Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Samohyl, Robert Wayne
Data de Publicação: 2001
Outros Autores: Rocha, Rubson, Mattos, Viviane Leite Dias de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FURG (RI FURG)
Texto Completo: http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/4089
Resumo: The behavior of the milk delivery to the industries from Santa Catarina State was analysed. The milk production in the State of Santa Catarina has been increasing in the last years, with an outstanding monthly seasonality. The use of exponential method of Holt-Winters to forecast the monthly milk deliveries was not satisfactory, because the additive and multiplicative models of this method didn't get to capture some present information in the time series data.
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spelling Samohyl, Robert WayneRocha, RubsonMattos, Viviane Leite Dias de2013-10-21T20:15:23Z2013-10-21T20:15:23Z2001SAMOHYL, Robert Wayne; ROCHA, Rubson; MATTOS, Viviane Leite Dias de. Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses. In: XXI Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção e VII International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, 2001, Salvador. ENEGEP-2001. Anais eletrônicos... Salvador: XXI Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção e VII International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Disponível em: <http://www.abepro.org.br/biblioteca/ENEGEP2001_TR66_0742.pdf>. Acesso em: 29. abr. 2013.http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/4089The behavior of the milk delivery to the industries from Santa Catarina State was analysed. The milk production in the State of Santa Catarina has been increasing in the last years, with an outstanding monthly seasonality. The use of exponential method of Holt-Winters to forecast the monthly milk deliveries was not satisfactory, because the additive and multiplicative models of this method didn't get to capture some present information in the time series data.porMilkForecastingHolt-winters methodUtilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinensesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FURG (RI FURG)instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG)instacron:FURGORIGINALUtilização do Método de Holt-Winters para Previsão do Leite Entregue às Indústrias Catarinenses..pdfUtilização do Método de Holt-Winters para Previsão do Leite Entregue às Indústrias Catarinenses..pdfapplication/pdf431194https://repositorio.furg.br/bitstream/1/4089/1/Utiliza%c3%a7%c3%a3o%20do%20M%c3%a9todo%20de%20Holt-Winters%20para%20Previs%c3%a3o%20do%20Leite%20Entregue%20%c3%a0s%20Ind%c3%bastrias%20Catarinenses..pdf35733c3225232a5f0a73c3e37f8d94f5MD51open accessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81724https://repositorio.furg.br/bitstream/1/4089/2/license.txt5b92b9704b4f13242d70e45ddef35a68MD52open access1/40892013-10-21 18:15:23.583open accessoai:repositorio.furg.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.furg.br/oai/request || http://200.19.254.174/oai/requestopendoar:2013-10-21T20:15:23Repositório Institucional da FURG (RI FURG) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
title Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
spellingShingle Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
Samohyl, Robert Wayne
Milk
Forecasting
Holt-winters method
title_short Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
title_full Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
title_fullStr Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
title_full_unstemmed Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
title_sort Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses
author Samohyl, Robert Wayne
author_facet Samohyl, Robert Wayne
Rocha, Rubson
Mattos, Viviane Leite Dias de
author_role author
author2 Rocha, Rubson
Mattos, Viviane Leite Dias de
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Samohyl, Robert Wayne
Rocha, Rubson
Mattos, Viviane Leite Dias de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Milk
Forecasting
Holt-winters method
topic Milk
Forecasting
Holt-winters method
description The behavior of the milk delivery to the industries from Santa Catarina State was analysed. The milk production in the State of Santa Catarina has been increasing in the last years, with an outstanding monthly seasonality. The use of exponential method of Holt-Winters to forecast the monthly milk deliveries was not satisfactory, because the additive and multiplicative models of this method didn't get to capture some present information in the time series data.
publishDate 2001
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2001
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2013-10-21T20:15:23Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2013-10-21T20:15:23Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SAMOHYL, Robert Wayne; ROCHA, Rubson; MATTOS, Viviane Leite Dias de. Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses. In: XXI Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção e VII International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, 2001, Salvador. ENEGEP-2001. Anais eletrônicos... Salvador: XXI Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção e VII International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Disponível em: <http://www.abepro.org.br/biblioteca/ENEGEP2001_TR66_0742.pdf>. Acesso em: 29. abr. 2013.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/4089
identifier_str_mv SAMOHYL, Robert Wayne; ROCHA, Rubson; MATTOS, Viviane Leite Dias de. Utilização do método de holt-winters para previsão do leite entregue às indústrias catarinenses. In: XXI Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção e VII International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management, 2001, Salvador. ENEGEP-2001. Anais eletrônicos... Salvador: XXI Encontro Nacional de Engenharia de Produção e VII International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Disponível em: <http://www.abepro.org.br/biblioteca/ENEGEP2001_TR66_0742.pdf>. Acesso em: 29. abr. 2013.
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dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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