The future of work after Covid-19
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Ciência & Trópico (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/article/view/1988 |
Resumo: | Since the end of 2019, humanity has lived with the pandemic of COVID-19, which makes it seems that we are close to the Apocalypse; such is the speed of contamination of the virus, leaving a large trail of infected and dead wherever it goes. This pandemic has had profound consequences in the economic field, in social and cultural life, in the traditional way of life of individuals and families, in professional life, and in the relationship between social actors, affecting mainly the labor market. This article will address the future of work post-COVID-19. To do so, it will be based on the vast existing literature on the subject. Initially, an overview of the origin and nature of the changes that has occurred in the world of work will be showed, due to the global impact of the pandemic, and the recession that followed. Three topics will be addressed, as they are the ones that have stood out the most from the perspective of the future of work: (a) remote work, home office and telework; (b) technology, digitization and automation; and (c) labor productivity. The general finding is that COVID-19 increased the risk, as well as the costs (social and economic) of physical contact between human beings. The consequence is to accelerated the processes of automation, remote work, the use of artificial intelligence, digitalization and robotization, all culminating in promoting a general reduction in the demand for work (increasing unemployment), thus contributing to reduce the pace of the wage growth. The most perverse effect is, perhaps, the fact that social isolation has caused on the education of young populations. This has led to dropout, and low school performance, coupled with the erosion of human capital caused by rising long-term unemployment. These have been strong elements to induce the low level of growth in labor productivity, if not its stagnation. All these impacts combined seem to be leading to an even more unequal world, negatively affecting human development, as well as promoting an even greater advance in the levels of poverty. |
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The future of work after Covid-19El futuro del trabajo posterior a covid-19O futuro do trabalho pós Covid-19Since the end of 2019, humanity has lived with the pandemic of COVID-19, which makes it seems that we are close to the Apocalypse; such is the speed of contamination of the virus, leaving a large trail of infected and dead wherever it goes. This pandemic has had profound consequences in the economic field, in social and cultural life, in the traditional way of life of individuals and families, in professional life, and in the relationship between social actors, affecting mainly the labor market. This article will address the future of work post-COVID-19. To do so, it will be based on the vast existing literature on the subject. Initially, an overview of the origin and nature of the changes that has occurred in the world of work will be showed, due to the global impact of the pandemic, and the recession that followed. Three topics will be addressed, as they are the ones that have stood out the most from the perspective of the future of work: (a) remote work, home office and telework; (b) technology, digitization and automation; and (c) labor productivity. The general finding is that COVID-19 increased the risk, as well as the costs (social and economic) of physical contact between human beings. The consequence is to accelerated the processes of automation, remote work, the use of artificial intelligence, digitalization and robotization, all culminating in promoting a general reduction in the demand for work (increasing unemployment), thus contributing to reduce the pace of the wage growth. The most perverse effect is, perhaps, the fact that social isolation has caused on the education of young populations. This has led to dropout, and low school performance, coupled with the erosion of human capital caused by rising long-term unemployment. These have been strong elements to induce the low level of growth in labor productivity, if not its stagnation. All these impacts combined seem to be leading to an even more unequal world, negatively affecting human development, as well as promoting an even greater advance in the levels of poverty.Desde finales de 2019, la humanidad ha vivido con la pandemia de COVID-19, lo que hace que parezca que estamos cerca del Apocalipsis, tal es la velocidad de contaminación del virus, dejando una gran estela de infectados y muertos por donde pasa. Esta pandemia ha tenido profundas consecuencias en el ámbito económico, en la vida social y cultural, en el modo de vida tradicional de las personas y familias, en la vida profesional y en la relación entre actores sociales, afectando principalmente al mercado laboral. Este artículo abordará el futuro del trabajo posterior a COVID-19. Para ello, se basará en la vasta literatura existente sobre el tema. Inicialmente, se presentará una descripción general del origen y la naturaleza de los cambios que ocurrirán en el mundo del trabajo, debido al impacto global de la pandemia y la recesión que siguió. Se abordarán tres temas, ya que son los que más se han destacado desde la perspectiva del futuro del trabajo: (a) trabajo a distancia, home office y teletrabajo; (b) tecnología, digitalización y automatización; y (c) productividad laboral. El hallazgo general es que COVID-19 aumentó el riesgo, así como también aumentó los costos (sociales y económicos) del contacto físico entre seres humanos. La consecuencia aceleró los procesos de automatización, trabajo a distancia, uso de inteligencia artificial, digitalización y robotización, todo ello culminando en promover una reducción generalizada de la demanda de trabajo (aumento del desempleo), contribuyendo así a reducir el ritmo de trabajo. El efecto más perverso es, quizás, el hecho de que el aislamiento social ha provocado la educación de poblaciones jóvenes. Esto ha llevado a la deserción escolar y al bajo rendimiento escolar, junto con la erosión del capital humano causada por el aumento del desempleo de larga duración. Estos han sido elementos fuertes para inducir el bajo nivel de crecimiento de la productividad laboral, si no su estancamiento. Todos estos impactos combinados parecen estar conduciendo a un mundo aún más desigual, afectando negativamente el desarrollo humano, además de promover un avance aún mayor en los niveles de pobreza.Desde o final do ano de 2019 a humanidade convive com a pandemia da COVID-19, que faz parecer que estamos próximos do Apocalipse, tamanha é a velocidade de contaminação do vírus, deixando um grande rastro de infectados e de mortos por onde passa. Esta pandemia trouxe consigo profundas consequências no campo econômico, na vida social e cultural, no modo de vida tradicional dos indivíduos e das famílias, na vida profissional, e no relacionamento entre os atores sociais, afetando, principalmente, o mercado de trabalho. Este artigo abordará o futuro do trabalho pós COVID-19. Para tanto se fundamentará na vasta literatura já existente sobre o tema. Inicialmente será apresentada uma visão geral da origem e da natureza das modificações que ocorrerão no mundo do trabalho, devido ao impacto global da pandemia, e da recessão que se seguiu. Três tópicos serão abordados, pois são aqueles que mais tem se destacado sob a ótica do futuro do trabalho: (a) trabalho remoto, home office e teletrabalho; (b) tecnologia, digitalização e automação; e (c) produtividade do trabalho. A constatação geral é que a COVID-19 aumentou o risco, bem como elevou os custos (sociais e econômicos) do contato físico entre os seres humanos. Como consequência acelerou os processos de automação, do trabalho remoto, do uso da inteligência artificial, da digitalização e da robotização, todos culminando por promover uma redução geral na demanda de trabalho (elevando o desemprego), contribuindo, assim, para diminuir o ritmo de crescimento dos salários. O efeito mais perverso seja, talvez, o fato de que o isolamento social tem causado na educação das populações jovens. Isto tem levado à evasão, e ao baixo rendimento escolar, juntamente com a erosão do capital humano provocado pelo aumento do desemprego de longo prazo. Estes tem sido fortes elementos a induzirem ao baixo nível de crescimento da produtividade do trabalho, quando não da sua estagnação. Todos estes impactos somados parecem estar levando a um mundo ainda mais desigual, afetando negativamente o desenvolvimento humano, bem como promovendo um avanço ainda maior dos níveis de pobreza.Fundação Joaquim Nabuco2021-07-16info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/article/view/198810.33148/cetropicov45n1(2021)art6Ciência & Trópico; Vol. 45 No. 1 (2021)Ciência & Trópico; Vol. 45 Núm. 1 (2021)Ciência & Trópico; v. 45 n. 1 (2021)2526-93720304-268510.33148/cetropicov45n1(2021)edicaocompletareponame:Ciência & Trópico (Online)instname:Fundação Joaquim Nabuco (FUNDAJ)instacron:FUNDAJporhttps://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/article/view/1988/1628Copyright (c) 2021 José Paulo Zeetano Chahadhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessZeetano Chahad, José Paulo2021-08-26T13:26:34Zoai:ojs.emnuvens.com.br:article/1988Revistahttps://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/indexONGhttps://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/oailuis.silva-tc@fundaj.gov.br || alexandrina.sobreira@fundaj.gov.br2526-93720304-2685opendoar:2021-08-26T13:26:34Ciência & Trópico (Online) - Fundação Joaquim Nabuco (FUNDAJ)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The future of work after Covid-19 El futuro del trabajo posterior a covid-19 O futuro do trabalho pós Covid-19 |
title |
The future of work after Covid-19 |
spellingShingle |
The future of work after Covid-19 Zeetano Chahad, José Paulo |
title_short |
The future of work after Covid-19 |
title_full |
The future of work after Covid-19 |
title_fullStr |
The future of work after Covid-19 |
title_full_unstemmed |
The future of work after Covid-19 |
title_sort |
The future of work after Covid-19 |
author |
Zeetano Chahad, José Paulo |
author_facet |
Zeetano Chahad, José Paulo |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Zeetano Chahad, José Paulo |
description |
Since the end of 2019, humanity has lived with the pandemic of COVID-19, which makes it seems that we are close to the Apocalypse; such is the speed of contamination of the virus, leaving a large trail of infected and dead wherever it goes. This pandemic has had profound consequences in the economic field, in social and cultural life, in the traditional way of life of individuals and families, in professional life, and in the relationship between social actors, affecting mainly the labor market. This article will address the future of work post-COVID-19. To do so, it will be based on the vast existing literature on the subject. Initially, an overview of the origin and nature of the changes that has occurred in the world of work will be showed, due to the global impact of the pandemic, and the recession that followed. Three topics will be addressed, as they are the ones that have stood out the most from the perspective of the future of work: (a) remote work, home office and telework; (b) technology, digitization and automation; and (c) labor productivity. The general finding is that COVID-19 increased the risk, as well as the costs (social and economic) of physical contact between human beings. The consequence is to accelerated the processes of automation, remote work, the use of artificial intelligence, digitalization and robotization, all culminating in promoting a general reduction in the demand for work (increasing unemployment), thus contributing to reduce the pace of the wage growth. The most perverse effect is, perhaps, the fact that social isolation has caused on the education of young populations. This has led to dropout, and low school performance, coupled with the erosion of human capital caused by rising long-term unemployment. These have been strong elements to induce the low level of growth in labor productivity, if not its stagnation. All these impacts combined seem to be leading to an even more unequal world, negatively affecting human development, as well as promoting an even greater advance in the levels of poverty. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-07-16 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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article |
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publishedVersion |
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https://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/article/view/1988 10.33148/cetropicov45n1(2021)art6 |
url |
https://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/article/view/1988 |
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10.33148/cetropicov45n1(2021)art6 |
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por |
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por |
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https://periodicos.fundaj.gov.br/CIC/article/view/1988/1628 |
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Copyright (c) 2021 José Paulo Zeetano Chahad https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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Copyright (c) 2021 José Paulo Zeetano Chahad https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf |
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Fundação Joaquim Nabuco |
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Fundação Joaquim Nabuco |
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Ciência & Trópico; Vol. 45 No. 1 (2021) Ciência & Trópico; Vol. 45 Núm. 1 (2021) Ciência & Trópico; v. 45 n. 1 (2021) 2526-9372 0304-2685 10.33148/cetropicov45n1(2021)edicaocompleta reponame:Ciência & Trópico (Online) instname:Fundação Joaquim Nabuco (FUNDAJ) instacron:FUNDAJ |
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Fundação Joaquim Nabuco (FUNDAJ) |
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FUNDAJ |
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Ciência & Trópico (Online) |
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Ciência & Trópico (Online) |
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Ciência & Trópico (Online) - Fundação Joaquim Nabuco (FUNDAJ) |
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luis.silva-tc@fundaj.gov.br || alexandrina.sobreira@fundaj.gov.br |
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