Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da FURG (RI FURG) |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/5905 |
Resumo: | Time series of environmental measurements are essential for detecting, measuring and understanding changes in the Earth system and its biological communities. Observational series have accumulated over the past 2–5 decades from measurements across the world’s estuaries, bays, lagoons, inland seas and shelf waters influenced by runoff. We synthesize information contained in these time series to develop a global view of changes occurring in marine systems influenced by connectivity to land. Our review is organized around four themes: (i) human activities as drivers of change; (ii) variability of the climate system as a driver of change; (iii) successes, disappointments and challenges of managing change at the sea-land interface; and (iv) discoveries made from observations over time. Multidecadal time series reveal that many of the world’s estuarine–coastal ecosystems are in a continuing state of change, and the pace of change is faster than we could have imagined a decade ago. Some have been transformed into novel ecosystems with habitats, biogeochemistry and biological communities outside the natural range of variability. Change takes many forms including linear and nonlinear trends, abrupt state changes and oscillations. The challenge of managing change is daunting in the coastal zone where diverse human pressures are concentrated and intersect with different responses to climate variability over land and over ocean basins. The pace of change in estuarine–coastal ecosystems will likely accelerate as the human population and economies continue to grow and as global climate change accelerates. Wise stewardship of the resources upon which we depend is critically dependent upon a continuing flow of information from observations to measure, understand and anticipate future changes along the world’s coastlines. |
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Cloern, JamesAbreu, Paulo Cesar Oliveira Vergne deCarstensen, JacobChauvaud, LaurentElmgren, RagnarGrall, JacquesGreening, HollyJohansson, John Olov RogerKahru, MatiSherwood, EdwardXu, JiYin, Kedong2016-02-11T23:18:52Z2016-02-11T23:18:52Z2016CLOERN, James et al. Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems. Global change biology (print), v. 22, n. 2, p.513-529, 2016. Disponível em:<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13059/epdf>. Acesso em: 10 Fev. 2016.1365-2486http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/590510.1111/gcb.13059Time series of environmental measurements are essential for detecting, measuring and understanding changes in the Earth system and its biological communities. Observational series have accumulated over the past 2–5 decades from measurements across the world’s estuaries, bays, lagoons, inland seas and shelf waters influenced by runoff. We synthesize information contained in these time series to develop a global view of changes occurring in marine systems influenced by connectivity to land. Our review is organized around four themes: (i) human activities as drivers of change; (ii) variability of the climate system as a driver of change; (iii) successes, disappointments and challenges of managing change at the sea-land interface; and (iv) discoveries made from observations over time. Multidecadal time series reveal that many of the world’s estuarine–coastal ecosystems are in a continuing state of change, and the pace of change is faster than we could have imagined a decade ago. Some have been transformed into novel ecosystems with habitats, biogeochemistry and biological communities outside the natural range of variability. Change takes many forms including linear and nonlinear trends, abrupt state changes and oscillations. The challenge of managing change is daunting in the coastal zone where diverse human pressures are concentrated and intersect with different responses to climate variability over land and over ocean basins. The pace of change in estuarine–coastal ecosystems will likely accelerate as the human population and economies continue to grow and as global climate change accelerates. Wise stewardship of the resources upon which we depend is critically dependent upon a continuing flow of information from observations to measure, understand and anticipate future changes along the world’s coastlines.engClimate variabilityEcosystemsEnvironmental changeEstuarine–coastalGlobal changeHuman disturbanceHuman activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystemsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FURG (RI FURG)instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG)instacron:FURGORIGINALCloern_et_al-2015-Global_Change_Biology.pdfCloern_et_al-2015-Global_Change_Biology.pdfapplication/pdf353101https://repositorio.furg.br/bitstream/1/5905/1/Cloern_et_al-2015-Global_Change_Biology.pdfaeae33066e72469763cf4bfa798a51a8MD51open accessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748https://repositorio.furg.br/bitstream/1/5905/2/license.txt8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD52open access1/59052016-02-11 21:18:52.562open accessoai:repositorio.furg.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.furg.br/oai/request || http://200.19.254.174/oai/requestopendoar:2016-02-11T23:18:52Repositório Institucional da FURG (RI FURG) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (FURG)false |
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
title |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
spellingShingle |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems Cloern, James Climate variability Ecosystems Environmental change Estuarine–coastal Global change Human disturbance |
title_short |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
title_full |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
title_fullStr |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
title_full_unstemmed |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
title_sort |
Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems |
author |
Cloern, James |
author_facet |
Cloern, James Abreu, Paulo Cesar Oliveira Vergne de Carstensen, Jacob Chauvaud, Laurent Elmgren, Ragnar Grall, Jacques Greening, Holly Johansson, John Olov Roger Kahru, Mati Sherwood, Edward Xu, Ji Yin, Kedong |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Abreu, Paulo Cesar Oliveira Vergne de Carstensen, Jacob Chauvaud, Laurent Elmgren, Ragnar Grall, Jacques Greening, Holly Johansson, John Olov Roger Kahru, Mati Sherwood, Edward Xu, Ji Yin, Kedong |
author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Cloern, James Abreu, Paulo Cesar Oliveira Vergne de Carstensen, Jacob Chauvaud, Laurent Elmgren, Ragnar Grall, Jacques Greening, Holly Johansson, John Olov Roger Kahru, Mati Sherwood, Edward Xu, Ji Yin, Kedong |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climate variability Ecosystems Environmental change Estuarine–coastal Global change Human disturbance |
topic |
Climate variability Ecosystems Environmental change Estuarine–coastal Global change Human disturbance |
description |
Time series of environmental measurements are essential for detecting, measuring and understanding changes in the Earth system and its biological communities. Observational series have accumulated over the past 2–5 decades from measurements across the world’s estuaries, bays, lagoons, inland seas and shelf waters influenced by runoff. We synthesize information contained in these time series to develop a global view of changes occurring in marine systems influenced by connectivity to land. Our review is organized around four themes: (i) human activities as drivers of change; (ii) variability of the climate system as a driver of change; (iii) successes, disappointments and challenges of managing change at the sea-land interface; and (iv) discoveries made from observations over time. Multidecadal time series reveal that many of the world’s estuarine–coastal ecosystems are in a continuing state of change, and the pace of change is faster than we could have imagined a decade ago. Some have been transformed into novel ecosystems with habitats, biogeochemistry and biological communities outside the natural range of variability. Change takes many forms including linear and nonlinear trends, abrupt state changes and oscillations. The challenge of managing change is daunting in the coastal zone where diverse human pressures are concentrated and intersect with different responses to climate variability over land and over ocean basins. The pace of change in estuarine–coastal ecosystems will likely accelerate as the human population and economies continue to grow and as global climate change accelerates. Wise stewardship of the resources upon which we depend is critically dependent upon a continuing flow of information from observations to measure, understand and anticipate future changes along the world’s coastlines. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2016-02-11T23:18:52Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2016-02-11T23:18:52Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2016 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
CLOERN, James et al. Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems. Global change biology (print), v. 22, n. 2, p.513-529, 2016. Disponível em:<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13059/epdf>. Acesso em: 10 Fev. 2016. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/5905 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
1365-2486 |
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
10.1111/gcb.13059 |
identifier_str_mv |
CLOERN, James et al. Human activities and climate variability drive fast-paced change across the world's estuarine-coastal ecosystems. Global change biology (print), v. 22, n. 2, p.513-529, 2016. Disponível em:<http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13059/epdf>. Acesso em: 10 Fev. 2016. 1365-2486 10.1111/gcb.13059 |
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http://repositorio.furg.br/handle/1/5905 |
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