Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Javier Jerez-Roig
Data de Publicação: 2014
Outros Autores: Dyego L. B. Souza, Pablo F. M. Medeiros, Isabelle R. Barbosa, Maria P. Curado, Iris C. C. Costa, Kenio Costa Lima
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Cadernos de Saúde Pública
Texto Completo: https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647
Resumo: Prostate cancer mortality projections at the nationwide and regional levels to the year 2025 are carried out in this ecological study that is based on an analysis of Brazilian trends between 1996 and 2010. The predictions were made for the period 2011-2025 utilizing the Nordpred program based on the period of 1996-2010, using the age-period-cohort model. A significant increase was observed in the Brazilian rates between 1996 and 2006, followed by a non-significant decrease. The projections indicate a decrease in rates at a national level as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. Increases are expected for the North and Northeast regions. In conclusion, a reduction in the mortality rates for prostate cancer in Brazil is expected to the year 2025, as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. However, an increase in the absolute number of deaths in all regions is expected due to the anticipated aging of the population.
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spelling Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based studyProstatic NeoplasmsMortalityPopulation Studies in Public HealthProstate cancer mortality projections at the nationwide and regional levels to the year 2025 are carried out in this ecological study that is based on an analysis of Brazilian trends between 1996 and 2010. The predictions were made for the period 2011-2025 utilizing the Nordpred program based on the period of 1996-2010, using the age-period-cohort model. A significant increase was observed in the Brazilian rates between 1996 and 2006, followed by a non-significant decrease. The projections indicate a decrease in rates at a national level as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. Increases are expected for the North and Northeast regions. In conclusion, a reduction in the mortality rates for prostate cancer in Brazil is expected to the year 2025, as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. However, an increase in the absolute number of deaths in all regions is expected due to the anticipated aging of the population.Este estudio ecológico presenta proyecciones de mortalidad por cáncer de próstata en Brasil y sus regiones para el año 2025, en base a las tendencias observadas en el período 1996-2010. Las proyecciones se realizaron para el período 2011-2025, mediante el programa NORDPRED, con base en el período 1996-2010, utilizando el modelo edad-período-cohorte. Hubo un aumento significativo en las tasas en Brasil entre 1996 y 2006, seguido de una disminución no significativa. Las proyecciones indican una disminución de las tasas, tanto a nivel nacional, como en las regiones Centro-oeste, Sur y Sudeste, mientras que en las regiones Norte y Nordeste se espera un incremento de las tasas. Se prevé una disminución de la mortalidad por cáncer de próstata para el año 2025 en Brasil en su conjunto, así como en las regiones Centro-oeste, Sur y Sudeste, y un aumento en las regiones Norte y Nordeste. Sin embargo, se espera un aumento del número absoluto de muertes de la enfermedad en todas las regiones, debido al envejecimiento de la población previsto en el país.Este estudo ecológico realiza projeções de mortalidade por câncer de próstata no Brasil e suas regiões até o ano 2025, com base nas tendências observadas no período de 1996 a 2010. As projeções foram realizadas para o período 2011-2025 mediante o programa Nordpred, baseado no período 1996-2010, usando o modelo idade-período-coorte. Observou-se um aumento significativo das taxas no Brasil entre 1996 e 2006, seguido de um descenso não significativo. As projeções indicam uma diminuição das taxas em nível nacional e nas regiões Centro-oeste, Sul e Sudeste, enquanto nas regiões Norte e Nordeste se espera um incremento das taxas. É esperada uma redução das taxas de mortalidade por câncer de próstata até o ano 2025 no Brasil em conjunto, assim como nas regiões Centro-oeste, e Sul e Sudeste, e um incremento nas regiões Norte e Nordeste. Contudo, prevê-se um aumento do número absoluto de mortes pela doença em todas as regiões devido ao envelhecimento populacional previsto no país.Reports in Public HealthCadernos de Saúde Pública2014-11-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlapplication/pdfhttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647Reports in Public Health; Vol. 30 No. 11 (2014): NovemberCadernos de Saúde Pública; v. 30 n. 11 (2014): Novembro1678-44640102-311Xreponame:Cadernos de Saúde Públicainstname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZenghttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647/11739https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647/11740Javier Jerez-RoigDyego L. B. SouzaPablo F. M. MedeirosIsabelle R. BarbosaMaria P. CuradoIris C. C. CostaKenio Costa Limainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-03-06T15:28:50Zoai:ojs.teste-cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br:article/5647Revistahttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csphttps://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/oaicadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br||cadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br1678-44640102-311Xopendoar:2024-03-06T13:06:27.944613Cadernos de Saúde Pública - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)true
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
title Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
spellingShingle Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
Javier Jerez-Roig
Prostatic Neoplasms
Mortality
Population Studies in Public Health
title_short Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
title_full Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
title_fullStr Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
title_full_unstemmed Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
title_sort Future burden of prostate cancer mortality in Brazil: a population-based study
author Javier Jerez-Roig
author_facet Javier Jerez-Roig
Dyego L. B. Souza
Pablo F. M. Medeiros
Isabelle R. Barbosa
Maria P. Curado
Iris C. C. Costa
Kenio Costa Lima
author_role author
author2 Dyego L. B. Souza
Pablo F. M. Medeiros
Isabelle R. Barbosa
Maria P. Curado
Iris C. C. Costa
Kenio Costa Lima
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Javier Jerez-Roig
Dyego L. B. Souza
Pablo F. M. Medeiros
Isabelle R. Barbosa
Maria P. Curado
Iris C. C. Costa
Kenio Costa Lima
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Prostatic Neoplasms
Mortality
Population Studies in Public Health
topic Prostatic Neoplasms
Mortality
Population Studies in Public Health
description Prostate cancer mortality projections at the nationwide and regional levels to the year 2025 are carried out in this ecological study that is based on an analysis of Brazilian trends between 1996 and 2010. The predictions were made for the period 2011-2025 utilizing the Nordpred program based on the period of 1996-2010, using the age-period-cohort model. A significant increase was observed in the Brazilian rates between 1996 and 2006, followed by a non-significant decrease. The projections indicate a decrease in rates at a national level as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. Increases are expected for the North and Northeast regions. In conclusion, a reduction in the mortality rates for prostate cancer in Brazil is expected to the year 2025, as well as for the Central, South and Southeast regions. However, an increase in the absolute number of deaths in all regions is expected due to the anticipated aging of the population.
publishDate 2014
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2014-11-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647
url https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647/11739
https://cadernos.ensp.fiocruz.br/ojs/index.php/csp/article/view/5647/11740
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv text/html
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Reports in Public Health
Cadernos de Saúde Pública
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Reports in Public Health
Cadernos de Saúde Pública
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Reports in Public Health; Vol. 30 No. 11 (2014): November
Cadernos de Saúde Pública; v. 30 n. 11 (2014): Novembro
1678-4464
0102-311X
reponame:Cadernos de Saúde Pública
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
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instacron_str FIOCRUZ
institution FIOCRUZ
reponame_str Cadernos de Saúde Pública
collection Cadernos de Saúde Pública
repository.name.fl_str_mv Cadernos de Saúde Pública - Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv cadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br||cadernos@ensp.fiocruz.br
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