centro-oeste (VPM de 0,84%). Se verificó una tendencia inversa tras el comienzo de la DAST, con una disminución significativa en Brasil (VPM de -1,24%) y en sus macrorregiones. Por cada persona que muere en un accidente en una carretera federal, hay por lo menos otras 12, de media, que sufren lesiones no fatales. Hubo tendencia de aumento en el número de víctimas con heridas graves (VPM de 0,53%) y leves (VPM de 0,8%) en Brasil y en las macrorregiones durante el período que precedió la DAST. Tras la introducción de la DAST, hubo una tendencia de disminución en las frecuencias absolutas significativas de esos desenlaces en los niveles nacional y regional. Se concluye que antes de la DAST hubo una tendencia de aumento mensual en el número de víctimas fatales y heridas por accidentes de tráfico en las carreteras federales. Tras el inicio de la DAST, en 2011, se observó una tendencia inversa, o sea, de declive de esos desenlaces en los lugares estudiados.O objetivo deste estudo foi analisar a tendência do número de mortos, feridos graves e feridos leves por acidentes de trânsito nas rodovias federais brasileiras, segundo macrorregião, antes e depois do início da Década de Ação pela Segurança no Trânsito (DAST). Trata-se de estudo de séries temporais interrompidas com dados sobre acidentes com vítimas, fatais ou feridas, disponibilizados pela Polícia Rodoviária Federal para o período de 2007 a 2017. Utilizou-se o método de Prais-Winsten para o cálculo da variação percentual mensal (VPM) do número de mortos, feridos graves e feridos leves. Antes da DAST, havia uma tendência de aumento mensal do número de mortos nesses acidentes no país (VPM de 0,71%) e em todas as regiões, com destaque para o Sul (VPM de 1,01%) e Centro-oeste (VPM de 0,84%). Verificou-se tendência inversa após o início da DAST, com diminuição significante no Brasil (VPM de -1,24%) e macrorregiões. Para cada pessoa que morre em um acidente em rodovia federal, há, pelo menos, 12 outras, em média, que sofrem lesões não fatais. Houve tendência de aumento do número de vítimas com ferimentos graves (VPM de 0,53%) e leves (VPM de 0,8%) no Brasil e nas macrorregiões no período que antecedeu a DAST. Após a introdução da DAST, houve uma tendência de diminuição nas frequências absolutas significantes desses desfechos nos níveis nacional e regional. Conclui-se que, antes da DAST, houve tendência de aumento mensal do número de vítimas fatais e feridas por acidentes de trânsito nas rodovias federais. Após o início da DAST, em 2011, observou-se tendência inversa, ou seja, de declínio desses desfechos nos locais estudados.Reports in Public HealthCadernos de Saúde Pública2019-08-29info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmltext/htmlapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008Reports in Public Health; Vol. 35 No. 8 (2019): AugustCadernos de Saúde Pública; v. 35 n. 8 (2019): Agosto 1678-44640102-311Xreponame:Cadernos de Saúde Públicainstname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZengporhttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15262https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15263https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15264https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15265Flávia Reis de AndradeJosé Leopoldo Ferreira Antunesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-03-06T15:29:41Zoai:ojs.teste-cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br:article/7008Revistahttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csphttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/oaicadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br||cadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br1678-44640102-311Xopendoar:2024-03-06T13:08:03.604667Cadernos de Saúde Pública - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)true
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
Tendência do número de vítimas em acidentes de trânsito nas rodovias federais brasileiras antes e depois da Década de Ação pela Segurança no Trânsito
title Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
spellingShingle Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
Flávia Reis de Andrade
Wounds and Injuries
Traffic Accidents
Roads
Time Series Studies
Ferimentos e Lesões
Acidentes de Trânsito
Estradas
Estudos de Séries Temporais
title_short Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
title_full Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
title_fullStr Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
title_full_unstemmed Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
title_sort Trends in the number of traffic accident victims on Brazil’s federal highways before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety
author Flávia Reis de Andrade
author_facet Flávia Reis de Andrade
José Leopoldo Ferreira Antunes
author_role author
author2 José Leopoldo Ferreira Antunes
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Flávia Reis de Andrade
José Leopoldo Ferreira Antunes
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Wounds and Injuries
Traffic Accidents
Roads
Time Series Studies
Ferimentos e Lesões
Acidentes de Trânsito
Estradas
Estudos de Séries Temporais
topic Wounds and Injuries
Traffic Accidents
Roads
Time Series Studies
Ferimentos e Lesões
Acidentes de Trânsito
Estradas
Estudos de Séries Temporais
description This study aimed to analyze the trend in the number of fatalities, severe injuries, and minor injuries from traffic accidents on Brazil’s federal highways according to the country’s major geographic regions before and after the start of the Decade of Action for Road Safety (DARS). This was an interrupted time series study of data on accidents with fatal or injured victims provided by the Brazilian Federal Highway Police from 2007 to 2017. The Prais-Winsten method was used to calculate the monthly percentage change (MPC) in the number of fatalities, severe injuries, and minor injuries. Before the DARS, there was an upward monthly trend in the number of fatalities in these accidents in the country as a whole (MPC 0.71%) and in all five regions, especially in the South (MPC 1.01%) and Central-West (MPC 0.84%). There was an inverse trend after the start of the DARS, with a significant decrease in Brazil as a whole (MPC -1.24%) and in the major geographic regions. For each person that dies in an accident on a federal highway, at least 12 others suffer non-fatal injuries. There was an upward trend in the number of victims with severe injuries (MPC 0.53%) and minor injuries (MPC 0.8%) in Brazil and in the major geographic regions in the period prior to the DARS. After the start of the DARS, there was a significant downward trend in the absolute frequencies of these outcomes at the national and regional levels. In conclusion, before the DARS, there was an upward monthly trend in the number of fatal and injured victims of traffic accidents on Brazil’s federal highways. After the start of the DARS, in 2011, there was an inverse trend, namely a decline in these outcomes in the country.
publishDate 2019
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dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
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dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15262
https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15263
https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15264
https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/7008/15265
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Reports in Public Health
Cadernos de Saúde Pública
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Reports in Public Health
Cadernos de Saúde Pública
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Reports in Public Health; Vol. 35 No. 8 (2019): August
Cadernos de Saúde Pública; v. 35 n. 8 (2019): Agosto
1678-4464
0102-311X
reponame:Cadernos de Saúde Pública
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
instname_str Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
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institution FIOCRUZ
reponame_str Cadernos de Saúde Pública
collection Cadernos de Saúde Pública
repository.name.fl_str_mv Cadernos de Saúde Pública - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv cadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br||cadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br
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