Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1808-16572020000100201 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT: Anastrepha grandis is one of the main pests related to Cucurbitaceae in South and Central America. This study discusses the impact of temperature increase on the number of generations of A. grandis, whose distribution could be aggravated due to temperature increase. Climatic variations were analyzed for reference scenarios obtained from 1961‒1990 and of A2 and B1 climatic change scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in which a less pessimistic scenario (B1) and a more pessimistic scenario (A2) were found. In relation to the reference scenarios, in colder seasons, the southern and southeastern regions are inadequate for the development of A. grandis, presenting one generation at most. In other regions of Brazil, where temperatures are higher throughout the year, the number of generations is at least two, and there is no variation from one climatic season to another. When analyzing the temperature increase, in a more pessimistic scenario (A2), there is a considerable variation in the number of generations, if we take into account three future climate scenarios in which A. grandis practically doubles the number of generations. In relation to a less pessimistic scenario (B1), there is a smaller variation in the number of generations, mainly in the southern region of the country. This variation is more accentuated in southeastern Brazil due to the temperature increase, in which the pest’s number of generations doubles even in colder seasons. |
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Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazilabiotic factorsCucurbitaceaeclimatic changesquarantine pestABSTRACT: Anastrepha grandis is one of the main pests related to Cucurbitaceae in South and Central America. This study discusses the impact of temperature increase on the number of generations of A. grandis, whose distribution could be aggravated due to temperature increase. Climatic variations were analyzed for reference scenarios obtained from 1961‒1990 and of A2 and B1 climatic change scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in which a less pessimistic scenario (B1) and a more pessimistic scenario (A2) were found. In relation to the reference scenarios, in colder seasons, the southern and southeastern regions are inadequate for the development of A. grandis, presenting one generation at most. In other regions of Brazil, where temperatures are higher throughout the year, the number of generations is at least two, and there is no variation from one climatic season to another. When analyzing the temperature increase, in a more pessimistic scenario (A2), there is a considerable variation in the number of generations, if we take into account three future climate scenarios in which A. grandis practically doubles the number of generations. In relation to a less pessimistic scenario (B1), there is a smaller variation in the number of generations, mainly in the southern region of the country. This variation is more accentuated in southeastern Brazil due to the temperature increase, in which the pest’s number of generations doubles even in colder seasons.Instituto Biológico2020-01-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1808-16572020000100201Arquivos do Instituto Biológico v.87 2020reponame:Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online)instname:Instituto Biológico (IB)instacron:IBIO10.1590/1808-1657000882018info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLisbôa,HeitorGrutzmacher,Anderson DioneiWrege,Marcos SilveiraGarcia,Flávio Roberto MelloNava,Dori Edsoneng2020-05-07T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S1808-16572020000100201Revistahttp://www.biologico.sp.gov.br/arquivos_bio.phphttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||arquivos@biologico.sp.gov.br1808-16570020-3653opendoar:2020-05-07T00:00Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online) - Instituto Biológico (IB)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
title |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil Lisbôa,Heitor abiotic factors Cucurbitaceae climatic changes quarantine pest |
title_short |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
title_full |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
title_sort |
Impact of global warming on the distribution of Anastrepha grandis (Diptera: Tephritidae) in Brazil |
author |
Lisbôa,Heitor |
author_facet |
Lisbôa,Heitor Grutzmacher,Anderson Dionei Wrege,Marcos Silveira Garcia,Flávio Roberto Mello Nava,Dori Edson |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Grutzmacher,Anderson Dionei Wrege,Marcos Silveira Garcia,Flávio Roberto Mello Nava,Dori Edson |
author2_role |
author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Lisbôa,Heitor Grutzmacher,Anderson Dionei Wrege,Marcos Silveira Garcia,Flávio Roberto Mello Nava,Dori Edson |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
abiotic factors Cucurbitaceae climatic changes quarantine pest |
topic |
abiotic factors Cucurbitaceae climatic changes quarantine pest |
description |
ABSTRACT: Anastrepha grandis is one of the main pests related to Cucurbitaceae in South and Central America. This study discusses the impact of temperature increase on the number of generations of A. grandis, whose distribution could be aggravated due to temperature increase. Climatic variations were analyzed for reference scenarios obtained from 1961‒1990 and of A2 and B1 climatic change scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in which a less pessimistic scenario (B1) and a more pessimistic scenario (A2) were found. In relation to the reference scenarios, in colder seasons, the southern and southeastern regions are inadequate for the development of A. grandis, presenting one generation at most. In other regions of Brazil, where temperatures are higher throughout the year, the number of generations is at least two, and there is no variation from one climatic season to another. When analyzing the temperature increase, in a more pessimistic scenario (A2), there is a considerable variation in the number of generations, if we take into account three future climate scenarios in which A. grandis practically doubles the number of generations. In relation to a less pessimistic scenario (B1), there is a smaller variation in the number of generations, mainly in the southern region of the country. This variation is more accentuated in southeastern Brazil due to the temperature increase, in which the pest’s number of generations doubles even in colder seasons. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-01-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1808-16572020000100201 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1808-16572020000100201 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/1808-1657000882018 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Biológico |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Biológico |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Arquivos do Instituto Biológico v.87 2020 reponame:Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online) instname:Instituto Biológico (IB) instacron:IBIO |
instname_str |
Instituto Biológico (IB) |
instacron_str |
IBIO |
institution |
IBIO |
reponame_str |
Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online) |
collection |
Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Arquivos do instituto biológico (Online) - Instituto Biológico (IB) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||arquivos@biologico.sp.gov.br |
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1754193670432620544 |